#causation — Public Fediverse posts

There is a fly in the room which keeps landing on my laptop screen. I am documenting which toots it reads and then whether it rubs it's little front legs together or not. #causation #association #animalbehaviour101

New study uses causal inference to demonstrate that we would avoid 20 % methane emissions if one commodity was replaced.
I have just published a preprint article at https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.19019693

#decoupling #agriculture #beef #cattle #carbon #causality #causalInference #causation #confounding #counterFactuals #emissions #GHG #methane #offPolicy #policy #publicPolicy #vegan #climateChange #GreenhouseForcing #greenhouseEffect

New study uses causal inference to demonstrate that we would avoid 20 % methane emissions if one commodity was replaced.
I have just published a preprint article at https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.19019693

#decoupling #agriculture #beef #cattle #carbon #causality #causalInference #causation #confounding #counterFactuals #emissions #GHG #methane #offPolicy #policy #publicPolicy #vegan #climateChange #GreenhouseForcing #greenhouseEffect

New study uses causal inference to demonstrate that we would avoid 20 % methane emissions if one commodity was replaced.
I have just published a preprint article at https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.19019693

#decoupling #agriculture #beef #cattle #carbon #causality #causalInference #causation #confounding #counterFactuals #emissions #GHG #methane #offPolicy #policy #publicPolicy #vegan #climateChange #GreenhouseForcing #greenhouseEffect

New study uses causal inference to demonstrate that we would avoid 20 % methane emissions if one commodity was replaced.
I have just published a preprint article at https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.19019693

#decoupling #agriculture #beef #cattle #carbon #causality #causalInference #causation #confounding #counterFactuals #emissions #GHG #methane #offPolicy #policy #publicPolicy #vegan #climateChange #GreenhouseForcing #greenhouseEffect

New study uses causal inference to demonstrate that we would avoid 20 % methane emissions if one commodity was replaced.
I have just published a preprint article at https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.19019693

#decoupling #agriculture #beef #cattle #carbon #causality #causalInference #causation #confounding #counterFactuals #emissions #GHG #methane #offPolicy #policy #publicPolicy #vegan #climateChange #GreenhouseForcing #greenhouseEffect

New study uses causal analysis to demonstrate big reductions in carbon emissions if fewer bovines.
In ten years, methane emissions from all activities if bovine stop would be 80 % of methane emissions from all activities if no intervention.
Results and causation are presented at https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.19019693

#carbon #causality #causalInference #causation #confounding #counterFactuals #emissions #GHG #methane #offPolicy #policy #publicPolicy

New study uses causal analysis to demonstrate big reductions in carbon emissions if fewer bovines.
In ten years, methane emissions from all activities if bovine stop would be 80 % of methane emissions from all activities if no intervention.
Results and causation are presented at https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.19019693

#carbon #causality #causalInference #causation #confounding #counterFactuals #emissions #GHG #methane #offPolicy #policy #publicPolicy

New study uses causal analysis to demonstrate big reductions in carbon emissions if fewer bovines.
In ten years, methane emissions from all activities if bovine stop would be 80 % of methane emissions from all activities if no intervention.
Results and causation are presented at https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.19019693

#carbon #causality #causalInference #causation #confounding #counterFactuals #emissions #GHG #methane #offPolicy #policy #publicPolicy

New study uses causal analysis to demonstrate big reductions in carbon emissions if fewer bovines.
In ten years, methane emissions from all activities if bovine stop would be 80 % of methane emissions from all activities if no intervention.
Results and causation are presented at https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.19019693

#carbon #causality #causalInference #causation #confounding #counterFactuals #emissions #GHG #methane #offPolicy #policy #publicPolicy

New study uses causal analysis to demonstrate big reductions in carbon emissions if fewer bovines.
In ten years, methane emissions from all activities if bovine stop would be 80 % of methane emissions from all activities if no intervention.
Results and causation are presented at https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.19019693

#carbon #causality #causalInference #causation #confounding #counterFactuals #emissions #GHG #methane #offPolicy #policy #publicPolicy

The #research journey continues to see if Rupert Sheldrake’s idea of #morphic #resonance and #formative #causation might support an argument that we can influence the #evolution of a more-compassionate society by training our own heart-mind in #compassion using practices such as #metta-bhavana and the Four Immeasurables of #Buddhism. 1/n 🧵

#dhamma

https://open.substack.com/pub/analogymagazine/p/fields-of-being-on-morphic-resonance?r=6crly4&utm_medium=ios

Directed Acyclic Graphs (DAGs) and Regression for Causal Inference by Susan Alber (2022) health.ucdavis.edu/media-resour... #intervention #policy #causality #causalInference #stats #statistics #counterFactuals #probabilities #causation #confounding

Directed Acyclic Graphs (DAGs) and Regression for Causal Inference
by Susan Alber (2022) https://health.ucdavis.edu/media-resources/ctsc/documents/pdfs/directed-acyclic-graphs20220209.pdf

#intervention #policy #causality #causalInference #stats #statistics #counterFactuals #probabilities #causation #confounding #DAG #DAGs #graphs

Directed Acyclic Graphs (DAGs) and Regression for Causal Inference
by Susan Alber (2022) https://health.ucdavis.edu/media-resources/ctsc/documents/pdfs/directed-acyclic-graphs20220209.pdf

#intervention #policy #causality #causalInference #stats #statistics #counterFactuals #probabilities #causation #confounding #DAG #DAGs #graphs

Directed Acyclic Graphs (DAGs) and Regression for Causal Inference
by Susan Alber (2022) https://health.ucdavis.edu/media-resources/ctsc/documents/pdfs/directed-acyclic-graphs20220209.pdf

#intervention #policy #causality #causalInference #stats #statistics #counterFactuals #probabilities #causation #confounding #DAG #DAGs #graphs

Directed Acyclic Graphs (DAGs) and Regression for Causal Inference
by Susan Alber (2022) https://health.ucdavis.edu/media-resources/ctsc/documents/pdfs/directed-acyclic-graphs20220209.pdf

#intervention #policy #causality #causalInference #stats #statistics #counterFactuals #probabilities #causation #confounding #DAG #DAGs #graphs

Directed Acyclic Graphs (DAGs) and Regression for Causal Inference
by Susan Alber (2022) https://health.ucdavis.edu/media-resources/ctsc/documents/pdfs/directed-acyclic-graphs20220209.pdf

#intervention #policy #causality #causalInference #stats #statistics #counterFactuals #probabilities #causation #confounding #DAG #DAGs #graphs

https://theconversation.com/can-a-psychedelic-induced-mystical-experience-really-improve-your-mental-health-274330; https://akjournals.com/view/journals/2054/7/1/article-p18.xml (full text); https://psychology-tools.com/test/meq-30. "Correlation does not equal #causation. A large body of #psychiatric #research warns against assuming that because 2 things occur together, 1 must cause the other. Mystical experiences may simply be 1 visible marker of other processes, such as increased emotional openness, the development of new neural connections or changes in entrenched beliefs."

#Causation, with regard to #massshootings, is very complex, defying simple-minded and polarizing attempts to attach blame. I wrote about it in the early days of my Curren(t) Thinking blog. doncurren.blogspot.com/2022/06/its-...

RE: https://bsky.app/profile/did:plc:5zca2ola2zxpkw37w4f3wxtu/post/3meu63giaks24

It’s People with Guns that Kil...

Reality Happens Once. Facts Happen Many Times. After writing about 'The Trouble with Facts' yesterday, I realised that the polysemy of 'facts' introduces category errors. Not all facts are created equal.
👉 https://philosophics.blog/2026/01/23/reality-happens-once-facts-happen-many-times/?utm_source=masto&utm_medium=social
#philosophy #language #ontology #epistemology #facts #objectivity #cognition #perception #memory #law #evidence #polysemy #truth #podcast #blog #reasoning #rationality #causation

The trouble with facts is that they cannot be directly observed.
https://philosophics.blog/2026/01/22/the-trouble-with-facts/?utm_source=masto&utm_medium=social
#philosophy #epistemology #ontology #facts #objectivity #mediation #interpretation #causation #abduction #posthoc #cognitivebias #perception #sensemaking #philosophyofscience #philosophyoflaw #legalreasoning #intent #responsibility #evidence #experts #surveillance #mapandterritory #languageinsufficiency #disintegration #antimodernity #blog #podcast #science

I've long had an issue with the English 'why'. Dan Dennett had similar misgivings.

https://philosophics.blog/2026/01/18/the-metaphysics-of-why-a-scavengers-guide-to-the-accident/?utm_source=masto&utm_medium=social

The term in English carries a lot of metaphysical baggage – more than necessary.

#language #semantics #metaphysics #philosophy #perception #weaselwords #intent #causation #truth #meaning #notebooklm #claude #chatgpt #genai

#correlation is not #causation

@linguisticsmemes @academiamemes @humour

https://www.tumblr.com/drlinguo/666485081095929856/source

#correlation #causation #science

New joint paper (with Sam Baron, Helen Berber, DBM, and Kristie Miller, brought together by Kristie) on degrees of causation. Open access in Phil Imprint. #philosophy #causation https://doi.org/10.3998/phimp.6191

Turning the Other Cheek
Neither revenging the one who hit you on your cheek nor turning the other cheek addresses the cause.

#lifelesson #causation #conflictresolution #philosophy

Sinclair Broadcasting Takes A Break From ‘Protecting Local Communities’ (By Banning Comedians) To Spread Tylenol Disinformation

https://fed.brid.gy/r/https://www.techdirt.com/2025/09/29/sinclair-broadcasting-takes-a-break-from-protecting-local-communities-by-banning-comedians-to-spread-tylenol-disinformation/

"#Correlation is not #causation" is right up there with "according to science" and "read a history book" on my list of thought-terminating cliches. Even when it's applicable—which is less likely than you think—there's nearly always a better and more specific way to make your point. Trust me on this.

#correlation #causation

Neurodivergent people have always been there (we just weren't 'looking' before)

https://open.substack.com/pub/theneuroscienceofeverydaylife/p/neurodivergent-people-have-always?utm_source=share&utm_medium=android&r=24oxwv

Sharing this post, on the deep evolutionary origins of neurodiversity, again today, for... no real reason.

#Autism #Neurodivergence #causation #BS

Let this be a warning to some.

#correlation #causation #mortality #humor

It’s great to see causal Inference methods being used for this determination. Are better algorithms (than the near-far matching used) available that might be used in a judicial process causal digital twins to ameliorate these and other injustices in the future? Of course, getting rid of the bail system would make it moot.

#causalInference #causation #legal #justice

From: @hrdag
https://mastodon.social/@hrdag/114902611019230490

@garyackerman
Half of American adults voted for Donald Trump as a king. This marks the fastest fascism adaption rate in history. #Causation or #Correlation ?🤷‍♀️

If paying a % back to the system that provides the earnings seems unfair, we can change the way they earn from a % to per hour, like the workers they exploit. For the rest of your error-laden post, you need to study #causation, especially what "necessary & sufficient" mean. Neither apply here.

https://jlai.lu/post/21422813 #causation #comics

#Microsoft's viral paper about *correlations* between #AI use and #criticalThinking also has "impact" in the title (despite admitting "Our analysis does not establish #causation"). 🤦‍♂️

#Confidence in #GenAI predicted LESS critical thinking.

SELF-confidence predicted MORE critical thinking.

PREDICTED ≠ CAUSED

https://www.microsoft.com/en-us/research/publication/the-impact-of-generative-ai-on-critical-thinking-self-reported-reductions-in-cognitive-effort-and-confidence-effects-from-a-survey-of-knowledge-workers/

#computerScience #LLMs #work #decisionScience #psychology #surveyResearch #management #logic

Unwise Thoughts
Unwise thoughts create suffering. Your present unwise thoughts create future suffering. Your past unwise thoughts create present suffering.

#causation #mindfulness #thoughts

This is a relative outcome, due to a singular, preferred perspective, w/its own timeline. This kind of #causation shows temporal #bias for our own personal linear time. However, it's the goal of #Science to explain, & improve on these models. This means not relying on reductionist training wheels.

Rapid Surge In Global Warming Mainly Due To Reduced Planetary Albedo
--
https://phys.org/news/2024-12-rapid-surge-global-due-planetary.html <-- shared technical article
--
https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/science.adq7280 <-- shared paper
--
#GIS #spatial #mapping #globe #global #climatechange #warming #remotesensing #PlanetaryAlbedo #Planetary #Albedo #model #modeling #AWI #ECMWF #NASA #weather #energybudget #causation

#PaulDavies - How Can We Find Deep #Reality?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SfvU9JYiSW8

#Philosophy #Metaphysics #PhilosophyOfFreeWill #FreeWill #Will #PhilosophyOfCosmology #Cosmology #Universe #Time #Existence #Humanity #Meaning Science #Theology #PhilosophyOfScience #LawsOfPhysics #LawsOfNature #Nature #PhilosophyOfConsciousness #Consciousness #God #StAugustine #Augustine #Causation #CloserToTruth #RobertKuhn

#GalenStrawson - The #Nature of #Reality: #Metaphysics vs. #Materialism

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CuGH_cPwKYE

#Philosophy #PhilosophyOfScience #Science #Existence #Causation #Physicalism #PhilosophyOfConsciousness #Consciousness #Mind #FreeWill #Determinism #Physics #Empiricism #Qualia #Thoughts #Feelings #CloserToTruth #RobertKuhn

…we expanded our reach in 2005-2015 to ”smarter everything“ categories still with regional, governmental and industrial, logistics organizations. Then, from 2010-today, clarity in our mission led to an #IoT #IIoT maturity model of #connection, #communication, #contextualization, #collaboration, #causation, #conceptualization and #cognition leading to #SensorAnalyticsEcosystems

Podcasts, chats and panel discussions covering many areas related to…

#IoT #IIoT #SensAE #SmartPlanet

…we expanded our reach in 2005-2015 to ”smarter everything“ categories still with regional, governmental and industrial, logistics organizations. Then, from 2010-today, clarity in our mission led to an #IoT #IIoT maturity model of #connection, #communication, #contextualization, #collaboration, #causation, #conceptualization and #cognition leading to #SensorAnalyticsEcosystems

Podcasts, chats and panel discussions covering many areas related to…

#IoT #IIoT #SensAE #SmartPlanet

…we expanded our reach in 2005-2015 to ”smarter everything“ categories still with regional, governmental and industrial, logistics organizations. Then, from 2010-today, clarity in our mission led to an #IoT #IIoT maturity model of #connection, #communication, #contextualization, #collaboration, #causation, #conceptualization and #cognition leading to #SensorAnalyticsEcosystems

Podcasts, chats and panel discussions covering many areas related to…

#IoT #IIoT #SensAE #SmartPlanet

…we expanded our reach in 2005-2015 to ”smarter everything“ categories still with regional, governmental and industrial, logistics organizations. Then, from 2010-today, clarity in our mission led to an #IoT #IIoT maturity model of #connection, #communication, #contextualization, #collaboration, #causation, #conceptualization and #cognition leading to #SensorAnalyticsEcosystems

Podcasts, chats and panel discussions covering many areas related to…

#IoT #IIoT #SensAE #SmartPlanet

…we expanded our reach in 2005-2015 to ”smarter everything“ categories still with regional, governmental and industrial, logistics organizations. Then, from 2010-today, clarity in our mission led to an #IoT #IIoT maturity model of #connection, #communication, #contextualization, #collaboration, #causation, #conceptualization and #cognition leading to #SensorAnalyticsEcosystems

Podcasts, chats and panel discussions covering many areas related to…

#IoT #IIoT #SensAE #SmartPlanet

#DonPage - Defining #Personhood: Beyond #Body and #Mind

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PWzZH9o1Ghk

#Philosophy #PhilosophyOfMind #Mind #PhilosophyOfConsciousness #Consciousness #Memory #Time #Causation #Contiguity #Person #Persons #Experience #Awareness #QM #QuantumMechanics #QuantumTheory #QuantumPhysics #Physics #Science #PhilosophyOfScience #ManyWorlds #CloserToTruth #RobertKuhn

#AlfredMele - #FreeWill: Where's the #Problem?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lXKoovqm7bs

#Philosophy #PhilosophyOfFreeWill #PhilosophyOfMind #Will #Mind #PhilosophyOfConsciousness #Consciousness #Intentionality #Causality #Causation #Determinism #ActionTheory #Plato #Aristotle #Event #Events #Reason #Reasoning #Belief #Behaviour #Behavior #Decision #CloserToTruth #RobertKuhn

We know financial security predicts less #religiosity in the aggregate, but is this causal?

Martin Lang reported an experiment on U.S. and Polish people indicating that it is.

You can follow Martin on ResearchGate: https://www.researchgate.net/profile/Martin-Lang-6

#economics #finance #religion #atheism #psychology #stats #causation #games