#ca03 — Public Fediverse posts

I learn that Dr. Pan is trying to flip California's 3rd Congressional district.

Good luck to him.

QT Dr. Richard Pan @drpanmd.bsky.social‬
2025 October 14

I’m Dr. Richard Pan, a pediatrician, father, and former state senator.

I’ve spent my career protecting kids and expanding health care. Now I’m running for Congress because Washington could use a little good medicine. #CA03 #DrPanForCongress

Watch our launch video, then share it.
https://bsky.app/profile/drpanmd.bsky.social/post/3m365egui6k2a

🚨🚨🚨 #CA03 Rep. Kevin Kiley (R) just voted to strip away healthcare from up to 106,000 of his own constituents.

Kiley won by 11 points last year.

Democrats have overperformed in Special Elections by 15 points so far this year.

Donate to flip #CA03 today:
https://secure.actblue.com/donate/houseblue26

#CA-03 Kevin Kiley (R): Won by 11.0 points last year ~43,900 enrolled in #ACA exchange plans ~62,700 enrolled in #ACA Medicaid expansion ~106,600 combined at risk (13.1% of total pop)

🚨🚨🚨 The House GOP just passed the #MedicaidMassacre bill out of the Budget Committee. #CA03 Rep. Kevin Kiley (R) won by 11% (Dems have overperformed by 12% so far this year)... ...while up to 106,000 of his constituents (13.1% of them) would lose healthcare coverage if this bill goes into effect.

In #CALIFORNIA, #CA03 Kevin Kiley, #CA22 David Valadao, #CA40 Young Kim & #CA41 Ken Calvert won by 11%, 6.8%, 10.6% & 3.4% respectively. Valadao is the only one who voted no. His graph makes it clear why. Across their districts, over a MILLION CALIFORNIANS are enrolled in #Medicaid/CHIP.

Call these 4 California MAGA tools.

DCCC has targeted them for re-election defeat

Young Kim #CA40
(202) 225-4111
(714) 984-2440

Kevin Kiley #CA03
(202) 225-2523
(916) 724-2575

David Valadao #CA22
(202) 225-4695
(661) 864-7736

Ken Calvert #CA41
(202) 225-1986
(760) 620-0041

#CA03 Kevin Kiley (R)

is #CA03 an actual congressional district?

Update 8am Fri Nov18 - Control of the US House.

Called races insure the GOP has majority of at least 218-217.

With called + lean races, the GOP has:

GOP 221-214

In the past 24 hours, 1 more race called, #CA47 (Porter) for D (does not change the expected outcome).

6 Races remain uncalled:

#CA03 #CA22 #CO03 (all lean GOP)
#AK01 #CA13 #CA34 (all lean Dem).

HUGE UPDATE 11:15pm -US House of Representatives.

NYTimes calls 3 races: #CA41-R #CA45-R #NY22-R
and #CA13 FLIPPED #CA13 from "leans R" to "leans D"

Total count of calls + leaning seats:
GOP 221 - 214 Dem

To win, Dems must flip ALL 4 OF THE REMAINING "leans R" races:

#CA03 #CA22 #CA27 #CO3

#Electon #Midterm2022results #MidtermElection2022

HUGE UPDATE 11:15pm -US House of Representatives.

NYTimes calls 3 races: #CA41-R #CA45-R #NY22-R
and #CA13 FLIPPED #CA13 from "leans R" to "leans D"

Total count of calls + leaning seats:
GOP 221 - 214 Dem

To win, Dems must flip ALL 4 OF THE REMAINING "leans R" races:

#CA03 #CA22 #CA27 #CO3

#Electon #Midterm2022results #MidtermElection2022

HUGE UPDATE 11:15pm -US House of Representatives.

NYTimes calls 3 races: #CA41-R #CA45-R #NY22-R
and #CA13 FLIPPED #CA13 from "leans R" to "leans D"

Total count of calls + leaning seats:
GOP 221 - 214 Dem

To win, Dems must flip ALL 4 OF THE REMAINING "leans R" races:

#CA03 #CA22 #CA27 #CO3

#Electon #Midterm2022results #MidtermElection2022

HUGE UPDATE 11:15pm -US House of Representatives.

NYTimes calls 3 races: #CA41-R #CA45-R #NY22-R
and #CA13 FLIPPED #CA13 from "leans R" to "leans D"

Total count of calls + leaning seats:
GOP 221 - 214 Dem

To win, Dems must flip ALL 4 OF THE REMAINING "leans R" races:

#CA03 #CA22 #CA27 #CO3

#Electon #Midterm2022results #MidtermElection2022

HUGE UPDATE 11:15pm -US House of Representatives.

NYTimes calls 3 races: #CA41-R #CA45-R #NY22-R
and #CA13 FLIPPED #CA13 from "leans R" to "leans D"

Total count of calls + leaning seats:
GOP 221 - 214 Dem

To win, Dems must flip ALL 4 OF THE REMAINING "leans R" races:

#CA03 #CA22 #CA27 #CO3

#Electon #Midterm2022results #MidtermElection2022

UPDATE 10pm Mon - US House of Reps

AP calls 3 races: #AZ01-R #AZ06-R #OR06-D

This leaves the total count of calls+leaning seats unchanged:

GOP 222- 213 Dem

To win, Dems must flip at least 5 of the 8 "leans R" races:

#CA03 #CA13 #CA22 #CA27 #CA41 #CA45 #CO03 #NY22

#Election #Midterm2022results

UPDATE 10pm Mon - US House of Reps

AP calls 3 races: #AZ01-R #AZ06-R #OR06-D

This leaves the total count of calls+leaning seats unchanged:

GOP 222- 213 Dem

To win, Dems must flip at least 5 of the 8 "leans R" races:

#CA03 #CA13 #CA22 #CA27 #CA41 #CA45 #CO03 #NY22

#Election #Midterm2022results

UPDATE 10pm Mon - US House of Reps

AP calls 3 races: #AZ01-R #AZ06-R #OR06-D

This leaves the total count of calls+leaning seats unchanged:

GOP 222- 213 Dem

To win, Dems must flip at least 5 of the 8 "leans R" races:

#CA03 #CA13 #CA22 #CA27 #CA41 #CA45 #CO03 #NY22

#Election #Midterm2022results

UPDATE 10pm Mon - US House of Reps

AP calls 3 races: #AZ01-R #AZ06-R #OR06-D

This leaves the total count of calls+leaning seats unchanged:

GOP 222- 213 Dem

To win, Dems must flip at least 5 of the 8 "leans R" races:

#CA03 #CA13 #CA22 #CA27 #CA41 #CA45 #CO03 #NY22

#Election #Midterm2022results

UPDATE 10pm Mon - US House of Reps

AP calls 3 races: #AZ01-R #AZ06-R #OR06-D

This leaves the total count of calls+leaning seats unchanged:

GOP 222- 213 Dem

To win, Dems must flip at least 5 of the 8 "leans R" races:

#CA03 #CA13 #CA22 #CA27 #CA41 #CA45 #CO03 #NY22

#Election #Midterm2022results

6pm Monday - US House of Reps Race. There have been NO CHANGES in 24 hrs

At current vote counts, the result would be:

GOP 222-213 Dems

20 uncalled seats: 10 lean GOP, 10 lean Dem (7 competitive)

To win, Dems must flip at least 4 of:
#AZ01 #AZ06 #CA03 #CA13 #CA22 #CA27 #CA41 #CA45 #CO03 #NY22

UPDATE 5:00am Monday - Control of the US House of Reps Race.

At the current vote counts, the result would be:
GOP 222-213 Dems.

To win, Dems must flip at least 4 of:
#AZ01 #AZ06 #CA03 #CA13 #CA22 #CA27 #CA41 #CA45 #CO03 #NY22

Heavy sigh. ☹️ Via Cook Political Report’s Dave Wasserman:

“New House math:

Dem called/probable (213), incl. #AKAL, #CA09, #CA21, #CA47, #CA49, #CO08, #ME02, #OR06
GOP called/probable (220): incl. #AZ01, #AZ06, #CA03, #CA27, #CA41, #CA45, #CO03, #NY22, #OR05
Toss Ups (2): #CA13, #CA22

Dems need a miracle now.”

Heavy sigh. ☹️ Via Cook Political Report’s Dave Wasserman:

“New House math:

Dem called/probable (213), incl. #AKAL, #CA09, #CA21, #CA47, #CA49, #CO08, #ME02, #OR06
GOP called/probable (220): incl. #AZ01, #AZ06, #CA03, #CA27, #CA41, #CA45, #CO03, #NY22, #OR05
Toss Ups (2): #CA13, #CA22

Dems need a miracle now.”

Heavy sigh. ☹️ Via Cook Political Report’s Dave Wasserman:

“New House math:

Dem called/probable (213), incl. #AKAL, #CA09, #CA21, #CA47, #CA49, #CO08, #ME02, #OR06
GOP called/probable (220): incl. #AZ01, #AZ06, #CA03, #CA27, #CA41, #CA45, #CO03, #NY22, #OR05
Toss Ups (2): #CA13, #CA22

Dems need a miracle now.”

Heavy sigh. ☹️ Via Cook Political Report’s Dave Wasserman:

“New House math:

Dem called/probable (213), incl. #AKAL, #CA09, #CA21, #CA47, #CA49, #CO08, #ME02, #OR06
GOP called/probable (220): incl. #AZ01, #AZ06, #CA03, #CA27, #CA41, #CA45, #CO03, #NY22, #OR05
Toss Ups (2): #CA13, #CA22

Dems need a miracle now.”

Heavy sigh. ☹️ Via Cook Political Report’s Dave Wasserman:

“New House math:

Dem called/probable (213), incl. #AKAL, #CA09, #CA21, #CA47, #CA49, #CO08, #ME02, #OR06
GOP called/probable (220): incl. #AZ01, #AZ06, #CA03, #CA27, #CA41, #CA45, #CO03, #NY22, #OR05
Toss Ups (2): #CA13, #CA22

Dems need a miracle now.”

Dave Wasserman:

New House math:

Dem called/probable (213), incl. #AKAL, #CA09, #CA21, #CA47, #CA49, #CO08, #ME02, #OR06
GOP called/probable (220): incl. #AZ01, #AZ06, #CA03, #CA27, #CA41, #CA45, #CO03, #NY22, #OR05
Toss Ups (2): #CA13, #CA22

Dems need a miracle now.

Dave Wasserman:

New House math:

Dem called/probable (213), incl. #AKAL, #CA09, #CA21, #CA47, #CA49, #CO08, #ME02, #OR06
GOP called/probable (220): incl. #AZ01, #AZ06, #CA03, #CA27, #CA41, #CA45, #CO03, #NY22, #OR05
Toss Ups (2): #CA13, #CA22

Dems need a miracle now.

共和党可以庆祝控制众议院了
New House math:

Dem called/probable (213), incl. #AKAL, #CA09, #CA21, #CA47, #CA49, #CO08, #ME02, #OR06
GOP called/probable (220): incl. #AZ01, #AZ06, #CA03, #CA27, #CA41, #CA45, #CO03, #NY22, #OR05
Toss Ups (2): #CA13, #CA22

Dems need a miracle now.

共和党可以庆祝控制众议院了
New House math:

Dem called/probable (213), incl. #AKAL, #CA09, #CA21, #CA47, #CA49, #CO08, #ME02, #OR06
GOP called/probable (220): incl. #AZ01, #AZ06, #CA03, #CA27, #CA41, #CA45, #CO03, #NY22, #OR05
Toss Ups (2): #CA13, #CA22

Dems need a miracle now.

From Dave Wasserman:

New House math:

Dem called/likely (213), incl. #AKAL, #CA09, #CA21, #CA47, #CA49, #CO08, #ME02, #OR06
GOP called/likely (217): incl. #CA03, #CA27, #CA45, #CO03, #NY22, #OR05
Toss Ups (5): #AZ01, #AZ06, #CA13, #CA22, #CA41

Dems need to run the table on the last five for 218.

From Dave Wasserman:

New House math:

Dem called/likely (213), incl. #AKAL, #CA09, #CA21, #CA47, #CA49, #CO08, #ME02, #OR06
GOP called/likely (217): incl. #CA03, #CA27, #CA45, #CO03, #NY22, #OR05
Toss Ups (5): #AZ01, #AZ06, #CA13, #CA22, #CA41

Dems need to run the table on the last five for 218.

From Dave Wasserman:

New House math:

Dem called/likely (213), incl. #AKAL, #CA09, #CA21, #CA47, #CA49, #CO08, #ME02, #OR06
GOP called/likely (217): incl. #CA03, #CA27, #CA45, #CO03, #NY22, #OR05
Toss Ups (5): #AZ01, #AZ06, #CA13, #CA22, #CA41

Dems need to run the table on the last five for 218.

From Dave Wasserman:

New House math:

Dem called/likely (213), incl. #AKAL, #CA09, #CA21, #CA47, #CA49, #CO08, #ME02, #OR06
GOP called/likely (217): incl. #CA03, #CA27, #CA45, #CO03, #NY22, #OR05
Toss Ups (5): #AZ01, #AZ06, #CA13, #CA22, #CA41

Dems need to run the table on the last five for 218.

From Dave Wasserman:

New House math:

Dem called/likely (213), incl. #AKAL, #CA09, #CA21, #CA47, #CA49, #CO08, #ME02, #OR06
GOP called/likely (217): incl. #CA03, #CA27, #CA45, #CO03, #NY22, #OR05
Toss Ups (5): #AZ01, #AZ06, #CA13, #CA22, #CA41

Dems need to run the table on the last five for 218.

New House math:

Dem called/likely (213), incl. #AKAL, #CA09, #CA21, #CA47, #CA49, #CO08, #ME02, #OR06
GOP called/likely (217): incl. #CA03, #CA27, #CA45, #CO03, #NY22, #OR05
Toss Ups (5): #AZ01, #AZ06, #CA13, #CA22, #CA41

Dems need to run the table on the last five for 218.

New House math:

Dem called/likely (213), incl. #AKAL, #CA09, #CA21, #CA47, #CA49, #CO08, #ME02, #OR06
GOP called/likely (217): incl. #CA03, #CA27, #CA45, #CO03, #NY22, #OR05
Toss Ups (5): #AZ01, #AZ06, #CA13, #CA22, #CA41

Dems need to run the table on the last five for 218.

That leaves 14 House seats where the #GOPCovidDeathCult *could* potentially be a decisive factor in the outcome of the race:
#AZ01, #AZ06, #CA03, #CA13, #CA22, #CA41, #CA47, #CO03, #CO08, #ME02, #NY22, #OR05, #OR06 & #WA03:

That leaves 14 House seats where the #GOPCovidDeathCult *could* potentially be a decisive factor in the outcome of the race:
#AZ01, #AZ06, #CA03, #CA13, #CA22, #CA41, #CA47, #CO03, #CO08, #ME02, #NY22, #OR05, #OR06 & #WA03:

That leaves 14 House seats where the #GOPCovidDeathCult *could* potentially be a decisive factor in the outcome of the race:
#AZ01, #AZ06, #CA03, #CA13, #CA22, #CA41, #CA47, #CO03, #CO08, #ME02, #NY22, #OR05, #OR06 & #WA03:

That leaves 14 House seats where the #GOPCovidDeathCult *could* potentially be a decisive factor in the outcome of the race:
#AZ01, #AZ06, #CA03, #CA13, #CA22, #CA41, #CA47, #CO03, #CO08, #ME02, #NY22, #OR05, #OR06 & #WA03:

That leaves 14 House seats where the #GOPCovidDeathCult *could* potentially be a decisive factor in the outcome of the race:
#AZ01, #AZ06, #CA03, #CA13, #CA22, #CA41, #CA47, #CO03, #CO08, #ME02, #NY22, #OR05, #OR06 & #WA03:

New House math:

Dem called/likely (212), incl. #AKAL, #CA09, #CA21, #CA47, #CA49, #CO08, #ME02, #OR06
GOP called/likely (217): incl. #CA03, #CA27, #CA45, #CO03, #NY22, #OR05
Toss Ups (6): #AZ01, #AZ06, #CA13, #CA22, #CA41, #WA03

Dems need to run the table on Toss Ups for 218.

New House math:

Dem called/likely (212), incl. #AKAL, #CA09, #CA21, #CA47, #CA49, #CO08, #ME02, #OR06
GOP called/likely (217): incl. #CA03, #CA27, #CA45, #CO03, #NY22, #OR05
Toss Ups (6): #AZ01, #AZ06, #CA13, #CA22, #CA41, #WA03

Dems need to run the table on Toss Ups for 218.

NO CHANGE 7:30am Saturday in the Race for US House Control.

No race-changing results have been called.

The House continues to be GOP 219-216 Dem.

For Dems to win control, they must win at least 2 of:

#AZ06 #CA03 #CA13 #CA22 #CA27 #CA45 #CO03 #NY22 #0R05

2:30pm UPDATE - There's been a change! A previously "leans GOP" counted race has flipped and been called by the AP: #MD06 has been won by Krone (D).

This changes the House vote count from GOP 220-215 Dem, to 219-216 Dem, with several outstanding races yet to have their votes fully counted.

For Dems to win control, they must win at least 2 of:

#AZ06 #CA03 #CA13 #CA22 #CA27 #CA45 #CO03 #NY22 #0R05

Control of the US House of Reps 12:00pm Friday Update

At current vote counts, GOP wins control, 220-215.

For Dems to win, they must win at least 3 of:

#AZ06 #CA03 #CA13 #CA22 #CA27 #CA45 #CO03 #MD06 #NY22 #0R05

Some are close; all currently favor the GOP.

Control of the US House of Reps 1:30am Friday Update

At the current vote counts, GOP wins control of the house 220-215.

For the Democrats to win control, they must win at least 3 of these currently "lean GOP" districts:

#AZ06 #CA03 #CA13 #CA22 #CA27 #CA45 #CO03 #MD06 #NY22 #0R05

A narrow window.

If the Democrats are to win the House, then at least two of these currently presumed but contested GOP seats must flip to the Democrats:

#AZ02 #AZ06 #CA13 #CA22 #CA27 #CA45 #MD06 #MT01 #NY22 #OR05 #CA03 #CA40.

There's no path to a Dem Victory without that.

#Election #Midterms2022results