#econmastodon — Public Fediverse posts

US leading indicators signal recession

https://volewica.blogspot.com/2025/12/us-leading-indicators-signal-recession.html

#EconDon #EconMastodon #Economy #Recession

US layoffs still trending up

https://volewica.blogspot.com/2025/12/us-layoffs-still-trending-up.html

#EconDon #EconMastodon #Unemployment #Recession

US private data index suggest ongoing weakness

https://volewica.blogspot.com/2025/12/us-private-data-index-suggest-ongoing.html

#EconDon #EconMastodon

World PMI very sluggish

https://volewica.blogspot.com/2025/12/world-pmi-very-sluggish.html

#EconMastodon

US manufacturing stagnates

https://volewica.blogspot.com/2025/12/us-manufacturing-stagnates.html

#EconMastodon

Oz's headline inflation picks up

https://volewica.blogspot.com/2025/12/ozs-headline-inflation-picks-up.html

#EconMastodon

A very clear slowdown in China

https://volewica.blogspot.com/2025/12/a-very-clear-slowdown-in-china.html

#China #EconMastodon #Recession

Big 5 expansion slows

https://volewica.blogspot.com/2025/11/big-5-expansion-slows.html

#EconMastodon

US stagflation?

https://volewica.blogspot.com/2025/11/us-stagflation.html

#Stagflation #EconMastodon #Economy

US PMIs: growth OK-ish, prices not.

https://volewica.blogspot.com/2025/11/us-pmis-growth-ok-ish-prices-not.html

#Stagflation #Economy #EconMastodon

Will world interest rates fall further?

https://volewica.blogspot.com/2025/11/will-world-interest-rates-fall-further.html

#Economy #EconMastodon

My private sector index looks ..... terrible

https://volewica.blogspot.com/2025/11/my-private-sector-index-looks-terrible.html

#Recession #EconMastodon

Private sector data confirm US slowdown

https://volewica.blogspot.com/2025/11/private-sector-data-confirm-us-slowdown.html

#EconMastodon

Europe drives world econ higher

https://volewica.blogspot.com/2025/11/europe-drives-world-econ-higher.html

#EconMastodon

Extending PMIs back in time

https://volewica.blogspot.com/2024/01/extending-pmis-back-in-time.html

#Economy #EconMastodon

US economy soggy

https://volewica.blogspot.com/2025/11/us-economy-soggy.html

#Economy #EconMastodon

Europe's weak recovery

https://volewica.blogspot.com/2025/11/europes-weak-recovery.html

#Economy #Europe #ECB #EconMastodon

Russia continues to slump

https://volewica.blogspot.com/2025/11/russia-continues-to-slump.html

#Russia #EconMastodon #Economy

Australia starts to slide back into recession

https://volewica.blogspot.com/2025/11/australia-starts-to-slide-back-into.html

#Economy #EconMastodon

Look at who has joined us here on the #Fediverse!

It's one of Canada's pre-eminent economists, Professor @trevortombe. As a person who was formerly involved in politics, I regularly relied on his reasoned research and revelatory insight.

Also, it was always good to see a public intellectual hold court and press for a fullness of dialogue in our shared democratic discourse.

So, my advice?

Follow him.

Like, yesterday.

#cdnpoli #EconomistParty #ableg #abpoli #yyccc #CanPol #EconMastodon

Is the Fed’s war on #inflation won?

Wednesday’s decision to hold interest rates steady does show the U.S. economy has been more resilient than expected – but an economist and Fed-watcher says it’s too early to celebrate

https://theconversation.com/the-federal-reserve-held-off-hiking-interest-rates-it-may-still-be-too-early-to-start-popping-the-corks-214022
#Economics #EconMastodon

@MollyNYC @ned The whole defense of #capitalism supposedly based on #economics is based on obfuscating the actual legal structure of property rights under capitalism in favor of a metaphor about division of the product. In terms of that actual structure, the employees of a firm legally own 0% of the positive and negative product of the firm while the employer legally owns 100% of the whole product

#econ #EconTwitter #EconMastodon

Is there an econ Mastodon the way there is / was an econ twitter?

And if so, where can I find it?

#economics #econ #econmastodon

@economics @board @laborecon
Update trend of ADP nonfram payrolls. The latest trend shows the average decrease of 387.49 (till Feb. 2023) to 323.89 (till Mar. 2023) thousands of persons per month. The nonfarm payrolls trend has declined slowly.

#mathgpt #mathai #ai #technology #nonfarm #AI財經 #AI經濟 #laborecon #economics #econmastodon #econdon

@fishecon @BibbleCo @chancerydaily Is there a generally-accepted hashtag for the community over here yet?

#EconMastodon seems sort of dead...

@[email protected] @[email protected]
即使是美國核心PCE年增率趨勢，也同樣再逼近4.576%的安全界限。不過核心PCE年增率卻有著很大的不同。在下降階段形成兩個下降趨勢，並且可見物價黏性，導致年增率下降速度改變。

過程中同樣經歷美聯儲升息，但愈到近期猶疑不定和更多的猜測，經濟事件如矽谷銀行等，核心PCE年增率下降速度趨緩是很顯而易見的。

#經濟 #財經 #economics #inflation #通貨膨脹 #通脹 #通膨 #Econdon #Econmastodon

The toot on https://mastodon.social/@aphoebusli/110009831595361990 had shown the UK inflation trend with time signals and trend signals, using #MathGPT for numerical modelling.

The latest line's equation from 2022/06~2023/01:
Y=0.083333+0.108333*X, R2=0.365462

Today, the plot covers the latest data of February, 2023.

The latest line's equation from 2022/06~2023/02:
Y=1.154444+0.095000*X, R2=0.380742

#inflation #UK #economics #finance #research #econmastodon @academicchatter @econometrics @economics @macroeconomics

布蘭特原油期貨價格(Yahoo! Finance, BZ=F)

到2023年3月16日的趨勢線Y=431.449286-1.421548*X, R2=0.832260

到2023年3月17日的趨勢線Y=435.543111-1.438167*X, R2=0.878616

到2023年3月20日的趨勢線Y=413.302000-1.348000*X, R2=0.887865

觀察：
斜率
從16日到17日下跌趨勢變快，從17日到30日則趨緩

R2
估計線的解釋力隨著增加新的數字，持續增加，目前趨勢仍維持下跌，還沒看到轉折

@economics #數學 #統計 #AI #人工智慧 #精準建模 #精準分析 #finance #財經 #原油 #油價 #brent #economics #mathematics #statistics #artificialintelligence #data #datascience #science #dataanalytics #dataanalysis #econmastodon #econdon

布蘭特原油期貨價格(Yahoo! Finance, BZ=F)
目的：建立短期精準趨勢
方法：lines conbimed method 多線段法
軟體：#MathGPT for numerical modelling
空心點：原數值
紅點：估計值
綠點：預測值
想解數字問題 必先建立精準數學模型
#數學 #統計 #AI #人工智慧 #精準建模 #精準分析 #finance #財經 #原油 #油價 #brent #economics #mathematics #statistics #artificialintelligence #data #datascience #science #dataanalytics #dataanalysis #crudeoil @economics #econmastodon

✅US Oken's Law

#economics #econometrics #finance #AI #technology #thesis #writing #data #econmastodon #dataanalytics #MathGPT @econometrics
@macroeconomics @economics

Downlaod software:
https://github.com/meiyulee/MathGPT