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  1. Moody’s Analytics Cuts Philippines 2026 GDP Growth Forecast to 3%

    By citing key factors like weak consumption, Middle East oil shock and the collapse in private investment, Moody’s Analytics officially slashed its 2026 gross domestic product (GDP) growth forecast for the Philippines to 3%, according to a news report by BusinessWorld.

    To put things in perspective, posted below is an excerpt from the news report of BusinessWorld. Some parts in boldface…

    MOODY’S ANALYTICS slashed its 2026 growth forecast for the Philippines, amid weak consumption and a collapse in private investment.

    In its latest Asia-Pacific Outlook report dated Aug. 24, the analytics firm said it now sees Philippine gross domestic product (GDP) expanding by 3% this year, slower than its 4% projection in June.

    “We lowered our 2026 GDP growth forecast to 3% from 4% in the June vintage after incorporating the second-quarter GDP result, which was far weaker than expected,” Moody’s Analytics Assistant Director and Economist Sarah Tan said in an e-mailed reply to questions.

    The Philippine economy slumped to its worst post-pandemic growth of 2.3% in the April-to-June period, as investments and public construction continued to reel from last year’s flood control corruption scandal. Rising prices from the Middle East war-driven oil shock also strained household spending.

    “The economy expanded by just 2.3% year on year, with private consumption showing notable weakness and private investment collapsing,” Ms. Tan noted. “This points to softer underlying domestic demand than we had previously anticipated.”

    As of the first half of 2026, the country’s GDP growth averaged 2.6%, well below the government’s 3.5%-4.5% full-year target.

    If Moody’s Analytics’ forecast holds true, the government will miss its growth target for a fourth year in a row. The economy would also further soften from last year’s post-pandemic low growth of 4.4%.

    Economists earlier said that reaching even the bottom end of the government’s target entails a steep climb, as it means the economy must grow by at least 4.4% in the second half.

    Moody’s Analytics sees growth recovering over the next two years to 4.6% in 2027 and 5.1% in 2028. The government wants full-year expansion to be between 5% and 6% from 2027 to 2030.

    Meanwhile, GlobalSource Partners Country Analyst Diwa C. Guinigundo noted that the Philippines could face a more complicated path toward fiscal consolidation if growth remains below potential.

    “Slower growth would make fiscal consolidation and debt reduction more difficult,” he said in a Viber message. “The issue is not simply that government revenues would grow more slowly; a weaker economy also means a smaller denominator for the debt-to-GDP ratio.”

    Let me end this post by asking you readers: What is your reaction to this recent development? Do you think 2026 will end up as a very disappointing year of economic growth for the Philippines? Do you think the economy of the Philippines could still fall into a recession in 2027 or in the first half of 2028? Are you convinced that the Philippines has nothing to gain economically from hosting the ASEAN Summit?

    You may answer in the comments below. If you prefer to answer privately, you may do so by sending me a direct message online.

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    Thank you for reading. If you find this article engaging, please click the like button below, share this article to others and also please consider making a donation to support my publishing. If you are looking for a copywriter to create content for your special project or business, check out my services and my portfolio. Feel free to contact me with a private message. Also please feel free to visit my Facebook page Author Carlo Carrasco and follow me on Twitter at @CarloCarrascoPH as well as on Tumblr at https://carlocarrasco.tumblr.com/ and on Instagram athttps://www.instagram.com/authorcarlocarrasco

    #ASEAN #ASEANSummit #Asia #AssociationOfSoutheastAsianNationsASEAN #Bing #business #businessNews #BusinessWorld #CarloCarrasco #ChatGPT #economic #economicConfidence #economicDynamism #economicForecast #economicGrowth #economicRecession #economicRecovery #economicSlowdown #economics #economy #Facebook #Fediverse #finance #GDP #GDPGrowth #geek #Google #GoogleSearch #governance #grossDomesticProductGDP #growth #Instagram #Investagrams #jobs #manufacturing #Mastodon #money #MoodyS #MoodySAnalytics #multiculturalism #news #Philippines #PhilippinesBlog #Pinoy #publicService #recession #socialMedia #SoutheastAsia #technology #Twitter #WordPress #WordPressCom
  2. Deutsche Bank warns markets are pricing in a near-perfect Goldilocks scenario

    Stock chart with arrow going up and bubbles ©Adobe Stock Images Financial markets are relying on an unusually…
    #Germany #DE #Europe #EU #Europa #DeutscheBank #commoditymarkets #economicslowdown #financialconditions #FinancialMarkets #globalequitymarkets #HenryAllen
    europesays.com/germany/77154/

  3. Can Europe survive a long term economic slowdown?

    For decades, Europe was viewed as one of the world’s most stable and prosperous economic centers. The European…
    #Europe #EU #China #economicslowdown #economicstagnation #UnitedStates
    europesays.com/europe/47523/

  4. Germany news: Economic slowdown expected in 2nd quarter

    Germany’s government is predicting a clear economic slowdown in the second quarter Rising energy prices have led to…
    #Germany #DE #Europe #EU #Europa #economicslowdown #energyprices #energy-intensiveindustries #Germangovernment #Ifoinstitute #Risingprices
    europesays.com/germany/14337/

  5. Philippine Economic Growth Slows Down To 2.8% In 1st Quarter Of 2026

    While the Philippines is hosting the summit of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN), the economy of the nation grew only 2.8% in the first quarter this year and it is the slowest growth in five years, according to a business news report by the Manila Bulletin.

    To put things in perspective, posted below is an excerpt from the Manila Bulletin news report. Some parts in boldface…

    The Philippine economy grew at its slowest pace in five years, expanding just 2.8 percent in the first quarter of 2026, as the country grapples with the persistent government spending slump and mounting inflation shocks.

    The country’s economy, as measured by the gross domestic product (GDP), decelerated from the 3.0 percent expansion recorded in the final three months of 2025.

    It also significantly missed the 3.4 percent median growth projected by economists in a survey, and marked the weakest quarterly output for the country since the first quarter of 2021, when the economy contracted 3.8 percent during pandemic-era lockdowns.

    Growth was severely dragged down by a prolonged slump in public construction following a massive government flood-control scandal late last year, which has continued to stall state spending.

    Moreover, the global energy shock triggered by the Middle East conflict in late February also sent domestic oil and input costs soaring, severely denting consumer and business confidence.

    Let me end this post by asking you readers: What is your reaction to this recent development? Do you think heavy government spending will boost the economy somehow? Could it be possible that the Philippines could fall into a recession this year or next year? How do you rate the performance of the economic managers of the national government?

    You may answer in the comments below. If you prefer to answer privately, you may do so by sending me a direct message online.

    +++++

    Thank you for reading. If you find this article engaging, please click the like button below, share this article to others and also please consider making a donation to support my publishing. If you are looking for a copywriter to create content for your special project or business, check out my services and my portfolio. Feel free to contact me with a private message. Also please feel free to visit my Facebook page Author Carlo Carrasco and follow me on Twitter at @CarloCarrascoPH as well as on Tumblr at https://carlocarrasco.tumblr.com/ and on Instagram athttps://www.instagram.com/authorcarlocarrasco

    #ASEAN #ASEANSummit #Asia #AssociationOfSoutheastAsianNationsASEAN #Bing #business #businessNews #CarloCarrasco #ChatGPT #commerce #economicDynamism #economicGrowth #economicSlowdown #economics #economy #EconomyOfThePhilippines #energy #Facebook #finance #food #geek #Google #GoogleSearch #governance #grossDomesticProductGDP #inflation #inflationRate #Instagram #Investagrams #jobs #ManilaBulletin #MiddleEast #money #news #oil #Philippines #PhilippinesBlog #Pinoy #publicService #recession #socialMedia #SoutheastAsia #technology #Twitter #war #WordPress #WordPressCom
  6. German auto industry faces even tougher competition as China economy slows

    BEIJING, April 25 (Reuters) – China’s economic slowdown is squeezing Germany’s carmakers further as they face a ‌lasting…
    #Germany #DE #Europe #EU #Europa #China #Chinesemarket #economicslowdown #Germanautomakers #HildegardMueller #presidentofGermany
    europesays.com/germany/7484/

  7. Core Industries Contracted 0.4% in March, Signaling Economic Slump

    Eight core industries fell by 0.4% in March 2026, the biggest drop in 19 months. This signals a slowing economy. Who is affected? Businesses and workers in these key sectors.

    #CoreIndustries #EconomicSlowdown #March2026 #IndustrialProduction #Economy

    newsletter.tf/core-industries-

  8. Bangkok Post – Exporters face another tough year

    Containers are stacked at a Port Authority of Thailand site. Mr Dhanakorn says shipments this year will be…
    #NewsBeep #News #Economy #AU #Australia #Business #DhanakornKasetrsuwan #economicslowdown #exports #Thailand #TNSCchairman #trade
    newsbeep.com/au/388543/

  9. China’s Economic Crisis: Record Exports but Plummeting Domestic Growth | Business

    TL;DR: Driving the newsChina’s economic engine sputtered hard in November, with retail sales rising just 1.3% – the…
    #NewsBeep #News #Economy #Business #ChinaEconomy #Chineseexports #economicslowdown #realestatecrisis #UK #UnitedKingdom #XiJinpinggrowthmodel
    newsbeep.com/uk/319613/

  10. Saturday, June 7, 2025

    Ukraine strikes Russian air bases in preemptive strike ahead of drone, missile attack — Find and destroy: how Ukraine’s own Peaky Blinders mastered the art of bomber drones — Russia plans to occupy Ukraine east of Dnipro, cut Black Sea access — Trump quietly pressuring Senate to weaken Russia sanctions … and more

    activitypub.writeworks.uk/2025

  11. #liberation #trump #EconomicSlowdown

    Some experts say, that last days have been the worst in world economy history. Yes, Trump made it and released his tariffs and spilled trillions of USD down the drain. This is what happens if one single administration wants chaos and doesn't care about people and consequences.
    But, is America really the center of worldwide economy? No, its not! It plays an important role, but the rest of the worldwide economy is much bigger and more important than USA!

  12. #LiberationDay will make Americans pay $6 trillion for Trump's tariffs.
    The largest tax hike in US history. acording to CNN #Trump #USpol #EconomicSlowdown

  13. Should America Adopt a Socialist Economic System?

    The United States has long operated under a capitalist economic system, emphasizing private property, free markets, and limited government intervention. The question of whether America should adopt a socialist economic system is a highly debated topic, particularly in the context of U.S. law and historical legal precedents.

    @politics
    #politics #usa #EconomicSlowdown #adobe

  14. ECB President Lagarde: The Eurozone economy experienced a slowdown in the last quarter of 2023. #Lagarde #ECB #Eurozone #EconomicSlowdown #EconomicOutlook

  15. 美國通貨膨脹率趨勢追蹤
    已經更新到2023年2月資料

    sites.google.com/view/usinflat

    通貨膨脹率的下降斜率趨緩,顯示美國物價黏性高,想要達到美國聯準會的長期2%目標仍有段路可走,不過所謂的2%是「均值」,代表有上下限,預計最快能達到的上限約4.576%,所以還差1.5%的路,看起來還是很有感的。

    #inflation #economics #財經 #經濟 #MathGPT #AI #數學 #統計 #數據分析 #chatgpt #data #dataanalytics #trend #statistics #econometrics #technology #科技 #技術 #科學 #science #EconomicSlowdown @economics @academicchatter @board

  16. 使用 #MathGPT for numerical modelling 軟件驗證奧肯法則(Okun's Law)。
    取得美國實質GDP變動率和失業率變化的數據,得到一次性估計的直線模式和非直線模式結果。

    兩模式顯示美國遭遇經濟衝擊時,失業率變化趨於極端將高估實質GDP變動率。過於樂觀的結果就是社會成本負擔提高。如果金融遊戲被看穿手腳,那經濟情勢就更有意思了。

    blog article:
    meiyulee.github.io/leetalk/202

    #經濟 #財經 #觀點 #AI #科技 #技術 #technology #data #dataanalytics #economics #EconomicSlowdown #recession #econmastodon #econdon #AI經濟

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