#dodgydossier — Public Fediverse posts

Tony Blair did you not learn your lesson from last time!!

"Revealed: Tony Blair’s ‘Dodgy Iran Dossier’ Helped Shape Trump War Plan"

"This assumption that bombing would spark an uprising sufficient to collapse the [Iran] regime can be traced to a Bush-linked lobby group ... at least partly premised on polling data promoted by the Tony Blair Institute [aka TBI], which survey experts have criticised as deeply flawed. ...

"In previous years at TBI, both Aarabi and Shelley cited survey data produced by Netherlands nonprofit GAMAAN to claim that Iranians were desperate for “regime change” ...

"The most rigorous polling available tells a different story. ... When asked their top priority, 48% chose making Iran “more economically prosperous”. Only 6% chose making it “more democratic and free”. ...

"The [TBI] paper then argued that 84% of those against compulsory hijab also wanted to live in a secular state, and made an interpretive leap: because “a secular state is impossible under the Islamic Republic, regime change is the only route”, anti-compulsory-hijab sentiment was “inextricably linked to regime change”. This language effectively recoded support for secularism as evidence of a demand to overthrow the regime."

Well that sounds to me like a very silly and far-fetched "interpretive leap"! You can easily favour a secular state without thinking that the best way to get there is starting a war.

What nonsense. No wonder that paper was criticised as "unscientific".

https://bylinetimes.com/2026/03/24/revealed-tony-blairs-dodgy-iran-dossier-helped-shape-trump-war-plan/

#Iran #IranWar #TonyBlair #TBI #GAMAAN #stats #DodgyDossier #USPol