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  1. The latest Europe Elects EU Parliament projection tracks how the political mood is shifting across the EU.

    Euronews today reported about our figures, highlighting shifts within the radical right camp and the loss of a majority for the moderate centre of EPP, S&D, and Renew. #EP2029

    Explore: euronews.com/my-europe/2026/08

  2. The latest EU Parliament projection is out! It tracks how the political mood is shifting across the EU.

    Ursula von der Leyen’s and Manfred Weber’s centre-right EPP remains the strongest group in both projected seats and popular vote. However, it declines to its lowest level of the current legislative term. #EP2029

    Explore: europeelects.eu/ep2029/

  3. If a European Parliament election were held today, France's right-wing Rassemblement National (PfE) and Germany's far-right AfD (ESN) would each be the largest single parties in the European Union. #EP2029

    Explore: europeelects.eu/ep2029/

  4. The latest EU Parliament projection is out! It tracks how the political mood is shifting across the EU.

    Liberal RE continues to slide — the group now sits just 3 seats ahead of the Left, its narrowest margin since 2015. Estonia flipped in July, moving from a RE lead to a tie between Liberal RE and centre-right EPP. #EP2029

    Explore: europeelects.eu/ep2029/

  5. We have updated our European affiliations database. 🇪🇺

    The separatist 'Junts per Catalunya' (Together for Catalonia, Junts) party has joined the centrist EDP Europarty. #EP2029

    Explore: europeelects.eu/affiliations/

  6. The latest EU Parliament projection is out! It tracks how the political mood is shifting across the EU.

    The centre-left S&D group has fallen to its lowest level on record, while the Left group has climbed to its highest seat share since 2018. #EP2029

    Explore: europeelects.eu/ep2029/

  7. Bulgaria: the Движение за права и свободи (Dvizhenie za prava i svobodi, Movement for Rights and Freedoms, DPS) leaves the Non-Inscrits and joins the national-conservative ECR Group in the European Parliament. #EP2029

    Affiliations database: europeelects.eu/bulgaria/

  8. Correction: In an earlier version of today's European Parliament projection, we incorrectly grouped the 4 seats won by the Italian party Futuro Nazionale—projected to enter the European Parliament for the first time—with the Non-Inscrits instead of the far-right ESN group. This has now been corrected. We regret the mistake.

    The far-right AfD-led ESN grouping therefore reaches a record high in both projected seats and vote share. #EP2029

  9. If a European Parliament election were held today, France's right-wing Rassemblement National (PfE) and Germany's far-right AfD (ESN) would be the two largest national parties in the European Parliament. #EP2029

    Explore: europeelects.eu/ep2029/

  10. The latest EU Parliament projection is out! It tracks how the political mood is shifting across the EU.

    Far-right ESN and Greens/EFA are in a dead heat. However, while Greens/EFA's 38 seats are spread across 16 national parties, ESN's 40 projected seats are far more concentrated, with 27 coming from Germany's AfD alone. As a result, ESN would currently fall short of the seven member states required to form a political group in the European Parliament. #EP2029

    Explore: europeelects.eu/ep2029/

  11. The latest EU Parliament projection is out! It tracks how the political mood is shifting across the EU.

    The centre-right EPP of Ursula von der Leyen remains the largest force and has widened its lead over the second-placed group to one of its largest margins since the early months of the COVID-19 pandemic. #EP2029

    Explore: europeelects.eu/ep2029/

  12. The latest EU Parliament projection is out! It tracks how the political mood is shifting across the EU.

    The ideologically diverse Non-Inscrits gain 10 seats compared to last month, primarily due to the reallocation of Progressive Bulgaria from unaffiliated to the Non-Inscrits, in line with Europe Elects' methodology. #EP2029

    Explore: europeelects.eu/ep2029/

  13. The latest EU Parliament projection is out! It tracks how the political mood is shifting across the EU.

    The group affiliation of 9 seats is currently undetermined (based on Europe Elects methodology), with 6 of them belonging to two new Greek parties: ELAS and EgtD. #EP2029

    Explore: europeelects.eu/ep2029/

  14. The latest EU Parliament projection is out! It tracks how the political mood is shifting across the EU.

    The Left group rises to its highest projected seat share since 2018, reaching 61 seats (8.5%). #EP2029

    Explore: europeelects.eu/ep2029/

  15. The latest EU Parliament projection is out! It tracks how the political mood is shifting across the EU.

    The right-wing PfE group, led by Jordan Bardella, falls to its lowest projected seat total since 2024. #EP2029

    Explore: europeelects.eu/ep2029/

  16. The latest EU Parliament projection is out! It shows how the political mood is shifting across the EU.

    The centre-left S&D group falls to its lowest seat share since Europe Elects’ monthly records began in 2014 (121 seats; 16.8%). The decline is also visible in the popular vote: only 16.2% of EU voters would currently back a social democratic party. #EP2029

    Explore: europeelects.eu/ep2029/

  17. The latest EU Parliament projection is out! It shows how the political mood is shifting across the EU.

    The liberal-centrist Renew Europe (RE) group gains 3 seats compared to May. RE is now the sole leading force in Belgium and shares first place in Denmark, while losing its shared lead position in Slovenia. #EP2029

    Explore: europeelects.eu/ep2029/

  18. What if European Parliament elections were held today?

    The latest projection shows the centre-left S&D leading in the Nordics, the far-right ESN in Germany, the centre-right EPP in Eastern Europe and Spain, the right-wing PfE in France, Austria, and Czechia, the Left in Ireland, and the liberals in Estonia and the Netherlands. #EP2029

    Explore: europeelects.eu/ep2029/

  19. 💥NEW 💥

    European Parliament seat projections are now displayed by country and by party on our country pages (click the flag at the top). #Elections #EP2029

    Explore how projections have evolved over time (example: France): europeelects.eu/france/

  20. We have updated our European affiliations database. 🇪🇺

    EURACTIV reports that Armenia’s Civil Contract 🇦🇲, Denmark’s Liberal Alliance 🇩🇰, Hungary’s Tisza 🇭🇺 and Montenegro’s PES! 🇲🇪 have expressed interest in joining the centre-right EPP Europarty at the European level. #EP2029

    Explore: europeelects.eu/affiliations/

  21. Unlike EU citizens, Icelandic voters are not represented in the European Parliament or European Council.

    Under a hypothetical EU membership scenario, Iceland would likely receive six EP seats. Current polling suggests S would win 2 seats (S&D), D 2 (EPP), M 1 (ECR), and C 1 (RE), based on the parties’ existing non-EU European affiliations. #EP2029

  22. Germany: The latest European Parliament seat projection suggests that the centre-right CDU (EPP) is now only two projected seats ahead of the third-placed GRÜNE (Greens/EFA), while the far-right AfD (ESN) continues to lead. #EP2029

    europeelects.eu/germany/

  23. The latest EU Parliament projection is out!

    Currently dominated by Germany’s Alternative for Germany (AfD), the far-right ESN group would fall below the seven-nationality threshold required to form a European Parliament group if an election were held today. #EP2029

    Explore: europeelects.eu/ep2029/

  24. The latest EU Parliament projection is out! It shows how the political mood is shifting across the EU.

    In the popular vote, the centre-left S&D declines to its lowest level since our records began (16.6%), while the German AfD-led far-right ESN reaches a new record high (7.2%). #EP2029

    Explore: europeelects.eu/ep2029/

  25. The latest European Parliament projection is out! It shows how the political mood is shifting across the EU.

    The combined strength of centre-right EPP, centre-left S&D, and liberal Renew Europe drops to its lowest level on record: 368 seats — only slightly above the 361 seats needed for a majority. #EP2029

    Explore: europeelects.eu/ep2029/

  26. The latest European Parliament projection is out! It shows how the political mood is shifting across the EU.

    The gap between the liberal Renew Europe group and the Left Group has shrunk to just 7 seats — the smallest since 2016. #EP2029

    Explore our dashboard: europeelects.eu/ep2029/

  27. The latest European Parliament projection suggests that the centre-right EPP, centre-left S&D, and liberal Renew Europe groups would hold a narrow majority of around 370 seats—just above the 361 needed for control. #EP2029 #Europawahl

    Explore the data: europeelects.eu/ep2029/

  28. Post-World War II EU politics has been largely structured around the centre-right and centre-left.

    However, our data shows the gap between the centre-left and the right-wing PfE grouping led by Jordan Bardella has narrowed significantly over time, from 100+ projected seats in the mid-2010s to fewer than 30 today. #EP2029

    Explore: europeelects.eu/ep2029/

  29. Elections in #Bulgaria and #Hungary have left a mark on April's European Parliament projection: the Tisza party would rank as the fourth-largest national delegation within the centre-right EPP if a European Parliament election were held today.

    Meanwhile, Progressive Bulgaria has not yet indicated which political group it would join if elected to the European Parliament. #EP2029

    Explore: europeelects.eu/ep2029/