#az06 — Public Fediverse posts

Here's who the DCCC is backing: #AZ02: Jonathan Nez #AZ06: JoAnna Mendoza #IA01: Christina Bohannan #IA03: Sarah Trone Garriot #MI04: Sean McCann #NC11: Jamie Ager #PA08: Paige Cognetti #PA10: Janelle Stelson #TN05: Chaz Molder #VA01: Shannon Taylor #VA02: Elaine Luria #WI03: Rebecca Cooke

Here's who the DCCC is backing: #AZ02: Jonathan Nez #AZ06: JoAnna Mendoza #IA01: Christina Bohannan #IA03: Sarah Trone Garriot #MI04: Sean McCann #NC11: Jamie Ager #PA08: Paige Cognetti #PA10: Janelle Stelson #TN05: Chaz Molder #VA01: Shannon Taylor #VA02: Elaine Luria #WI03: Rebecca Cooke

🚨🚨🚨 #AZ06 Rep. Juan Ciscomani (R) just voted to strip away healthcare from up to 104,000 of his own constituents.

Ciscomani won by 2.5 points last year.

Democrats have overperformed in Special Elections by 15 points so far this year.

Donate to flip #AZ06 today:
https://secure.actblue.com/donate/houseblue26

#AZ-06 Juan Ciscomani (R): Won by 2.5% points last year ~43,300 enrolled in #ACA exchange plans ~60,900 enrolled in #ACA Medicaid expansion ~104,200 combined at risk (12.5% of total pop)

🚨🚨🚨 The House GOP just passed the #MedicaidMassacre bill out of the Budget Committee. #AZ06 Rep. Juan Ciscomani (R) won by just 2.5% last year... ...while up to 104,000 of his constituents (12.5% of them) would lose healthcare coverage if this bill goes into effect.

In #ARIZONA, #AZ01 Dave Schweikert, #AZ02 Eli Crane, #AZ06 Juan Ciscomani & #AZ08 Abe Hamadeh won by 3.8%, 9.0%, 2.5% & 13.0% respectively. Across their districts, 736,000 Arizonans (22% of their total populations) rely on #Medicaid/CHIP.

#AZ06 Juan Ciscomani (R)

#AZ06: Juan Ciscomani (R):

🔁#Arizona CD06 #Election2024 -Nov 5
🚨BATTLEGROUND RACE:
Help Elect KIRSTEN ENGEL for AZ-06!

✅Donate: https://secure.actblue.com/donate/dw_az06
✅Volunteer: https://www.mobilize.us/democratsworkforamerica/?org_ids=37730

#DemsWork4USA #WinBlue #FlipItBlue
#AZ #AZ06 #AZpol #AZleg #AZpolitics
#HarrisWalz2024

AZ-06 is a flippable seat with grassroots support. Learn more about Kirsten Engel and consider signing up to volunteer to help GOTV!

https://open.substack.com/pub/democratsworkforamerica/p/candidate-spotlight-kirsten-engel?r=1ilnt&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=true

#Arizona #AZ #AZ06 #AZpol #AZleg #AZdems #AZdemocrats #Democrats

UPDATE 10pm Mon - US House of Reps

AP calls 3 races: #AZ01-R #AZ06-R #OR06-D

This leaves the total count of calls+leaning seats unchanged:

GOP 222- 213 Dem

To win, Dems must flip at least 5 of the 8 "leans R" races:

#CA03 #CA13 #CA22 #CA27 #CA41 #CA45 #CO03 #NY22

#Election #Midterm2022results

UPDATE 10pm Mon - US House of Reps

AP calls 3 races: #AZ01-R #AZ06-R #OR06-D

This leaves the total count of calls+leaning seats unchanged:

GOP 222- 213 Dem

To win, Dems must flip at least 5 of the 8 "leans R" races:

#CA03 #CA13 #CA22 #CA27 #CA41 #CA45 #CO03 #NY22

#Election #Midterm2022results

UPDATE 10pm Mon - US House of Reps

AP calls 3 races: #AZ01-R #AZ06-R #OR06-D

This leaves the total count of calls+leaning seats unchanged:

GOP 222- 213 Dem

To win, Dems must flip at least 5 of the 8 "leans R" races:

#CA03 #CA13 #CA22 #CA27 #CA41 #CA45 #CO03 #NY22

#Election #Midterm2022results

UPDATE 10pm Mon - US House of Reps

AP calls 3 races: #AZ01-R #AZ06-R #OR06-D

This leaves the total count of calls+leaning seats unchanged:

GOP 222- 213 Dem

To win, Dems must flip at least 5 of the 8 "leans R" races:

#CA03 #CA13 #CA22 #CA27 #CA41 #CA45 #CO03 #NY22

#Election #Midterm2022results

UPDATE 10pm Mon - US House of Reps

AP calls 3 races: #AZ01-R #AZ06-R #OR06-D

This leaves the total count of calls+leaning seats unchanged:

GOP 222- 213 Dem

To win, Dems must flip at least 5 of the 8 "leans R" races:

#CA03 #CA13 #CA22 #CA27 #CA41 #CA45 #CO03 #NY22

#Election #Midterm2022results

6pm Monday - US House of Reps Race. There have been NO CHANGES in 24 hrs

At current vote counts, the result would be:

GOP 222-213 Dems

20 uncalled seats: 10 lean GOP, 10 lean Dem (7 competitive)

To win, Dems must flip at least 4 of:
#AZ01 #AZ06 #CA03 #CA13 #CA22 #CA27 #CA41 #CA45 #CO03 #NY22

UPDATE 5:00am Monday - Control of the US House of Reps Race.

At the current vote counts, the result would be:
GOP 222-213 Dems.

To win, Dems must flip at least 4 of:
#AZ01 #AZ06 #CA03 #CA13 #CA22 #CA27 #CA41 #CA45 #CO03 #NY22

Sigh.
---
RT @Redistrict
Between #AZ01, #AZ06 and #CA41, Dems' dreams of holding the House majority probably died tonight.
https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1591995104784515072

Heavy sigh. ☹️ Via Cook Political Report’s Dave Wasserman:

“New House math:

Dem called/probable (213), incl. #AKAL, #CA09, #CA21, #CA47, #CA49, #CO08, #ME02, #OR06
GOP called/probable (220): incl. #AZ01, #AZ06, #CA03, #CA27, #CA41, #CA45, #CO03, #NY22, #OR05
Toss Ups (2): #CA13, #CA22

Dems need a miracle now.”

Heavy sigh. ☹️ Via Cook Political Report’s Dave Wasserman:

“New House math:

Dem called/probable (213), incl. #AKAL, #CA09, #CA21, #CA47, #CA49, #CO08, #ME02, #OR06
GOP called/probable (220): incl. #AZ01, #AZ06, #CA03, #CA27, #CA41, #CA45, #CO03, #NY22, #OR05
Toss Ups (2): #CA13, #CA22

Dems need a miracle now.”

Heavy sigh. ☹️ Via Cook Political Report’s Dave Wasserman:

“New House math:

Dem called/probable (213), incl. #AKAL, #CA09, #CA21, #CA47, #CA49, #CO08, #ME02, #OR06
GOP called/probable (220): incl. #AZ01, #AZ06, #CA03, #CA27, #CA41, #CA45, #CO03, #NY22, #OR05
Toss Ups (2): #CA13, #CA22

Dems need a miracle now.”

Heavy sigh. ☹️ Via Cook Political Report’s Dave Wasserman:

“New House math:

Dem called/probable (213), incl. #AKAL, #CA09, #CA21, #CA47, #CA49, #CO08, #ME02, #OR06
GOP called/probable (220): incl. #AZ01, #AZ06, #CA03, #CA27, #CA41, #CA45, #CO03, #NY22, #OR05
Toss Ups (2): #CA13, #CA22

Dems need a miracle now.”

Heavy sigh. ☹️ Via Cook Political Report’s Dave Wasserman:

“New House math:

Dem called/probable (213), incl. #AKAL, #CA09, #CA21, #CA47, #CA49, #CO08, #ME02, #OR06
GOP called/probable (220): incl. #AZ01, #AZ06, #CA03, #CA27, #CA41, #CA45, #CO03, #NY22, #OR05
Toss Ups (2): #CA13, #CA22

Dems need a miracle now.”

Dave Wasserman:

New House math:

Dem called/probable (213), incl. #AKAL, #CA09, #CA21, #CA47, #CA49, #CO08, #ME02, #OR06
GOP called/probable (220): incl. #AZ01, #AZ06, #CA03, #CA27, #CA41, #CA45, #CO03, #NY22, #OR05
Toss Ups (2): #CA13, #CA22

Dems need a miracle now.

Dave Wasserman:

New House math:

Dem called/probable (213), incl. #AKAL, #CA09, #CA21, #CA47, #CA49, #CO08, #ME02, #OR06
GOP called/probable (220): incl. #AZ01, #AZ06, #CA03, #CA27, #CA41, #CA45, #CO03, #NY22, #OR05
Toss Ups (2): #CA13, #CA22

Dems need a miracle now.

共和党可以庆祝控制众议院了
New House math:

Dem called/probable (213), incl. #AKAL, #CA09, #CA21, #CA47, #CA49, #CO08, #ME02, #OR06
GOP called/probable (220): incl. #AZ01, #AZ06, #CA03, #CA27, #CA41, #CA45, #CO03, #NY22, #OR05
Toss Ups (2): #CA13, #CA22

Dems need a miracle now.

共和党可以庆祝控制众议院了
New House math:

Dem called/probable (213), incl. #AKAL, #CA09, #CA21, #CA47, #CA49, #CO08, #ME02, #OR06
GOP called/probable (220): incl. #AZ01, #AZ06, #CA03, #CA27, #CA41, #CA45, #CO03, #NY22, #OR05
Toss Ups (2): #CA13, #CA22

Dems need a miracle now.

From Dave Wasserman:

New House math:

Dem called/likely (213), incl. #AKAL, #CA09, #CA21, #CA47, #CA49, #CO08, #ME02, #OR06
GOP called/likely (217): incl. #CA03, #CA27, #CA45, #CO03, #NY22, #OR05
Toss Ups (5): #AZ01, #AZ06, #CA13, #CA22, #CA41

Dems need to run the table on the last five for 218.

From Dave Wasserman:

New House math:

Dem called/likely (213), incl. #AKAL, #CA09, #CA21, #CA47, #CA49, #CO08, #ME02, #OR06
GOP called/likely (217): incl. #CA03, #CA27, #CA45, #CO03, #NY22, #OR05
Toss Ups (5): #AZ01, #AZ06, #CA13, #CA22, #CA41

Dems need to run the table on the last five for 218.

From Dave Wasserman:

New House math:

Dem called/likely (213), incl. #AKAL, #CA09, #CA21, #CA47, #CA49, #CO08, #ME02, #OR06
GOP called/likely (217): incl. #CA03, #CA27, #CA45, #CO03, #NY22, #OR05
Toss Ups (5): #AZ01, #AZ06, #CA13, #CA22, #CA41

Dems need to run the table on the last five for 218.

From Dave Wasserman:

New House math:

Dem called/likely (213), incl. #AKAL, #CA09, #CA21, #CA47, #CA49, #CO08, #ME02, #OR06
GOP called/likely (217): incl. #CA03, #CA27, #CA45, #CO03, #NY22, #OR05
Toss Ups (5): #AZ01, #AZ06, #CA13, #CA22, #CA41

Dems need to run the table on the last five for 218.

From Dave Wasserman:

New House math:

Dem called/likely (213), incl. #AKAL, #CA09, #CA21, #CA47, #CA49, #CO08, #ME02, #OR06
GOP called/likely (217): incl. #CA03, #CA27, #CA45, #CO03, #NY22, #OR05
Toss Ups (5): #AZ01, #AZ06, #CA13, #CA22, #CA41

Dems need to run the table on the last five for 218.

New House math:

Dem called/likely (213), incl. #AKAL, #CA09, #CA21, #CA47, #CA49, #CO08, #ME02, #OR06
GOP called/likely (217): incl. #CA03, #CA27, #CA45, #CO03, #NY22, #OR05
Toss Ups (5): #AZ01, #AZ06, #CA13, #CA22, #CA41

Dems need to run the table on the last five for 218.

New House math:

Dem called/likely (213), incl. #AKAL, #CA09, #CA21, #CA47, #CA49, #CO08, #ME02, #OR06
GOP called/likely (217): incl. #CA03, #CA27, #CA45, #CO03, #NY22, #OR05
Toss Ups (5): #AZ01, #AZ06, #CA13, #CA22, #CA41

Dems need to run the table on the last five for 218.

That leaves 14 House seats where the #GOPCovidDeathCult *could* potentially be a decisive factor in the outcome of the race:
#AZ01, #AZ06, #CA03, #CA13, #CA22, #CA41, #CA47, #CO03, #CO08, #ME02, #NY22, #OR05, #OR06 & #WA03:

That leaves 14 House seats where the #GOPCovidDeathCult *could* potentially be a decisive factor in the outcome of the race:
#AZ01, #AZ06, #CA03, #CA13, #CA22, #CA41, #CA47, #CO03, #CO08, #ME02, #NY22, #OR05, #OR06 & #WA03:

That leaves 14 House seats where the #GOPCovidDeathCult *could* potentially be a decisive factor in the outcome of the race:
#AZ01, #AZ06, #CA03, #CA13, #CA22, #CA41, #CA47, #CO03, #CO08, #ME02, #NY22, #OR05, #OR06 & #WA03:

That leaves 14 House seats where the #GOPCovidDeathCult *could* potentially be a decisive factor in the outcome of the race:
#AZ01, #AZ06, #CA03, #CA13, #CA22, #CA41, #CA47, #CO03, #CO08, #ME02, #NY22, #OR05, #OR06 & #WA03:

That leaves 14 House seats where the #GOPCovidDeathCult *could* potentially be a decisive factor in the outcome of the race:
#AZ01, #AZ06, #CA03, #CA13, #CA22, #CA41, #CA47, #CO03, #CO08, #ME02, #NY22, #OR05, #OR06 & #WA03:

Math on #AZ06 and Kirsten Engel.

If current county by county percentages hold through remaining votes (based on numbers currently posted at CNN) then Ciscomani will end with 177,143 votes and Kirsten Engel with 175,507 or a deficit of 1,636 votes which is below the 0.5% threshold for a recount (0.4%).

To win Kirsten only needs to improve her current showing by 0.5% in the remaining ballots.

#USHouse

@doctorcdf No question they played a strong role. Top of the ticket always influences down ballot campaigns. At the same time, Arizona is trending towards Democrats so that too plays a role. Unless I have missed something every statewide seat will be held by a Democrat now. in addition, #AZ06 was redrawn to become more Republican but they may well lose it to my friend Kirsten Engel.

My friend Kirsten Engel closed the gap quite a bit in Arizona CD-6 with this latest count from Pima County. Could make all the difference in who holds the House the next 2 years.

#USHouse #AZ06

https://www.cnn.com/election/2022/results/arizona/us-house-district-6

New House math:

Dem called/likely (212), incl. #AKAL, #CA09, #CA21, #CA47, #CA49, #CO08, #ME02, #OR06
GOP called/likely (217): incl. #CA03, #CA27, #CA45, #CO03, #NY22, #OR05
Toss Ups (6): #AZ01, #AZ06, #CA13, #CA22, #CA41, #WA03

Dems need to run the table on Toss Ups for 218.

New House math:

Dem called/likely (212), incl. #AKAL, #CA09, #CA21, #CA47, #CA49, #CO08, #ME02, #OR06
GOP called/likely (217): incl. #CA03, #CA27, #CA45, #CO03, #NY22, #OR05
Toss Ups (6): #AZ01, #AZ06, #CA13, #CA22, #CA41, #WA03

Dems need to run the table on Toss Ups for 218.

NO CHANGE 7:30am Saturday in the Race for US House Control.

No race-changing results have been called.

The House continues to be GOP 219-216 Dem.

For Dems to win control, they must win at least 2 of:

#AZ06 #CA03 #CA13 #CA22 #CA27 #CA45 #CO03 #NY22 #0R05

2:30pm UPDATE - There's been a change! A previously "leans GOP" counted race has flipped and been called by the AP: #MD06 has been won by Krone (D).

This changes the House vote count from GOP 220-215 Dem, to 219-216 Dem, with several outstanding races yet to have their votes fully counted.

For Dems to win control, they must win at least 2 of:

#AZ06 #CA03 #CA13 #CA22 #CA27 #CA45 #CO03 #NY22 #0R05

Control of the US House of Reps 12:00pm Friday Update

At current vote counts, GOP wins control, 220-215.

For Dems to win, they must win at least 3 of:

#AZ06 #CA03 #CA13 #CA22 #CA27 #CA45 #CO03 #MD06 #NY22 #0R05

Some are close; all currently favor the GOP.

Control of the US House of Reps 1:30am Friday Update

At the current vote counts, GOP wins control of the house 220-215.

For the Democrats to win control, they must win at least 3 of these currently "lean GOP" districts:

#AZ06 #CA03 #CA13 #CA22 #CA27 #CA45 #CO03 #MD06 #NY22 #0R05

A narrow window.

If the Democrats are to win the House, then at least two of these currently presumed but contested GOP seats must flip to the Democrats:

#AZ02 #AZ06 #CA13 #CA22 #CA27 #CA45 #MD06 #MT01 #NY22 #OR05 #CA03 #CA40.

There's no path to a Dem Victory without that.

#Election #Midterms2022results