Live and recent posts from across the Fediverse tagged #americaniranianwar, aggregated by home.social.
Recently the US started hitting Iranian oil tankers. The Iranians had said that if this happened, they would escalate and they have done just that. This is a very serious change in their strategy: before they retaliated, but did their best to keep casualties low, rarely made serious attacks on US naval ships, and their attacks were relatively small. That’s all changed.
(Footage of the US […]
https://www.ianwelsh.net/the-iran-war-has-just-had-a-major-phase-change/
America hit Iran last night, taking out a couple launchers and radar aiming at ships the US is trying to get out of the Strait. Iran responded by hitting a US base in Jordan.
Today, around 8pm Iranian time, the US hit a variety of targets, some civilian (a fish powder plant?) and some military. Iran has now started its retaliation, which includes a lot of anti-ship missiles going after US […]
https://www.ianwelsh.net/tit-for-tat-us-iranian-strikes-resume/
Regular readers will remember that I thought the resistance could defeat Israel over the genocide in Gaza. Iran, Syria, Iraqi militias, Hezbollah and Ansar-Allah.
I was right.
They could. But the decision was made not to.
I base this on the fact that Iran is defeating the US and Israel.
If they can do it now, they could have done it then, when they still had Syria and Hezbollah hadn’t been […]
https://www.ianwelsh.net/capacity-v-s-desire-what-i-got-right-wrong-at-the-start-of-the-gaza-genocide/
So, it seems that Ansar-Allah (the Houthis) struck an oil refinery in Jizan, Saudi Arabia. They also took a shot at a refinery in Yanbu, apparently intercepted by a battery the Greeks had there (what?)
Anyway, this is getting real. Between the Ukrainian strikes on Russian refineries, which have been very successful, Iranians hits, and now the Houthis, I don’t see how we avoid serious […]
https://www.ianwelsh.net/oilpocalypse-incoming/
Readers will remember that at the start of the Iran war I said that if it got serious, the Iranians would win, because they would run the US out of missiles, especially air defense missiles.
The math is simple. If Iran keeps firing, and the US/Israel does not take out the launchers and missile stockpiles in large numbers, Iran will run the US and Israel (it has its own variants, but the same […]
https://www.ianwelsh.net/america-doesnt-have-enough-missiles-to-fight-iran/
If you’ve been following oil prices since the Iran war started you’ve probably been surprised at how low prices have often been. I certainly was, at first.
The issue is fairly simple: most governments are worried about the price of oil, and not the supply of oil. So they’ve taken various measures to keep prices low. Some of those have been manipulative financial and some of them have been […]
https://www.ianwelsh.net/manipulating-numbers-rather-than-logistics-oil-version/
So, Iran closed the Strait because Israel wouldn’t leave Lebanon. Some ships tried to leave to Iran struck the ships. Trump called that a violation of the truce and struck targets in Iran.
As predicted, there is no peace possible if the US won’t control Israel.
Meanwhile in Lebanon the government signed an agreement with Israel saying that Hezbollah is to be disarmed. Hezbollah straight up […]
https://www.ianwelsh.net/brief-iran-update/
A friend pointed out to me that Israel’s support is eroding hard. The elite consensus is shifting. Point in case:
Israeli National Security Minister Ben Gvir, an anti-Arab racist zealot, says “all of Lebanon must burn.” That’s almost 6 million people. Hideous. https://t.co/ONlrB9jpjo
— Jake Tapper 🦅 (@jaketapper) June 19, 2026
The hard core Zionists will keep opposing this deal, […]
https://www.ianwelsh.net/israels-support-is-eroding-in-the-us/
One reason I try not to post too much about Iran, other than blockade consequences, is that the level of bullshit flying around is so high, and it’s so hard to predict Trump. (He’s declared there was a deal over twenty times.)
However, this seems worth noting: Trump reposting Iran’s foreign minister:
Whether this will lead anywhere? Damned if I know. If I had to guess Trump’s threats to take […]
https://www.ianwelsh.net/possible-new-iran-deal/
All of the above?
#uspol #politics #Trump #DonaldTrump #IranStrike #AmericanIranianWar #usa_iran_strike #AyatollahAliHosseiniKhamenei #AyatollahKhamenei #AyatollahKhameneiDead #AyatollahKhameneiDeath #AyatollahKhameneiKilled #SecretaryOfWar #Iran #StraitOfHormuz #AyatollahMojtabaKhamenei #AyatollahKhameneiGay #AyatollahMojtabaKhameneiGay #TrumpAdministration #SecondTrumpAdminstration #TrumpAdministration2026 #MAGA #LGBT #NewsMax #DeadOrAlive #PaulBurns
Ah, the three g̶e̶n̶d̶e̶r̶s̶sexual orientations
#uspol #politics #Trump #DonaldTrump #IranStrike #AmericanIranianWar #usa_iran_strike #AyatollahAliHosseiniKhamenei #AyatollahKhamenei #AyatollahKhameneiDead #AyatollahKhameneiDeath #AyatollahKhameneiKilled #SecretaryOfWar #Iran #StraitOfHormuz #AyatollahMojtabaKhamenei #AyatollahKhameneiGay #AyatollahMojtabaKhameneiGay #TrumpAdministration #SecondTrumpAdminstration #TrumpAdministration2026 #MAGA #LGBT #NewsMax
Gay guy cockblocks anti LGBT* invaders at a strai(gh)t
#uspol #politics #Trump #DonaldTrump #IranStrike #AmericanIranianWar #usa_iran_strike #AyatollahAliHosseiniKhamenei #AyatollahKhamenei #AyatollahKhameneiDead #AyatollahKhameneiDeath #AyatollahKhameneiKilled #SecretaryOfWar #Iran #StraitOfHormuz #AyatollahMojtabaKhamenei #AyatollahKhameneiGay #AyatollahMojtabaKhameneiGay #TrumpAdministration #SecondTrumpAdminstration #TrumpAdministration2026 #MAGA
#uspol #politics #Trump #DonaldTrump #MissionAccomplishedBush #BushMissionAccomplished #ExcursionAccomplished #ExcursionOrWar #WarOrExcursion #IranStrike #AmericanIranianWar #usa_iran_strike #AyatollahAliHosseiniKhamenei #AyatollahKhamenei #AyatollahKhameneiDead #AyatollahKhameneiDeath #AyatollahKhameneiKilled #SecretaryOfWar #WarriorEthos #Iran #StraitOfHormuz
The #SecretaryOfWar is talking about the defense in #Iran by the U.S.'s warriors—did I get that right?
#uspol #politics #IranStrike #AmericanIranianWar #usa_iran_strike #AyatollahAliHosseiniKhamenei #AyatollahKhamenei #AyatollahKhameneiDead #AyatollahKhameneiDeath #AyatollahKhameneiKilled #PeteHegseth #WarriorEthos
"This is war. This is not war."
– Markwayne: The awful English Language
#uspol #politics #IranStrike #AmericanIranianWar #usa_iran_strike #AyatollahAliHosseiniKhamenei #AyatollahKhamenei #AyatollahKhameneiDead #AyatollahKhameneiDeath #AyatollahKhameneiKilled #Iran #MarkwayneMullin