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  1. hat versagt. Aus den Verlusten von

    -9,3 %
    -3,1 %
    -7,1%
    gesamt -19,5%

    hat er für die nur mickrige +4,4% geholt. Ein Desaster.

  2. Friedrich Merz says that he will work with the SPD to change the election laws after 23 constituency winners are unable to take a seat. 18 of those 23 are from the CDU/CSU.

    The rule was put in place after the last election in response to a Bundestag that was larger than at any point since reunification, with 137 overhang and balance seats needed to ensure proportionality. If yesterday's election had been contested under the old system, 53 overhang and balance seats would have been required.

    #GermanyDecides #Election2025 #GermanElection #Bundestagwahl2025

  3. 23 candidates who won the most first-votes in their constituencies will not be able to take their seats, because there are not enough second-votes for their respective parties in their respective states.

    #GermanyDecides #Election2025 #GermanElection #Bundestagwahl2025

  4. A silver lining of the #Bundestagwahl2025 is both the #FDP and #BSW being out of the Bundestag. Good riddance.

  5. Here are the final seat figures, with all 299 constituencies declared.

    The Grand Coalition between the CDU/CSU and SPD looks like the only credible coalition option if the anti-AfD "firewall" is to be maintained.

    #GermanyDecides #Election2025 #GermanElection #Bundestagwahl2025

  6. With 23 constituencies to declare, this is where I'm going to call it tonight.

    Though the BSW is currently above 5%, I don't think they will finish there, as most of the constituencies still outstanding are West German and it's in East Germany where they've done well.

    The "Grand Coalition" is the only realistic coalition coming out of this election. Friedrich Merz says he wants it done by Easter. We'll see if that can happen.

    #GermanyDecides #Election2025 #GermanElection #Bundestagwahl2025

  7. STATE OF THE PARTIES AT 00:00 CET:

    234 down, 65 to go, and the "Grand Coalition" is looking more and more likely as more and more results come in.

    #GermanyDecides #Election2025 #GermanElection #Bundestagwahl2025

  8. The AfD has topped the poll in all five states in the former East Germany.

    But they've not managed to finish on top in any former West German state, while in Berlin, they're all the way back in fifth place.

    #GermanyDecides #Election2025 #GermanElection #Bundestagwahl2025

  9. STATE OF THE PARTIES AT 23:30 CET:

    We have two-thirds of the results in now, and it still looks like a two-party coalition is the most likely outcome.

    #GermanyDecides #Election2025 #GermanElection #Bundestagwahl2025

  10. STATE OF THE PARTIES AT 23:00 CET:

    With more than half of constituencies now declared, it looks like a two-party Grand Coalition will remain the most likely possibility.

    The FDP looks like it's not going to make it into the Bundestag, and I think the BSW will finish just short as well (though that one is less certain).

    #GermanyDecides #Election2025 #GermanElection #Bundestagwahl2025

  11. STATE OF THE PARTIES AT 22:30 CET:

    It still looks like the Union and the SPD could form a two-party coalition, but there are still a lot of results to come in and plenty of time for the FDP or BSW to hit 5%.

    #GermanyDecides #Election2025 #GermanElection #Bundestagwahl2025

  12. 30 constituencies declared so far in Bavaria, all of which have been won by the CSU.

    But it's unlikely that all 30 of them will be able to take their seats, as there won't be enough second votes to cover all of those mandates. In this case, those mandate winners who received the fewest votes will be denied a seat in the Bundestag.

    #GermanyDecides #Election2025 #GermanElection #Bundestagwahl2025

  13. STATE OF THE PARTIES AT 22:00 CET:

    45 constituencies have now declared, and the swings are not far off from the exit poll.

    The AfD and the BSW are outperforming in East Germany so far, with the SPD collapsing even harder in the East than in the West.

    #GermanyDecides #Election2025 #GermanElection #Bundestagwahl2025

  14. Three constituencies declared in East Germany, and the AfD so far has double the vote share of the CDU.

    However, those seats are in Saxony and Thuringia, where the AfD topped the poll last time. We don't have anything yet from Brandenburg, Saxony-Anhalt, Mecklenburg-Vorpommern, or East Berlin, where the AfD support was less.

    #GermanyDecides #Election2025 #GermanElection #Bundestagwahl2025

  15. STATE OF THE PARTIES AT 21:30 CET:

    Results have been declared in 18 constituencies, of which 11 are in Bavaria.

    The SPD has so far lost three constituency seats, two to the CDU and one to the AfD.

    AfD doing a bit better than the exit poll so far, but still a lot more results to be declared.

    #GermanyDecides #Election2025 #GermanElection #Bundestagwahl2025

  16. Three constituencies declared now (all in Bavaria), and the swings we're seeing are not a million miles out from the initial exit poll.

    But I'll still be very interested in how this varies state by state, and in particular between the old West Germany vs East Germany.

    #GermanyDecides #Election2025 #GermanElection #Bundestagwahl2025

  17. The first result is in, with the CSU holding Hof in Bavaria.

    But under the new system, there's no guarantee that the winning candidate will be able to take their seat if the CSU doesn't win enough second votes in Bavaria to cover all of the mandates that they win in the state.

    #GermanyDecides #Election2025 #GermanElection #Bundestagwahl2025

  18. The FDP's Christian Lindner says that he will step down as party leader if his party fails to reach the 5% needed to enter the Bundestag.

    Even if his party reaches 5%, they will lose more than half of the seats that they won in 2021 (even after adjusting for the electoral reforms).

    #GermanyDecides #Election2025 #GermanElection #Bundestagwahl2025

  19. The AfD's Alice Weidel says that she wouldn't have to make many concessions to form a coalition with the CDU/CSU because they have taken her party's policies already.

    The CDU's Friedrich Merz responds by repeating his refusal to enter into coalition with the AfD, saying that the AfD wants the opposite of what his party wants.

    #GermanyDecides #Election2025 #GermanElection #Bundestagwahl2025

  20. No official results in yet, but the projection for the AfD has been creeping upwards since the polls closed two hours ago. I expect results to start arriving in the next hour or two.

    Now it's time for one of the more interesting parts of a German election night: the Chancellor Candidates' Debate. Will we start to get a sense of what a potential coalition might look like?

    #GermanyDecides #Election2025 #GermanElection #Bundestagwahl2025

  21. It's only an exit poll but I'm relieved with how the results are shaping up. Bad but better than expected. Conventional bad.

    The CDU won (inevitable) but their rightward turn netted a very poor win, hopefully lessons can be learned. AfD result awful but less awful than feared. BSW probably out. FDP possibly out too but they haven't been real liberals for a while so no great loss.

    And maybe Linke sans BSW people will be decent?

    #GermanyDecides #Election2025 #GermanElection #Bundestagwahl2025

  22. We're still a couple of hours away from results starting to come in, but the exit poll has made things very interesting.

    If both the FDP and the BSW remain below 5%, then a "Grand Coalition" between the CDU/CSU and the SPD will be possible.

    If either of these parties get above 5%, then a third party will be needed for a majority in the Bundestag.

    #GermanyDecides #Election2025 #GermanElection #Bundestagwahl2025

  23. Olaf Scholz has called this exit poll a "bitter election result" for the SPD, congratulating Friedrich Merz on his election win.

    No mention of going into opposition; the SPD is likely to continue to be in the German government, albeit as the junior party.

    #GermanyDecides #Election2025 #GermanElection #Bundestagwahl2025

  24. I'm struggling to find a state-by-state breakdown of the exit poll, but if this swing is uniform, then the AfD will likely have finished top of the poll in all five states of the former East Germany.

    #GermanyDecides #Election2025 #GermanElection #Bundestagwahl2025

  25. If this exit poll is correct, then a two-party grand coalition between the CDU/CSU and SPD is possible.

    However, there are two parties that are just under that 5% mark, according to the exit poll. If either of them finish above 5%, then that two-party coalition becomes impossible, and a third party will be needed to form government.

    It's going to be some hours yet until we know for sure what coalition options are on the table.

    #GermanyDecides #Election2025 #GermanElection #Bundestagwahl2025

  26. EXIT POLL: The CDU/CSU will be the largest party in the Bundestag, with the AfD finishing in second.

    #GermanyDecides #Election2025 #GermanElection #Bundestagwahl2025

  27. A reminder that the polls here in Germany close in 15 mins at 18:00 CET. An official exit poll will be released around 15 mins later.

    I’ll be in the air by then, heading to London, so am hoping to find it won’t have turned out as badly as some, including me, fear.

    Of course, any government led by someone as nakedly ambitious as Merz is not a good outcome, not least if he decides it suits him to break the firewall to the far-right.

    He’s done it once, after all.

    #BundestagWahl2025

  28. Official voter turn-out statistics with a couple of hours before the polls close here in Germany, via @TheGuardian:

    Mixed news, perhaps:

    1. Overall numbers are high, so perhaps people are taking this election & its potentially huge consequences to heart.

    2. Particularly high turnout in a state likely to vote strongly for the AfD. Or perhaps more reasonable people there are saying “no, not in my name”.

    #BundestagWahl2025

  29. A French TGV passing through Mannheim shortly before my ICE to Frankfurt Airport.

    A reminder on this election day here in Germany that it is an important day for the rest of Europe too – we are all connected & the fascist wolves are at many doors.

    #BundestagWahl2025

  30. I appropriately saved this #NewMusic album for the #Bundestagwahl2025 today, because I am fearing the worst outcome. 😬

    #DoomMetal singer #DisFig from #Berlin, #Germany collaborated with #noise #industrial #ElectronicMusic duo #TheBody from #Portland, #Oregan for this apocalyptic #artwork.

    Dis Fig & The Body performed their wall of sound in the #Audiotree🌲 studio live, an amazing platform for worldwide music discovery, I wish Audiotree was here on :mastodon: Mastodon. 🙏
    disfig.bandcamp.com/album/orch

  31. 🇩🇪 Am 23 Februar 2025 wird
    der Deutsche Bundestag neu gewählt
    #BundestagWahl2025 🗳
    🫵🏻 Mit dem Agrarheute-Wahltool #agraromat finden Sie heraus, welche Partei Ihren agrarpolitischen Überzeugungen am nächsten kommt
    👉 agrarheute.com/agrar-o-mat

    @AbL_Rlp_Saar @wirhabenessatt @greenpeace_de @fff @xrgermany

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