#cleverbutnotsmart — Public Fediverse posts
Live and recent posts from across the Fediverse tagged #cleverbutnotsmart, aggregated by home.social.
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"Of the 16 planned constellations, comprising nearly 1.7 million satellites, six passed the threshold into runaway debris, among them China’s Guowang, Cowboy Space Corp.’s Stampede, and Blue Origin’s Project Sunrise. Perhaps the most notable generator of debris would be Starmind, SpaceX’s plan for 1 million satellites to act as orbital data centers. Three more proposals reached an unstable state, where debris would increase but not endlessly."
Note that these outcomes were modeled taking into account only a single constellation at a time, not the whole collection.
The model results are so negative that even turning all the parameter knobs to "Most Optimistic" won't produce reasonable certainty of safety.
If these systems are populated as planned, it's not alarmist to conclude as an inevitability that we'll face decades or longer of radically impaired access to space.