#bayesiandataanalysis — Public Fediverse posts
Live and recent posts from across the Fediverse tagged #bayesiandataanalysis, aggregated by home.social.
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Bayesian Data Analysis, Third edition [pdf]
https://sites.stat.columbia.edu/gelman/book/BDA3.pdf
#HackerNews #BayesianDataAnalysis #DataScience #PDF #Statistics #MachineLearning
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Back to topic.
Modelling has changed and improved a lot. Mostly due to more powerful computers allowing more brute force analysis. The math tools really haven't changed that much. Early commercial modelling included programs like #Surfer decades ago and used #Kriging, (#Gaussian peocess regression) of geostatistical data. Most current geospatial modelling uses this technique, often enhanced with #BayesianDataAnalysis (read the book by that name). So now the table is mostly set. 5/ -
Computing Bayes Factors is difficult in general. But for issues like "parameter > number", there is a nice method: _encompassing models_. It's simple, elegant and powerful, i.o.w., it's beautifully Bayesian. 🤩
Here is an overview: tinyurl.com/3pxs2pc9
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New paper on the production of verbal expressions of (uncertain) probability #xprag. Using #BayesianDataAnalysis to investigate structural properties of the latent #semantics of expressions like "probable" or "low chance" in a probabilistic model of #pragmatic utterance choice.
Joint w/ Bob van Tiel & Uli Sauerland. #openaccess
https://doi.org/10.1162/opmi_a_00066