#deterrence — Public Fediverse posts
Live and recent posts from across the Fediverse tagged #deterrence, aggregated by home.social.
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#US swaps ideology for ‘flexible realism’ & hard #deterrence in #SoutheastAsia
" #Thailand, he characterised as “our oldest diplomatic partner in #Asia & only mainland ally”.. where Washington wld avoid “ideological lectures” & focus instead on “what practically matters to us both”.. #Singapore, Colby saw “te ultimate model of pragmatic, businesslike cooperation”, built not on “an overarching ideological framework” but on a shared reading of te region’s #security environ"
https://www.scmp.com/week-asia/politics/article/3363596/us-swaps-ideology-flexible-realism-and-hard-deterrence-southeast-asia?utm_source=rss_feed -
Deterrence is the danger: Nagasaki's mayor takes aim at the nuclear powers
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https://1ban.news/nagasaki-81st-anniversary-deterrence-warning/
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Deterrence is the danger: Nagasaki's mayor takes aim at the nuclear powers
Our best stories, delivered daily. Follow us.
https://1ban.news/nagasaki-81st-anniversary-deterrence-warning/
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Here we go again…Allan Behm (writing for the Australian Institute) serves up another word salad and take pockshots at… Australia’s adherence to the NPT via… well, everything submarine and US alliance with a limp lettuce. Or is it a swipe at Senator #Conroy ‘s interview performance on 7:30? You tell me, I couldn’t decide which.
I might also note that the Virginia boats to be sold to Australia are capable of launching US Cruise missiles (Tomahawk and its latest nuclear capable incarnation) via torpoedo tubes (simple google search will reveal that much). Hence, so are current USN Virginia boats not just the new ones to be built — that makes the USN SSGN rotations in HMAS Stearling in 2032 the author references here irrelevent — we’d be hosting potentially nuclear armed SSN (from the US and potentially the UK) well before then… might already have.
My opinion of the author’s writing craft is decidedly going on a slide into the bin. Read him if you must, just keep your wits about you and read him very carefully and have a think about it.
Just in case my writing here attracts critical comments, in my defence, this is a toot, not an analysis, nor anything I’d consider ready for publication.
#USN #US #SSN #SSGN #VirginiaBloc4 #AUKUS #NPT #NuclearWeapons #BasingFacilites #HostingNuclearCapabability #HMASSterling #B52Bombers #USMilitaryPrepositioning #ANZUS #ADF #SubmarinePlatforms #Defence #Deterrence #AusPol #AustralianSovereignty #AllanBehm #AustralianInstitute
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Here we go again…Allan Behm (writing for the Australian Institute) serves up another word salad and take pockshots at… Australia’s adherence to the NPT via… well, everything submarine and US alliance with a limp lettuce. Or is it a swipe at Senator #Conroy ‘s interview performance on 7:30? You tell me, I couldn’t decide which.
I might also note that the Virginia boats to be sold to Australia are capable of launching US Cruise missiles (Tomahawk and its latest nuclear capable incarnation) via torpoedo tubes (simple google search will reveal that much). Hence, so are current USN Virginia boats not just the new ones to be built — that makes the USN SSGN rotations in HMAS Stearling in 2032 the author references here irrelevent — we’d be hosting potentially nuclear armed SSN (from the US and potentially the UK) well before then… might already have.
My opinion of the author’s writing craft is decidedly going on a slide into the bin. Read him if you must, just keep your wits about you and read him very carefully and have a think about it.
Just in case my writing here attracts critical comments, in my defence, this is a toot, not an analysis, nor anything I’d consider ready for publication.
#USN #US #SSN #SSGN #VirginiaBloc4 #AUKUS #NPT #NuclearWeapons #BasingFacilites #HostingNuclearCapabability #HMASSterling #B52Bombers #USMilitaryPrepositioning #ANZUS #ADF #SubmarinePlatforms #Defence #Deterrence #AusPol #AustralianSovereignty #AllanBehm #AustralianInstitute
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More warheads, farther reach: France redraws its nuclear map
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More warheads, farther reach: France redraws its nuclear map
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🟢 military cooperation | 5/10
🇹🇼 🇺🇸Taiwan acknowledges closer military cooperation with US
Taiwanese officials confirmed to WSJ that military cooperation with the US is far closer than perceived, including long-secret training, and that security exchanges are expanding.#OSINT #NewsGroup #Taiwan #US #MilitaryCooperation #Deterrence
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I have to say, I’m not a fan of Allan Behm (now with The Australian Institute) because, in this short article at least, he makes assertions that are light on defense and imply assumptions that are not divulged. In this case it is about #AUKUS of course, if a horse may be beaten to death, this one is surpisingly resilient.
“So, we are now left with huge investments focused on a single capability, without any consideration of the suite of capabilities Australia needs for its defence, and where just one of those capabilities — submarines — fits in.”
There are so many things wrong with the quoted segment above. I will only address the most important of these. There are valid strategic and tactical requirements for the RAN to field submarines. These were first identified after #Federation (our first subs arrived from the UK in 1914 and were deployed to our North against the German navy). and while a lot has changed since, the basic requirements were never made redundent given there have been many successful submarine procurements and deployments since WW One. So let no one question where these boats will ‘fit in’ lest it demonstrates an anomalous understanding of the matter (its kinder than saying erroneous). And Behm should know better if his resumé is any guide. There are a lot of thing to look at in this AUKUS Tier One *Deal* and much of it rightly ought to be brought to light and publically discussed, but whether Australia needs submarines or not is not one of them.
https://thepoint.com.au/opinions/260728-aukus-when-not-enough-is-still-too-much
I’ve said it before and I’m saying it again. I will always support ADF members in their requirements for the best platforms and weapon systems in order to give them the best odds of successfully carrying the tasks assigned to them by the govt of the day. And for submariners this is especially important.
#LestWeForget #SSN #SubSurfaceWarfare #Defence #ADF #AUKUStierOne #SovereignCapability #GeopoliticalStrategy #SilentService #SSN #Submarine #AustralianInstitute #NavalStrategy #Deterrence #AllanBohm
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I have to say, I’m not a fan of Allan Behm (now with The Australian Institute) because, in this short article at least, he makes assertions that are light on defense and imply assumptions that are not divulged. In this case it is about #AUKUS of course, if a horse may be beaten to death, this one is surpisingly resilient.
“So, we are now left with huge investments focused on a single capability, without any consideration of the suite of capabilities Australia needs for its defence, and where just one of those capabilities — submarines — fits in.”
There are so many things wrong with the quoted segment above. I will only address the most important of these. There are valid strategic and tactical requirements for the RAN to field submarines. These were first identified after #Federation (our first subs arrived from the UK in 1914 and were deployed to our North against the German navy). and while a lot has changed since, the basic requirements were never made redundent given there have been many successful submarine procurements and deployments since WW One. So let no one question where these boats will ‘fit in’ lest it demonstrates an anomalous understanding of the matter (its kinder than saying erroneous). And Behm should know better if his resumé is any guide. There are a lot of thing to look at in this AUKUS Tier One *Deal* and much of it rightly ought to be brought to light and publically discussed, but whether Australia needs submarines or not is not one of them.
https://thepoint.com.au/opinions/260728-aukus-when-not-enough-is-still-too-much
I’ve said it before and I’m saying it again. I will always support ADF members in their requirements for the best platforms and weapon systems in order to give them the best odds of successfully carrying the tasks assigned to them by the govt of the day. And for submariners this is especially important.
#LestWeForget #SSN #SubSurfaceWarfare #Defence #ADF #AUKUStierOne #SovereignCapability #GeopoliticalStrategy #SilentService #SSN #Submarine #AustralianInstitute #NavalStrategy #Deterrence #AllanBohm
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How’s that “rational actor” theory working for #deterrence strategists?
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How’s that “rational actor” theory working for #deterrence strategists?
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How To Prevent Nuclear War: Prepare To Win It
A provocative title going against the grain of Common Wisdom, but Common Wisdom has been going nowhere good as far as nuclear war is concerned. Uncommon wisdom is what we embrace, and obviously where the solution lays because clearly the alternatives, MAD, Mutually Assured Destruction and pacifist unilateral disarment failed.
Abstract: The traditional doctrine of Mutual Assured Destruction (MAD) assumes that peace rests upon universal vulnerability. This essay argues instead that genuine peace requires making nuclear aggression militarily ineffective.
Popular nuclear-war scenarios oversimplify political decision-making and neglect the strategic importance of the world’s other nuclear powers beyond the United States and Russia.
The author contends that modern anti-ballistic missile systems already demonstrate high interception rates and that continued technological progress could render large-scale nuclear attacks largely ineffective and cost prohibitive.
Coupled with hardened infrastructure and greatly expanded, cheaper mass industrial interceptor production, such defenses would shift deterrence from mutual destruction toward active protection. Although offensive systems will continue evolving, there is only so much which they can do, whereas defensive systems capabilities will become nearly infinite when directed energy weapons (lasers!) achieve higher performances (soon). A sufficiently strong defensive shield would discourage nuclear blackmail and reduce the likelihood of deliberate escalation.
In this view, preparing to defeat nuclear attacks is not a path toward war but a practical strategy for preserving peace by making nuclear coercion an increasingly irrational and self-defeating choice.
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Nuclear War Fable:
In the well documented, and initially gripping book “Nuclear War A Scenario” journalist Annie Jacobsen describes a nuclear decapitation strike, a “bolt out of the blue” a one megaton bomb exploding over the Pentagon. The mad king in Korea unleashed a nuclear attack on Washington DC and the Diablo Canyon nuclear power plant.
Putin, full of anger at not being consulted before a counterstrike on North Korea, and misunderstanding it for an attack on Russia, unleashes in turn a massive strike on the USA… Which counterstrikes.
To advance her plot, Jacobsen uses highly unlikely events, such as Marine One helicopter not taking off for long minutes, while a nuclear warhead is known to be incoming, because, Jacobsen relates, officials are fiercely arguing about parachutes for everybody. In truth, if a warhead was heading toward the Pentagon, the US president would be shoved into the helicopter with not a single second wasted. Also she makes the US fire a volley of ballistic missiles over Russia to get at North Korea. Such a volley fired from a field like Malmstrom AFB, Montana is roughly northwest (around 318° azimuth), and using the great-circle vertex formula, the path’s highest latitude comes out to about 63°N before it curves back south toward Korea. That puts the track over:
- Western Canada and the Canadian Arctic Then the Bering Strait / far western Alaska
- Followed by Russian territory around Magadan Oblast (Russia’s Far East, north of Kamchatka), descending southward, heading down toward the Sea of Japan and Korea.
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All this is happening on the Pacific fringe, far from Europe.
That Putin would unleash an attack on the USA, after witnessing an attack on the USA, without being sure Russia is attacked makes absolutely no sense: hiding behind his bluster, Putin has shown to be a very rational and cautious actor. Invading Ukraine became a huge mistake only after eight years of slow invasion and because Putin was lied to by his own generals.
If Putin unleashed a massive attack on warning, Putin would be only sure that Russia would be completely destroyed, and every Russian officer knows this. If he does not unleash, but waits to make sure, Russia has a chance. This is all the more true, because most of the 1772 Russian nuclear bombs at-the-ready are mobile… So a first strike can’t get at them..
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Another thing which makes no sense is that the nuclear forces at the ready of China, France, UK, India, Pakistan and Israel are about as great as those of Russia or the US… And so must be taken into account. Putin himself said that French and British nuclear forces had to be taken into account.
In Jacobsen’s scenario, Paris and London are obliterated by the Russians, but together, France and Britain have 8 strategic nuclear subs (the US has 14). Attacking France and Britain would roughly augment Russia’s strategic opposition by 50% for no good reason.
In case of an all-out war between the USA on one side and Russia, and North Korea, on the other, the remaining six nuclear weapons powers would rule the world… Except of course if they were attacked, but attacking them would divert enormous resources, preventing all-out war between the USA and Russia-North Korea.
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Well, book writers must sell their books and oriented, unrealistic fables sell best. In the precise scenario deployed by Jacobsen, Putin would never all-out attack the way she describes it. He would wait and see.
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So what about a realistic scenario?
An all-out attack of North Korea on South Korea and the USA is imaginable if somehow the entourage of the tyrant Kim was ready to die with him. And if Kim feared a coup. As it is he is the son of a Japanese immigrant, and not some sort of noble Korean lineage. So, plausibly, he could fear some retribution. Jang Song-thaek, Kim Jong-un’s mentor and uncle by marriage, was executed in 2013. An unverified newspaper reported that the uncle was eaten by dogs while conscious. The story may be false. However what is clear is that Jang Song-thaek’s direct relatives were killed, including his sister, brother-in-law, a nephew, and other family members; some reports said even children and grandchildren were included…
If Kim, his daughter and his sister feel that they are next on the canine menu, they may well prefer nuclear war from inside the bunker located 1900 feet deep into the sacred volcano…
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Putin has been playing nuclear brinkmanship to intimidate his adversaries, while Xi has made clear that nuclear threats are unacceptable and should not be used to settle conflicts. The answer of the West has been to slowly increase the temperature in the hope that Russia and Putin will reach ebullition without noticing.
I believe that there is a danger that Putin will use nukes in a sickle thrust, if desperate enough.
But that would not be an all-out nuclear war. .
At least not right away.
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Scenarios involving slow escalation exist, especially if China made the error of siding with Putin in direct war, and attacked in the South China Sea or Taiwan, to try to exploit the West’s dwindling ammunition stores…
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Also, in the future one could imagine a Chinese leader, or the leader of another non-democratic nuclear armed country trying to escape death from a coup with the distraction of nuclear war. So how to escape nuclear war?
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HOW TO WIN NUCLEAR WAR: ANTI BALLISTIC MISSILE MISSILES
In the Jacobsen Nuclear War scenario, it is recognized that the US destroyers and cruisers equipped with the appropriate missiles achieved 85% interception success against ballistic missiles. In the book they are simply not deployed to protect the USA.
If two such missiles were fired at each incoming warhead, one could expect only 2% of the warheads to get through… And that was with tech of a few years ago, say 2022.
Anti-missile tech can be vastly improved. For example the US Patriot 3 hits the incoming missile with direct interception. It’s like hitting a bullet with a bullet. Each missile costs around 4 millions.
The French Aster 30 NG, accelerates faster laterally and moreover is equipped with a directional warhead, so it does not need to touch the other missile. Even the older version of that missile was launched individually, because of its higher kill probability.
That French tech could easily be emulated in Trump’s Golden Dome.
If 99% of the incoming missiles are intercepted, nuclear war can certainly be won. The 99% can be achieved with existing tech.
France, in cooperation with Ukraine will test bed the Aster 30 New Generation in real combat in Ukraine (a method, testing in combat, ironically enough advocated by Vladimir Putin himself!)
New tech interceptor systems with better AI will be able to achieve better than 99%.
With careful planning, evacuation and hardening of cities, the USA, a continent sized country, would certainly be able to ride a scenario even with two dozen nuclear explosions (which would be a worst-case scenario if several thousands interceptors are deployed).
Some other measures, for example against Electromagnetic Pulse (EMP) could be taken to harden countries such as France and the USA.
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So France and the USA need to.. Rearm. As it is, the USA intends to produce 600 Patriot 3 a year. It takes two years to make one missile. And France intends to boost Aster 30’s production to 300. The need of Ukraine on a single 2026 summer night is often more than 50 Patriot 3 and, or Aster 30… The need is for a production at least ten times greater.
If the leading Nuclear Defense Industrial Base of the Empire Of Democracy, namely France and the USA, become so capable that they can win a nuclear war, worldwide nuclear peace will be easier to achieve… Other nuclear armed powers would be hesitant to wage war, as then they would be easy picking…
Nuclear winter is not a scenario here, because nukes would be destroyed in flight (fall-out would be no worse than in the early 1960s…).
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I advocated to proceed with Dictatorship Assured Destruction (DAD). The basic argument is that Earth has become a house and maniacs with nukes in the room next door is not an option with a future. Obviously while total war can be effective with Iran as it is in 2026, it is out of the question with nuclear weapons tyrannies. So the trick has been, with Russia, to try to raise the temperature toward a slow boil so the stupid frog doesn’t understand what is going on.
So the preceding, what Trump calls the “Golden Dome” and was called “Star Wars” under Reagan, is a long term tech solution. But we need to avoid nuclear war everyday, in the next two hours. So guile and wickedness, what is called diplomacy, ought, in the meantime, while the Empire Of Democracy rearms, be used to gain time. This was intuitively accomplished when the Kremlin tyrant made his nuclear threats. Western leaders tried to pose as the crazed tyrant’s friends and intermediaries. Macron was keen to talk, Trump was Putin’s self proclaimed friend, Bush “read into his soul”, and Obama “reset”..
So guile must be used and dictators must be entertained… To some extent.
Meanwhile, military pressure must be kept on… Lest the 2020s turn into the equivalent of the 1930s Axis, the unholy opportunistic alliance of miscreants. Venezuela was put under control, Iran is undergoing domestication, and the military NATO pressure on Russia keeps going up, inciting Kim and Xi to contemplate restraint..
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Long term, the best way to prevent nuclear war is not by relying on mutual vulnerability, but by making nuclear aggression militarily futile through overwhelming defensive capability. Indeed MAD assumes actors to be rational and morally superior, not stupid, cruel, vicious and domineering with nothing to lose as most tyrants tend to be. Moreover, as technology provides tyrants with ever more means, their sort is on the increase.
So the technical race into better nuclear fighting capability is a civilization savior, prudent, most just, and a wisdom promoter. What is there not to like? All the good fallout from more advanced AI inside the anti-ballistic missiles?
Patrice Ayme
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Canopus Nuclear Test’s mushroom cloud drilling high in the stratosphere, French Polynesia, August 1968, 2.6 megatons H bomb, 160 times Hiroshima. Big enough to thoroughly annihilate any metropolis on Earth. France has more than 300 nuclear bombs at the ready and has made the exact number secret.
#AntiBallisticMissiles #DADDictatorshipAssuredDestruction #Deterrence #GoldenDome #Iran #Israel #NuclearWar #politics #Russia #war -
https://www.wacoca.com/news/2889291/ 「中国とロシア、日本のEEZで実戦演習」小泉防衛相基調講演全文 | JAPAN Forward #China #deterrence #gcap #Russia #ShinjiroKoizumi #ロシア #政治・安全保障問題
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Japan Needs Debate on Nuclear Weapons: Defense Minister
Islam Times – Japan’s defense chief said Tokyo needs a debate on nuclear weapons, as some European countries are seeking greate…
#Japan #JP #JapanNews ##s #a #are #as #Chief #countries #debate #defense #deterrence #european #Greater #islam #local #media #minister #needs #news #Nuclear #on #reported #said #seeking #some #Sunday. #times #Tokyo #weapons
https://www.alojapan.com/1513915/japan-needs-debate-on-nuclear-weapons-defense-minister-2/ -
https://www.alojapan.com/1513915/japan-needs-debate-on-nuclear-weapons-defense-minister-2/ Japan Needs Debate on Nuclear Weapons: Defense Minister ##s #a #are #as #Chief #countries #debate #defense #deterrence #european #Greater #islam #Japan #JapanNews #local #media #minister #needs #news #Nuclear #on #reported #said #seeking #some #Sunday #times #Tokyo #weapons Islam Times – Japan’s defense chief said Tokyo needs a debate on nuclear weapons, as some European countries are seeking greater nuclear deterrence, local media reported o
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@Heterokromia
[edited link]I hear you and you have valid comments. I’ve just replied to another here:
https://urbanists.social/@MissGayle/116862181481106034
We need to understand, from a military strategic and tactical perspective, what *Deterrence* means before we get into a discussion about protecting sea lanes. The best historical example I can come up with is the German Uboat threat in the Atlantic in both WW. The Wolf pack might have been small, but their threat was Ocean wide. One can speculate a more dire outcome in WW2 had that wolfpack grown to the size the German Admirals had unsuccessfully asked for. One might also remember that that German sea lane interdiction might have been more effective had the UK not broken the Enigma code.
As far as the sovereignty and kill switch postulates, I can only reply that my security level doesn’t allow me to know one way or the other, so any comment from me would be pure speculation and unworthy of discussion at this level.
For the record, imo, the PRC Navy is still in dippers.
#ChineseNavy #PRCN #China #USNavy #AUKUS #SSN #SSNB #SeaLaneInterdiction #Deterrence #WOlfPack #WW2
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@Heterokromia
[edited link]I hear you and you have valid comments. I’ve just replied to another here:
https://urbanists.social/@MissGayle/116862181481106034
We need to understand, from a military strategic and tactical perspective, what *Deterrence* means before we get into a discussion about protecting sea lanes. The best historical example I can come up with is the German Uboat threat in the Atlantic in both WW. The Wolf pack might have been small, but their threat was Ocean wide. One can speculate a more dire outcome in WW2 had that wolfpack grown to the size the German Admirals had unsuccessfully asked for. One might also remember that that German sea lane interdiction might have been more effective had the UK not broken the Enigma code.
As far as the sovereignty and kill switch postulates, I can only reply that my security level doesn’t allow me to know one way or the other, so any comment from me would be pure speculation and unworthy of discussion at this level.
For the record, imo, the PRC Navy is still in dippers.
#ChineseNavy #PRCN #China #USNavy #AUKUS #SSN #SSNB #SeaLaneInterdiction #Deterrence #WOlfPack #WW2
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Finnish Foreign Minister Elina Valtonen has called on Europe to firmly maintain its stance of pressure and deterrence in dealing with Russia. Speaking to the "F... https://news.osna.fm/?p=53076 | #news #deterrence #early #europe #finnish
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#Finland legalises the introduction, construction, and detonation of nuclear weapons in the name of allowing nuclear sharing, apparently thinking that it's better for Finland to be _certain_ Russia will target them with nuclear weapons than maybe be targeted as then Russia will have less weapons over for the nuclear armed allies of Finland.
This strategy of making yourself a distraction to help your allies is sold as a way to gain more "#deterrence", a slippery concept routinely used in an nonsensical way by military officials when justifying arms racing, discarding humanitarian concerns, and motivating the need to kill people they don't like.
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#Finland legalises the introduction, construction, and detonation of nuclear weapons in the name of allowing nuclear sharing, apparently thinking that it's better for Finland to be _certain_ Russia will target them with nuclear weapons than maybe be targeted as then Russia will have less weapons over for the nuclear armed allies of Finland.
This strategy of making yourself a distraction to help your allies is sold as a way to gain more "#deterrence", a slippery concept routinely used in an nonsensical way by military officials when justifying arms racing, discarding humanitarian concerns, and motivating the need to kill people they don't like.
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#israel #palestine : #gaza / #genocide / #humanrights / #internationallaw / #detainee / #deterrence
„The head of Kamal Adwan Hospital in northern Gaza has been imprisoned in Israel under the 'illegal combatants' law. He has not had a trial. Deprived of medical care, according to his lawyer, the pediatrician is believed to be paying the price for speaking out about Israel's destruction of Gaza's health care system.“
https://www.lemonde.fr/en/international/article/2026/06/16/hussam-abu-safiya-the-gaza-hospital-director-detained-by-israel-without-charge-since-december-2024_6754552_4.html?lmd_medium=al&lmd_campaign=envoye-par-appli&lmd_creation=ios&lmd_source=default -
#israel #palestine : #gaza / #genocide / #humanrights / #internationallaw / #detainee / #deterrence
„The head of Kamal Adwan Hospital in northern Gaza has been imprisoned in Israel under the 'illegal combatants' law. He has not had a trial. Deprived of medical care, according to his lawyer, the pediatrician is believed to be paying the price for speaking out about Israel's destruction of Gaza's health care system.“
https://www.lemonde.fr/en/international/article/2026/06/16/hussam-abu-safiya-the-gaza-hospital-director-detained-by-israel-without-charge-since-december-2024_6754552_4.html?lmd_medium=al&lmd_campaign=envoye-par-appli&lmd_creation=ios&lmd_source=default -
”When our rewilding program started, many big corporations offered us huge amounts of money if we certified carbon credits. We consulted with communities. But our answer was that we don’t sell nature.”
#wetlands #rewetting #prevention #deterrence #rewilding #Finland #Karelia #peatland #restoration #landUse
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”When our rewilding program started, many big corporations offered us huge amounts of money if we certified carbon credits. We consulted with communities. But our answer was that we don’t sell nature.”
#wetlands #rewetting #prevention #deterrence #rewilding #Finland #Karelia #peatland #restoration #landUse
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I agree as well. And I've been increasingly concerned of a more general point: do we in Europe have a "theory of victory" in case #deterrence fails and we end up in a conflict with the Kremlins? How do we win that conflict? Are we just going to hope the Kremlins fold before our magazines run dry?
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I agree as well. And I've been increasingly concerned of a more general point: do we in Europe have a "theory of victory" in case #deterrence fails and we end up in a conflict with the Kremlins? How do we win that conflict? Are we just going to hope the Kremlins fold before our magazines run dry?
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I honestly dislike and distrust my neighbor. A couple of years ago, I put a grenade launcher in my garden and pointed it towards my neighbor’s house. Now every year, I move the launcher closer and closer to see at what point they will react with countermeasures.
#Geopolitics #SecurityPolicy #MilitaryStrategy #Deterrence #Defense #InternationalRelations #NATO #ForeignPolicy #NationalSecurity #StrategicStudies #Politics #CurrentAffairs #GlobalAffairs #PeaceAndSecurity #Opinion
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I honestly dislike and distrust my neighbor. A couple of years ago, I put a grenade launcher in my garden and pointed it towards my neighbor’s house. Now every year, I move the launcher closer and closer to see at what point they will react with countermeasures.
#Geopolitics #SecurityPolicy #MilitaryStrategy #Deterrence #Defense #InternationalRelations #NATO #ForeignPolicy #NationalSecurity #StrategicStudies #Politics #CurrentAffairs #GlobalAffairs #PeaceAndSecurity #Opinion
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Why Iran Attacked Israel and Then Backed Off
Iran’s military central command has announced a halt to its strikes against Israel, declaring it had delivered a…
#NewsBeep #News #Headlines #Beirut #CA #Canada #cease-fire #Dahiyeh #deterrence #Hezbollah #Iran #Israel #MiddleEast #Netanyahu #Trump
https://www.newsbeep.com/583298/ -
US Missile Shortfalls Strain Indo-Pacific Deterrence
The US military's dwindling missile stockpile, depleted by a staggering 30% in recent operations against Iran, has sparked a pressing concern: can the Indo-Pacific region's defenses be maintained? A critical delay in delivering Tomahawk cruise missiles to Japan has exposed a capability gap, threatening the stability of the region.
#Indopacific #UsMilitary #Tomahawk #MissileShortfalls #Deterrence
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@vfrmedia @EF @ChrisMayLA6 The problem with the theory of #deterrence, generally speaking, is that it doesn't work. It works for the law-abiding, like you & me, but not for the people it needs to work for - the #criminals. If it DID, our #jails would be empty, instead of full to bursting. #Prison works as #punishment, but not as a #deterrent. Some #prisoners can be #rehabilitated, but that needs effort.
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@vfrmedia @EF @ChrisMayLA6 The problem with the theory of #deterrence, generally speaking, is that it doesn't work. It works for the law-abiding, like you & me, but not for the people it needs to work for - the #criminals. If it DID, our #jails would be empty, instead of full to bursting. #Prison works as #punishment, but not as a #deterrent. Some #prisoners can be #rehabilitated, but that needs effort.
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Germany and France have begun discussions aimed at strengthening cooperation regarding nuclear deterrence. According to "Spiegel" Günter Sautter, the security a... https://news.osna.fm/?p=48450 | #news #cooperation #deepen #deterrence #exercises
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The I. German-Dutch Corps (1GNC) is set to assume the role of a tactical headquarters within NATO planning starting in the middle of the year. This integration... https://news.osna.fm/?p=48129 | #news #bolsters #corps #deterrence #eastern
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Absolutely fascinating on the philosophy, past, present and future of nuclear deterrence in Europe.
Much I had not previously thought about.
Also, brilliant name for a podcast on European security#MildlyAlarmed #Deterrence #Russia #EU #security #nuclear
Mildly Alarmed: Inside Europe's debate about nukesEpisode webpage: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/mildly-alarmed/episodes/Inside-Europes-debate-about-nukes-e3joh7h
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Absolutely fascinating on the philosophy, past, present and future of nuclear deterrence in Europe.
Much I had not previously thought about.
Also, brilliant name for a podcast on European security#MildlyAlarmed #Deterrence #Russia #EU #security #nuclear
Mildly Alarmed: Inside Europe's debate about nukesEpisode webpage: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/mildly-alarmed/episodes/Inside-Europes-debate-about-nukes-e3joh7h
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Franziska Brantner, co-chair of the Green party, is calling for Europe to establish its own independent nuclear deterrence alongside France and Great Britain. S... https://news.osna.fm/?p=47520 | #news #amid #calls #deterrence #doubt
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LIVE: NATO military committee chairman speaks in Brussels
Admiral Giuseppe Cavo Dragone, chair of the NATO military committee, makes opening remarks at a meeting of military chiefs ahead of the NATO summit in Ankara in July. #NATO #GiuseppeCavoDragone #defense #deterrence #live #Reuters #news Keep up with the latest news from around the world:
https://fllics.com/en/video/live-nato-military-committee-chairman-speaks-in-brussels/
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LIVE: NATO military committee chairman speaks in Brussels
Admiral Giuseppe Cavo Dragone, chair of the NATO military committee, makes opening remarks at a meeting of military chiefs ahead of the NATO summit in Ankara in July. #NATO #GiuseppeCavoDragone #defense #deterrence #live #Reuters #news Keep up with the latest news from around the world:
https://fllics.com/en/video/live-nato-military-committee-chairman-speaks-in-brussels/
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https://www.wacoca.com/news/2839026/ 米中首脳が会談 日本のインド太平洋戦略加速も | JAPAN Forward #DanielManning #deterrence #DonaldTrump #India #IndoPacific #Philippines #Trump #XiJinping #インド #政治・安全保障問題
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The German General Inspector of the Armed Forces, Carsten Breuer, predicts that Russia might conduct a military test against NATO no later than 2029. Speaking t... https://news.osna.fm/?p=46018 | #news #amid #around #deterrence #military
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“So What If Iran Has Nuclear Weapons?”
by Liz Loh-Taylor in From The Faultlines on Substack
@[email protected]
@[email protected]
@[email protected]
@iran“What gives the United States and Israel the right to decide which countries are allowed #deterrence, #sovereignty and #military power, and which countries must remain permanently vulnerable beneath the threat of invasion, sanctions, assassination and destruction?
That is the real issue. It always was.
Because this conflict did not begin with uranium enrichment. It did not begin with centrifuges. It did not begin with nuclear inspections. It began the moment Iran attempted to control its own destiny outside #Western #domination”
https://open.substack.com/pub/lizlohtaylor/p/so-what-if-iran-has-nuclear-weapons
#Press #SocialMedia #Iran #War #Trump #Israel #OperationEpsteinFury #OperationEpicMistake #RegimeChange #WarCrimes #CrimesAgainstHumanity #Hormuz #Empire #Collapse #US
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“So What If Iran Has Nuclear Weapons?”
by Liz Loh-Taylor in From The Faultlines on Substack
@[email protected]
@[email protected]
@[email protected]
@iran“What gives the United States and Israel the right to decide which countries are allowed #deterrence, #sovereignty and #military power, and which countries must remain permanently vulnerable beneath the threat of invasion, sanctions, assassination and destruction?
That is the real issue. It always was.
Because this conflict did not begin with uranium enrichment. It did not begin with centrifuges. It did not begin with nuclear inspections. It began the moment Iran attempted to control its own destiny outside #Western #domination”
https://open.substack.com/pub/lizlohtaylor/p/so-what-if-iran-has-nuclear-weapons
#Press #SocialMedia #Iran #War #Trump #Israel #OperationEpsteinFury #OperationEpicMistake #RegimeChange #WarCrimes #CrimesAgainstHumanity #Hormuz #Empire #Collapse #US
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RE: https://mastodon.sg/@mastodon/116519259467690954
And it's been 32 years of relative "peace" since! 🎉🙌🇸🇬
#dejavu #zerotolerance #deterrence 👇 -
RE: https://mastodon.sg/@mastodon/116519259467690954
And it's been 32 years of relative "peace" since! 🎉🙌🇸🇬
#dejavu #zerotolerance #deterrence 👇 -
" Europe fears Putin’s ‘window of opportunity’ is now
The next two years could provide Russia with the perfect chance to test the West’s commitment to NATO. But some governments, and the alliance itself, consider the threat overblown. "
#TACO #News #Politics #USA #Europe #EU #Ukraine #Belarus #TrumpWar #Decline #Collapse #NATO #Russia #China #India #Nuclear #Deterrence #Germany #Poland #France #UK
https://www.politico.eu/article/europe-fears-valdimir-putin-window-opportunity-nato-test/
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"Zelensky: Ukrainian Drones May Target Moscow’s May 9 Parade ~
Zelensky says this summer will be decisive in forcing Putin to choose between escalation or diplomacy, urging continued sanctions pressure on Russia’s oil, industry, and banks."
#TACO #News #Politics #USA #Europe #EU #Ukraine #Belarus #TrumpWar #Decline #Collapse #NATO #Russia #China #India #Nuclear #Deterrence #Germany #Poland #France #UK #Drones
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"German Chancellor Friedrich Merz has said a US threat to pull troops out of Germany is "nothing new."
#NACHO #TACO #News #Politics #USA #Europe #EU #Ukraine #Belarus #TrumpWar #Decline #Collapse #NATO #Russia #China #India #Nuclear #Deterrence #Germany #Poland #France #UK
https://www.dw.com/en/germany-news-merz-plays-down-us-military-withdrawal-plans/live-77030293
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"Trump’s Surprise Germany Troop Withdrawal Sets Up Showdown With Congress
The Republican heads of the Senate and House Armed Services committees said they are “very concerned” by the reduction."
#NACHO #TACO #News #Politics #USA #Europe #EU #Ukraine #Belarus #TrumpWar #Decline #Collapse #NATO #Russia #China #India #Nuclear #Deterrence #Germany #Poland #France #UK