#causation — Public Fediverse posts

Do I feel good because I ran or did I run because I felt good? Either way, a big feed in front of some Chris Turner and Suchomimus on YouTube is imminent 🙂
#running #ukraine #Causation

💸💻 So, apparently tossing $26.3 billion into a Monte Carlo #model will magically reveal how many years of good health it buys. Drag and drop your way to #philanthropy nirvana, assuming you believe in fairy-tale causations. 🤦‍♂️✨
https://maxghenis.com/mackenzie-scott-qaly/ #MonteCarlo #healthtech #fairyTale #causation #HackerNews #ngated

What You See and What You Know 2
The seen is because of the unseen. The known is because of the unknown.

#mindfulness #philosophy #knowledge #causation

New study uses causal inference to demonstrate that we would avoid 20 % methane emissions if one commodity was replaced.
I have just published a preprint article at https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.19019693

#decoupling #agriculture #beef #cattle #carbon #causality #causalInference #causation #confounding #counterFactuals #emissions #GHG #methane #offPolicy #policy #publicPolicy #vegan #climateChange #GreenhouseForcing #greenhouseEffect

New study uses causal analysis to demonstrate big reductions in carbon emissions if fewer bovines.
In ten years, methane emissions from all activities if bovine stop would be 80 % of methane emissions from all activities if no intervention.
Results and causation are presented at https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.19019693

#carbon #causality #causalInference #causation #confounding #counterFactuals #emissions #GHG #methane #offPolicy #policy #publicPolicy

The #research journey continues to see if Rupert Sheldrake’s idea of #morphic #resonance and #formative #causation might support an argument that we can influence the #evolution of a more-compassionate society by training our own heart-mind in #compassion using practices such as #metta-bhavana and the Four Immeasurables of #Buddhism. 1/n 🧵

#dhamma

https://open.substack.com/pub/analogymagazine/p/fields-of-being-on-morphic-resonance?r=6crly4&utm_medium=ios

Directed Acyclic Graphs (DAGs) and Regression for Causal Inference
by Susan Alber (2022) https://health.ucdavis.edu/media-resources/ctsc/documents/pdfs/directed-acyclic-graphs20220209.pdf

#intervention #policy #causality #causalInference #stats #statistics #counterFactuals #probabilities #causation #confounding #DAG #DAGs #graphs

https://theconversation.com/can-a-psychedelic-induced-mystical-experience-really-improve-your-mental-health-274330; https://akjournals.com/view/journals/2054/7/1/article-p18.xml (full text); https://psychology-tools.com/test/meq-30. "Correlation does not equal #causation. A large body of #psychiatric #research warns against assuming that because 2 things occur together, 1 must cause the other. Mystical experiences may simply be 1 visible marker of other processes, such as increased emotional openness, the development of new neural connections or changes in entrenched beliefs."

#Causation, with regard to #massshootings, is very complex, defying simple-minded and polarizing attempts to attach blame. I wrote about it in the early days of my Curren(t) Thinking blog. doncurren.blogspot.com/2022/06/its-...

RE: https://bsky.app/profile/did:plc:5zca2ola2zxpkw37w4f3wxtu/post/3meu63giaks24

It’s People with Guns that Kil...

Reality Happens Once. Facts Happen Many Times. After writing about 'The Trouble with Facts' yesterday, I realised that the polysemy of 'facts' introduces category errors. Not all facts are created equal.
👉 https://philosophics.blog/2026/01/23/reality-happens-once-facts-happen-many-times/?utm_source=masto&utm_medium=social
#philosophy #language #ontology #epistemology #facts #objectivity #cognition #perception #memory #law #evidence #polysemy #truth #podcast #blog #reasoning #rationality #causation

The trouble with facts is that they cannot be directly observed.
https://philosophics.blog/2026/01/22/the-trouble-with-facts/?utm_source=masto&utm_medium=social
#philosophy #epistemology #ontology #facts #objectivity #mediation #interpretation #causation #abduction #posthoc #cognitivebias #perception #sensemaking #philosophyofscience #philosophyoflaw #legalreasoning #intent #responsibility #evidence #experts #surveillance #mapandterritory #languageinsufficiency #disintegration #antimodernity #blog #podcast #science

I've long had an issue with the English 'why'. Dan Dennett had similar misgivings.

https://philosophics.blog/2026/01/18/the-metaphysics-of-why-a-scavengers-guide-to-the-accident/?utm_source=masto&utm_medium=social

The term in English carries a lot of metaphysical baggage – more than necessary.

#language #semantics #metaphysics #philosophy #perception #weaselwords #intent #causation #truth #meaning #notebooklm #claude #chatgpt #genai

#correlation is not #causation

@linguisticsmemes @academiamemes @humour

https://www.tumblr.com/drlinguo/666485081095929856/source

#correlation #causation #science

New joint paper (with Sam Baron, Helen Berber, DBM, and Kristie Miller, brought together by Kristie) on degrees of causation. Open access in Phil Imprint. #philosophy #causation https://doi.org/10.3998/phimp.6191

Turning the Other Cheek
Neither revenging the one who hit you on your cheek nor turning the other cheek addresses the cause.

#lifelesson #causation #conflictresolution #philosophy

Sinclair Broadcasting Takes A Break From ‘Protecting Local Communities’ (By Banning Comedians) To Spread Tylenol Disinformation

https://fed.brid.gy/r/https://www.techdirt.com/2025/09/29/sinclair-broadcasting-takes-a-break-from-protecting-local-communities-by-banning-comedians-to-spread-tylenol-disinformation/

"#Correlation is not #causation" is right up there with "according to science" and "read a history book" on my list of thought-terminating cliches. Even when it's applicable—which is less likely than you think—there's nearly always a better and more specific way to make your point. Trust me on this.

#correlation #causation

Neurodivergent people have always been there (we just weren't 'looking' before)

https://open.substack.com/pub/theneuroscienceofeverydaylife/p/neurodivergent-people-have-always?utm_source=share&utm_medium=android&r=24oxwv

Sharing this post, on the deep evolutionary origins of neurodiversity, again today, for... no real reason.

#Autism #Neurodivergence #causation #BS

Let this be a warning to some.

#correlation #causation #mortality #humor

It’s great to see causal Inference methods being used for this determination. Are better algorithms (than the near-far matching used) available that might be used in a judicial process causal digital twins to ameliorate these and other injustices in the future? Of course, getting rid of the bail system would make it moot.

#causalInference #causation #legal #justice

From: @hrdag
https://mastodon.social/@hrdag/114902611019230490

@garyackerman
Half of American adults voted for Donald Trump as a king. This marks the fastest fascism adaption rate in history. #Causation or #Correlation ?🤷‍♀️

If paying a % back to the system that provides the earnings seems unfair, we can change the way they earn from a % to per hour, like the workers they exploit. For the rest of your error-laden post, you need to study #causation, especially what "necessary & sufficient" mean. Neither apply here.

https://jlai.lu/post/21422813 #causation #comics

#Microsoft's viral paper about *correlations* between #AI use and #criticalThinking also has "impact" in the title (despite admitting "Our analysis does not establish #causation"). 🤦‍♂️

#Confidence in #GenAI predicted LESS critical thinking.

SELF-confidence predicted MORE critical thinking.

PREDICTED ≠ CAUSED

https://www.microsoft.com/en-us/research/publication/the-impact-of-generative-ai-on-critical-thinking-self-reported-reductions-in-cognitive-effort-and-confidence-effects-from-a-survey-of-knowledge-workers/

#computerScience #LLMs #work #decisionScience #psychology #surveyResearch #management #logic