#conjunctionfallacy — Public Fediverse posts
Live and recent posts from across the Fediverse tagged #conjunctionfallacy, aggregated by home.social.
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What's a real-world manifestation of the #conjunctionFallacy?
A contrived case:
"Linda is 31 years old, single, outspoken and very bright. She majored in philosophy. As a student, she was deeply concerned with issues of discrimination and social justice, and also participated in anti-nuclear demonstrations.
Which is more probable?
A. Linda is a bank teller.
B. Linda is a bank teller and is active in the feminist movement."82% chose B (violating the conjunction rule)
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Another #framingEffect?
In "The Allure of #Simplicity", Jack Justus, Samantha Wakil and I run three #experiments on people's evaluations of explanations.
Merely labeling explanations 'simpler' or 'simplest' made people more vulnerable to the #baseRateFallacy and the #conjunctionFallacy!
Jack and I present our data and conclusions at #PSA2022 on Saturday.
#xPhi #PhilSci #CogSci #DecisionScience #Rationality #Epistemology #Psychology #Science #SciComm #Virtue