#cognitivebias — Public Fediverse posts
Live and recent posts from across the Fediverse tagged #cognitivebias, aggregated by home.social.
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Getty has a harder paywall now so you cannot use some of their search tools and are limited in how many pages you can sift through so I was unable to search directly for press photos from August 2021. However, I did find some hits from Alamy that show that at least in part of August, Weidel did not have this dark hair...she was a bottle blonde.
So it's likely either from before August 2021 or the photo has been manipulated. The strongest lighting in the photo is coming from above, which would not leave a shadow coming from the audience's direction like that.
In any case, it's not like I disagree with depicting Weidel as like a Nazi. She is. But if we admire photojournalists, we should be crediting them. If we care about sources, we should be citing them. If we care about facts, we need to be checking them and also making it easier to keep that provenance there.
#Attribution #Photography #Photojournalism #Germany #CognitiveBias
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Getty has a harder paywall now so you cannot use some of their search tools and are limited in how many pages you can sift through so I was unable to search directly for press photos from August 2021. However, I did find some hits from Alamy that show that at least in part of August, Weidel did not have this dark hair...she was a bottle blonde.
So it's likely either from before August 2021 or the photo has been manipulated. The strongest lighting in the photo is coming from above, which would not leave a shadow coming from the audience's direction like that.
In any case, it's not like I disagree with depicting Weidel as like a Nazi. She is. But if we admire photojournalists, we should be crediting them. If we care about sources, we should be citing them. If we care about facts, we need to be checking them and also making it easier to keep that provenance there.
#Attribution #Photography #Photojournalism #Germany #CognitiveBias
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Getty has a harder paywall now so you cannot use some of their search tools and are limited in how many pages you can sift through so I was unable to search directly for press photos from August 2021. However, I did find some hits from Alamy that show that at least in part of August, Weidel did not have this dark hair...she was a bottle blonde.
So it's likely either from before August 2021 or the photo has been manipulated. The strongest lighting in the photo is coming from above, which would not leave a shadow coming from the audience's direction like that.
In any case, it's not like I disagree with depicting Weidel as like a Nazi. She is. But if we admire photojournalists, we should be crediting them. If we care about sources, we should be citing them. If we care about facts, we need to be checking them and also making it easier to keep that provenance there.
#Attribution #Photography #Photojournalism #Germany #CognitiveBias
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Getty has a harder paywall now so you cannot use some of their search tools and are limited in how many pages you can sift through so I was unable to search directly for press photos from August 2021. However, I did find some hits from Alamy that show that at least in part of August, Weidel did not have this dark hair...she was a bottle blonde.
So it's likely either from before August 2021 or the photo has been manipulated. The strongest lighting in the photo is coming from above, which would not leave a shadow coming from the audience's direction like that.
In any case, it's not like I disagree with depicting Weidel as like a Nazi. She is. But if we admire photojournalists, we should be crediting them. If we care about sources, we should be citing them. If we care about facts, we need to be checking them and also making it easier to keep that provenance there.
#Attribution #Photography #Photojournalism #Germany #CognitiveBias
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Getty has a harder paywall now so you cannot use some of their search tools and are limited in how many pages you can sift through so I was unable to search directly for press photos from August 2021. However, I did find some hits from Alamy that show that at least in part of August, Weidel did not have this dark hair...she was a bottle blonde.
So it's likely either from before August 2021 or the photo has been manipulated. The strongest lighting in the photo is coming from above, which would not leave a shadow coming from the audience's direction like that.
In any case, it's not like I disagree with depicting Weidel as like a Nazi. She is. But if we admire photojournalists, we should be crediting them. If we care about sources, we should be citing them. If we care about facts, we need to be checking them and also making it easier to keep that provenance there.
#Attribution #Photography #Photojournalism #Germany #CognitiveBias
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Three biases distort your analysis #data #dataanalytics #DataAnalysis #DataBias #CognitiveBias
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Three biases distort your analysis #data #dataanalytics #DataAnalysis #DataBias #CognitiveBias
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Three biases distort your analysis #data #dataanalytics #DataAnalysis #DataBias #CognitiveBias
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Three biases distort your analysis #data #dataanalytics #DataAnalysis #DataBias #CognitiveBias
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Three biases distort your analysis #data #dataanalytics #DataAnalysis #DataBias #CognitiveBias
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In response to someone giddy over an imagined future where the only human job will be critical thinking, I tried to point out that bias may have blinded him to the thinking people already do.
What they are overlooking is the domain-level knowledge which keeps mechanics/electricians/plumbers/welders in trade schools/guilds/product manuals, truck drivers/bus drivers/pilots in trade schools/behind the wheel of specific machines for years at a go, engineers at university/conferences/industry papers/manufacturers data sheets and scientists/mathematicians at university/conferences/academic papers/libraries/research projects for the whole of their careers. They spend their lives to know how to make judgments on the decisions that the non-domain expert doesn’t even credit as a knowledge domain. If society doesn’t treat their particularized expertise as equally valuable, that doesn’t change that it’s the same human skills and effort to learn and gain the expertise to get the desired job done *right*. A lifetime of socialized specialization just so they can be judged on the fields they aren’t experts in.
People think all the time. And people are much more critical about the thinking of those in outgroups than their own friends, even when nearly everyone believes some crazy thing or has a blind spot in their thinking.
But white collar workers fetishize the forms of white collar management: memos, poster boards, diagrams, etc. without recognizing that the mode of education and prestige of the domain have little bearing on the quality of the thinking.
#CriticalThinking #DomainExpertise #SkilledTrades #HumanIntelligence #FutureOfWork #AI #CognitiveBias #DignityOfLabor
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In response to someone giddy over an imagined future where the only human job will be critical thinking, I tried to point out that bias may have blinded him to the thinking people already do.
What they are overlooking is the domain-level knowledge which keeps mechanics/electricians/plumbers/welders in trade schools/guilds/product manuals, truck drivers/bus drivers/pilots in trade schools/behind the wheel of specific machines for years at a go, engineers at university/conferences/industry papers/manufacturers data sheets and scientists/mathematicians at university/conferences/academic papers/libraries/research projects for the whole of their careers. They spend their lives to know how to make judgments on the decisions that the non-domain expert doesn’t even credit as a knowledge domain. If society doesn’t treat their particularized expertise as equally valuable, that doesn’t change that it’s the same human skills and effort to learn and gain the expertise to get the desired job done *right*. A lifetime of socialized specialization just so they can be judged on the fields they aren’t experts in.
People think all the time. And people are much more critical about the thinking of those in outgroups than their own friends, even when nearly everyone believes some crazy thing or has a blind spot in their thinking.
But white collar workers fetishize the forms of white collar management: memos, poster boards, diagrams, etc. without recognizing that the mode of education and prestige of the domain have little bearing on the quality of the thinking.
#CriticalThinking #DomainExpertise #SkilledTrades #HumanIntelligence #FutureOfWork #AI #CognitiveBias #DignityOfLabor
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In response to someone giddy over an imagined future where the only human job will be critical thinking, I tried to point out that bias may have blinded him to the thinking people already do.
What they are overlooking is the domain-level knowledge which keeps mechanics/electricians/plumbers/welders in trade schools/guilds/product manuals, truck drivers/bus drivers/pilots in trade schools/behind the wheel of specific machines for years at a go, engineers at university/conferences/industry papers/manufacturers data sheets and scientists/mathematicians at university/conferences/academic papers/libraries/research projects for the whole of their careers. They spend their lives to know how to make judgments on the decisions that the non-domain expert doesn’t even credit as a knowledge domain. If society doesn’t treat their particularized expertise as equally valuable, that doesn’t change that it’s the same human skills and effort to learn and gain the expertise to get the desired job done *right*. A lifetime of socialized specialization just so they can be judged on the fields they aren’t experts in.
People think all the time. And people are much more critical about the thinking of those in outgroups than their own friends, even when nearly everyone believes some crazy thing or has a blind spot in their thinking.
But white collar workers fetishize the forms of white collar management: memos, poster boards, diagrams, etc. without recognizing that the mode of education and prestige of the domain have little bearing on the quality of the thinking.
#CriticalThinking #DomainExpertise #SkilledTrades #HumanIntelligence #FutureOfWork #AI #CognitiveBias #DignityOfLabor
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In response to someone giddy over an imagined future where the only human job will be critical thinking, I tried to point out that bias may have blinded him to the thinking people already do.
What they are overlooking is the domain-level knowledge which keeps mechanics/electricians/plumbers/welders in trade schools/guilds/product manuals, truck drivers/bus drivers/pilots in trade schools/behind the wheel of specific machines for years at a go, engineers at university/conferences/industry papers/manufacturers data sheets and scientists/mathematicians at university/conferences/academic papers/libraries/research projects for the whole of their careers. They spend their lives to know how to make judgments on the decisions that the non-domain expert doesn’t even credit as a knowledge domain. If society doesn’t treat their particularized expertise as equally valuable, that doesn’t change that it’s the same human skills and effort to learn and gain the expertise to get the desired job done *right*. A lifetime of socialized specialization just so they can be judged on the fields they aren’t experts in.
People think all the time. And people are much more critical about the thinking of those in outgroups than their own friends, even when nearly everyone believes some crazy thing or has a blind spot in their thinking.
But white collar workers fetishize the forms of white collar management: memos, poster boards, diagrams, etc. without recognizing that the mode of education and prestige of the domain have little bearing on the quality of the thinking.
#CriticalThinking #DomainExpertise #SkilledTrades #HumanIntelligence #FutureOfWork #AI #CognitiveBias #DignityOfLabor
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In response to someone giddy over an imagined future where the only human job will be critical thinking, I tried to point out that bias may have blinded him to the thinking people already do.
What they are overlooking is the domain-level knowledge which keeps mechanics/electricians/plumbers/welders in trade schools/guilds/product manuals, truck drivers/bus drivers/pilots in trade schools/behind the wheel of specific machines for years at a go, engineers at university/conferences/industry papers/manufacturers data sheets and scientists/mathematicians at university/conferences/academic papers/libraries/research projects for the whole of their careers. They spend their lives to know how to make judgments on the decisions that the non-domain expert doesn’t even credit as a knowledge domain. If society doesn’t treat their particularized expertise as equally valuable, that doesn’t change that it’s the same human skills and effort to learn and gain the expertise to get the desired job done *right*. A lifetime of socialized specialization just so they can be judged on the fields they aren’t experts in.
People think all the time. And people are much more critical about the thinking of those in outgroups than their own friends, even when nearly everyone believes some crazy thing or has a blind spot in their thinking.
But white collar workers fetishize the forms of white collar management: memos, poster boards, diagrams, etc. without recognizing that the mode of education and prestige of the domain have little bearing on the quality of the thinking.
#CriticalThinking #DomainExpertise #SkilledTrades #HumanIntelligence #FutureOfWork #AI #CognitiveBias #DignityOfLabor
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What if AI isn’t making you smarter — just **better at being wrong?**
AI can turn assumptions into convincing arguments and polished analysis.
The key distinction: **AI-assisted reasoning vs AI-assisted rationalization.**
Instead of asking:
“Can you prove I’m right?”
Ask:
**“Can you help me discover that I’m wrong?”**
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What if AI isn’t making you smarter — just **better at being wrong?**
AI can turn assumptions into convincing arguments and polished analysis.
The key distinction: **AI-assisted reasoning vs AI-assisted rationalization.**
Instead of asking:
“Can you prove I’m right?”
Ask:
**“Can you help me discover that I’m wrong?”**
-
What if AI isn’t making you smarter — just **better at being wrong?**
AI can turn assumptions into convincing arguments and polished analysis.
The key distinction: **AI-assisted reasoning vs AI-assisted rationalization.**
Instead of asking:
“Can you prove I’m right?”
Ask:
**“Can you help me discover that I’m wrong?”**
-
What if AI isn’t making you smarter — just **better at being wrong?**
AI can turn assumptions into convincing arguments and polished analysis.
The key distinction: **AI-assisted reasoning vs AI-assisted rationalization.**
Instead of asking:
“Can you prove I’m right?”
Ask:
**“Can you help me discover that I’m wrong?”**
-
What if AI isn’t making you smarter — just **better at being wrong?**
AI can turn assumptions into convincing arguments and polished analysis.
The key distinction: **AI-assisted reasoning vs AI-assisted rationalization.**
Instead of asking:
“Can you prove I’m right?”
Ask:
**“Can you help me discover that I’m wrong?”**
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From the Leanpub Blog: Leanpub Book LAUNCH 🚀 Contemplation: The Interior Forms of Epistemic Failure by James Roy Dennis
#books #leanpublishing #selfpublishing #epistemicFailure #selfKnowledge #epistemology #cognitiveBias #carryFailure
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From the Leanpub Blog: Leanpub Book LAUNCH 🚀 Contemplation: The Interior Forms of Epistemic Failure by James Roy Dennis
#books #leanpublishing #selfpublishing #epistemicFailure #selfKnowledge #epistemology #cognitiveBias #carryFailure
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From the Leanpub Blog: Leanpub Book LAUNCH 🚀 Contemplation: The Interior Forms of Epistemic Failure by James Roy Dennis
#books #leanpublishing #selfpublishing #epistemicFailure #selfKnowledge #epistemology #cognitiveBias #carryFailure
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From the Leanpub Blog: Leanpub Book LAUNCH 🚀 Contemplation: The Interior Forms of Epistemic Failure by James Roy Dennis
#books #leanpublishing #selfpublishing #epistemicFailure #selfKnowledge #epistemology #cognitiveBias #carryFailure
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NEW! Leanpub Book LAUNCH 🚀 Contemplation: The Interior Forms of Epistemic Failure by James Roy Dennis
#books #leanpublishing #selfpublishing #epistemicFailure #selfKnowledge #epistemology #cognitiveBias #carryFailure
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NEW! Leanpub Book LAUNCH 🚀 Contemplation: The Interior Forms of Epistemic Failure by James Roy Dennis
#books #leanpublishing #selfpublishing #epistemicFailure #selfKnowledge #epistemology #cognitiveBias #carryFailure
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NEW! Leanpub Book LAUNCH 🚀 Contemplation: The Interior Forms of Epistemic Failure by James Roy Dennis
#books #leanpublishing #selfpublishing #epistemicFailure #selfKnowledge #epistemology #cognitiveBias #carryFailure
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NEW! Leanpub Book LAUNCH 🚀 Contemplation: The Interior Forms of Epistemic Failure by James Roy Dennis
#books #leanpublishing #selfpublishing #epistemicFailure #selfKnowledge #epistemology #cognitiveBias #carryFailure
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**One problem. One enemy. One solution.**
Simple narratives are comforting. Complexity isn't.
What if our preference for simple answers isn't stupidity, but an evolutionary strategy — one increasingly unsuited to the complex world we've created?
My latest on *Wrong Opinions*: **The Price of Complexity**
https://wrongopinions.com/ideas-and-society/the-price-of-complexity/
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**One problem. One enemy. One solution.**
Simple narratives are comforting. Complexity isn't.
What if our preference for simple answers isn't stupidity, but an evolutionary strategy — one increasingly unsuited to the complex world we've created?
My latest on *Wrong Opinions*: **The Price of Complexity**
https://wrongopinions.com/ideas-and-society/the-price-of-complexity/
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**One problem. One enemy. One solution.**
Simple narratives are comforting. Complexity isn't.
What if our preference for simple answers isn't stupidity, but an evolutionary strategy — one increasingly unsuited to the complex world we've created?
My latest on *Wrong Opinions*: **The Price of Complexity**
https://wrongopinions.com/ideas-and-society/the-price-of-complexity/
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**One problem. One enemy. One solution.**
Simple narratives are comforting. Complexity isn't.
What if our preference for simple answers isn't stupidity, but an evolutionary strategy — one increasingly unsuited to the complex world we've created?
My latest on *Wrong Opinions*: **The Price of Complexity**
https://wrongopinions.com/ideas-and-society/the-price-of-complexity/
-
**One problem. One enemy. One solution.**
Simple narratives are comforting. Complexity isn't.
What if our preference for simple answers isn't stupidity, but an evolutionary strategy — one increasingly unsuited to the complex world we've created?
My latest on *Wrong Opinions*: **The Price of Complexity**
https://wrongopinions.com/ideas-and-society/the-price-of-complexity/
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Emotional intensity is not evidence for a belief's accuracy. A triggering event activates an automatic thought, which generates an emotional consequence. We often accept the consequence as proof of the belief. The active phase of Disputation collects evidence for and against the belief.
🔗 https://neuroviaxacademy.com/cognitive-restructuring-guide/
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Emotional intensity is not evidence for a belief's accuracy. A triggering event activates an automatic thought, which generates an emotional consequence. We often accept the consequence as proof of the belief. The active phase of Disputation collects evidence for and against the belief.
🔗 https://neuroviaxacademy.com/cognitive-restructuring-guide/
-
Emotional intensity is not evidence for a belief's accuracy. A triggering event activates an automatic thought, which generates an emotional consequence. We often accept the consequence as proof of the belief. The active phase of Disputation collects evidence for and against the belief.
🔗 https://neuroviaxacademy.com/cognitive-restructuring-guide/
-
Emotional intensity is not evidence for a belief's accuracy. A triggering event activates an automatic thought, which generates an emotional consequence. We often accept the consequence as proof of the belief. The active phase of Disputation collects evidence for and against the belief.
🔗 https://neuroviaxacademy.com/cognitive-restructuring-guide/
-
Emotional intensity is not evidence for a belief's accuracy. A triggering event activates an automatic thought, which generates an emotional consequence. We often accept the consequence as proof of the belief. The active phase of Disputation collects evidence for and against the belief.
🔗 https://neuroviaxacademy.com/cognitive-restructuring-guide/
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Why do we think we understand the world more than we actually do?
https://thedecisionlab.com/biases/the-illusion-of-explanatory-depth
Comments: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=49079175
#HackerNews #understanding #bias #cognitivebias #explanatorydepth #illusionofunderstanding #criticalthinking
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Why do we think we understand the world more than we actually do?
https://thedecisionlab.com/biases/the-illusion-of-explanatory-depth
Comments: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=49079175
#HackerNews #understanding #bias #cognitivebias #explanatorydepth #illusionofunderstanding #criticalthinking
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Why do we think we understand the world more than we actually do?
https://thedecisionlab.com/biases/the-illusion-of-explanatory-depth
Comments: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=49079175
#HackerNews #understanding #bias #cognitivebias #explanatorydepth #illusionofunderstanding #criticalthinking
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Why do we think we understand the world more than we actually do?
https://thedecisionlab.com/biases/the-illusion-of-explanatory-depth
Comments: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=49079175
#HackerNews #understanding #bias #cognitivebias #explanatorydepth #illusionofunderstanding #criticalthinking
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Why do we think we understand the world more than we actually do?
https://thedecisionlab.com/biases/the-illusion-of-explanatory-depth
Comments: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=49079175
#HackerNews #understanding #bias #cognitivebias #explanatorydepth #illusionofunderstanding #criticalthinking
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I Think You Might Be Fooling Yourself with AI
https://louwrentius.com/i-think-you-might-be-fooling-yourself-with-ai.html
Comments: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=49021843
#HackerNews #AI #self-awareness #AIethics #techinsights #cognitivebias
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I Think You Might Be Fooling Yourself with AI
https://louwrentius.com/i-think-you-might-be-fooling-yourself-with-ai.html
Comments: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=49021843
#HackerNews #AI #self-awareness #AIethics #techinsights #cognitivebias
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I Think You Might Be Fooling Yourself with AI
https://louwrentius.com/i-think-you-might-be-fooling-yourself-with-ai.html
Comments: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=49021843
#HackerNews #AI #self-awareness #AIethics #techinsights #cognitivebias
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I Think You Might Be Fooling Yourself with AI
https://louwrentius.com/i-think-you-might-be-fooling-yourself-with-ai.html
Comments: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=49021843
#HackerNews #AI #self-awareness #AIethics #techinsights #cognitivebias
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I Think You Might Be Fooling Yourself with AI
https://louwrentius.com/i-think-you-might-be-fooling-yourself-with-ai.html
Comments: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=49021843
#HackerNews #AI #self-awareness #AIethics #techinsights #cognitivebias
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Ministry Proposes Tax on Nostalgia Posts to Save the Environment
The Ministry has proposed a Nostalgia Tax on every "Only 90s kids will understand..." post. The revenue will help data centers survive the endless storage of recycled memories while an official investigation examines whether the good old days were actually good—or just remembered that way. -
Ministry Proposes Tax on Nostalgia Posts to Save the Environment
The Ministry has proposed a Nostalgia Tax on every "Only 90s kids will understand..." post. The revenue will help data centers survive the endless storage of recycled memories while an official investigation examines whether the good old days were actually good—or just remembered that way. -
Ministry Proposes Tax on Nostalgia Posts to Save the Environment
The Ministry has proposed a Nostalgia Tax on every "Only 90s kids will understand..." post. The revenue will help data centers survive the endless storage of recycled memories while an official investigation examines whether the good old days were actually good—or just remembered that way. -
Ministry Proposes Tax on Nostalgia Posts to Save the Environment
The Ministry has proposed a Nostalgia Tax on every "Only 90s kids will understand..." post. The revenue will help data centers survive the endless storage of recycled memories while an official investigation examines whether the good old days were actually good—or just remembered that way. -
Ministry Proposes Tax on Nostalgia Posts to Save the Environment
The Ministry has proposed a Nostalgia Tax on every "Only 90s kids will understand..." post. The revenue will help data centers survive the endless storage of recycled memories while an official investigation examines whether the good old days were actually good—or just remembered that way. -
"Quantifiable risk belongs to the casino, the mortality table, and the actuarial ledger. It describes a world where the outcome of an event is unknown, but historical data exists to support a probability estimate. Because the boundaries of the system are fixed, we can use historical data to calculate numerical odds.
Knightian uncertainty, by contrast, considers the unprecedented. It arises when a situation, like climate change, is so novel or complex that history offers no guide. We are pushing the biosphere far outside its Holocene baseline, entering an environment where the variables themselves are changing, and the models used to project future outcomes break down."
Why We're Blind to Civilizational Collapse
by Sarah Connor
July 8th, 2026https://collapse2050.substack.com/p/why-were-blind-to-civilizational
#ClimateChange #ClimateCrisis #CollapseAware #polycrisis #DisasterPreparedness #CognitiveBias #LogicalFallacy #SelectiveUpdating #Sociology #HumanPsychology
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"Quantifiable risk belongs to the casino, the mortality table, and the actuarial ledger. It describes a world where the outcome of an event is unknown, but historical data exists to support a probability estimate. Because the boundaries of the system are fixed, we can use historical data to calculate numerical odds.
Knightian uncertainty, by contrast, considers the unprecedented. It arises when a situation, like climate change, is so novel or complex that history offers no guide. We are pushing the biosphere far outside its Holocene baseline, entering an environment where the variables themselves are changing, and the models used to project future outcomes break down."
Why We're Blind to Civilizational Collapse
by Sarah Connor
July 8th, 2026https://collapse2050.substack.com/p/why-were-blind-to-civilizational
#ClimateChange #ClimateCrisis #CollapseAware #polycrisis #DisasterPreparedness #CognitiveBias #LogicalFallacy #SelectiveUpdating #Sociology #HumanPsychology
-
"Quantifiable risk belongs to the casino, the mortality table, and the actuarial ledger. It describes a world where the outcome of an event is unknown, but historical data exists to support a probability estimate. Because the boundaries of the system are fixed, we can use historical data to calculate numerical odds.
Knightian uncertainty, by contrast, considers the unprecedented. It arises when a situation, like climate change, is so novel or complex that history offers no guide. We are pushing the biosphere far outside its Holocene baseline, entering an environment where the variables themselves are changing, and the models used to project future outcomes break down."
Why We're Blind to Civilizational Collapse
by Sarah Connor
July 8th, 2026https://collapse2050.substack.com/p/why-were-blind-to-civilizational
#ClimateChange #ClimateCrisis #CollapseAware #polycrisis #DisasterPreparedness #CognitiveBias #LogicalFallacy #SelectiveUpdating #Sociology #HumanPsychology
-
"Quantifiable risk belongs to the casino, the mortality table, and the actuarial ledger. It describes a world where the outcome of an event is unknown, but historical data exists to support a probability estimate. Because the boundaries of the system are fixed, we can use historical data to calculate numerical odds.
Knightian uncertainty, by contrast, considers the unprecedented. It arises when a situation, like climate change, is so novel or complex that history offers no guide. We are pushing the biosphere far outside its Holocene baseline, entering an environment where the variables themselves are changing, and the models used to project future outcomes break down."
Why We're Blind to Civilizational Collapse
by Sarah Connor
July 8th, 2026https://collapse2050.substack.com/p/why-were-blind-to-civilizational
#ClimateChange #ClimateCrisis #CollapseAware #polycrisis #DisasterPreparedness #CognitiveBias #LogicalFallacy #SelectiveUpdating #Sociology #HumanPsychology
-
"Quantifiable risk belongs to the casino, the mortality table, and the actuarial ledger. It describes a world where the outcome of an event is unknown, but historical data exists to support a probability estimate. Because the boundaries of the system are fixed, we can use historical data to calculate numerical odds.
Knightian uncertainty, by contrast, considers the unprecedented. It arises when a situation, like climate change, is so novel or complex that history offers no guide. We are pushing the biosphere far outside its Holocene baseline, entering an environment where the variables themselves are changing, and the models used to project future outcomes break down."
Why We're Blind to Civilizational Collapse
by Sarah Connor
July 8th, 2026https://collapse2050.substack.com/p/why-were-blind-to-civilizational
#ClimateChange #ClimateCrisis #CollapseAware #polycrisis #DisasterPreparedness #CognitiveBias #LogicalFallacy #SelectiveUpdating #Sociology #HumanPsychology
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Ah, the classic saga of engineers wrestling with their own cognitive inadequacies 🤯. This riveting manifesto reveals the shocking truth that the human brain isn't as mighty as the software it spawns 😱. So grab your glossary and start planning to triage your bounded cognition, because apparently, that's the shape of the system! 🧠💾
https://shapeofthesystem.com/posts/2026/02/03/bounded-cognition #cognitivebias #engineering #mindset #softwaredevelopment #brainpower #mentalhealth #HackerNews #ngated -
Ah, the classic saga of engineers wrestling with their own cognitive inadequacies 🤯. This riveting manifesto reveals the shocking truth that the human brain isn't as mighty as the software it spawns 😱. So grab your glossary and start planning to triage your bounded cognition, because apparently, that's the shape of the system! 🧠💾
https://shapeofthesystem.com/posts/2026/02/03/bounded-cognition #cognitivebias #engineering #mindset #softwaredevelopment #brainpower #mentalhealth #HackerNews #ngated