#sandp — Public Fediverse posts

A new post, with better, more explained math, was posted, and I want to edit this post so folks who saw the first one get a chance to see the edits. TLDR: It's not quite as bad as we all feared. It ain't good, but it's not quite as bad as initial maths suppositions assumed.

https://no01.substack.com/p/honest-recount

h/t @Axomamma for pointing out the followup.

Here is a pretty good, albeit technical, explaination of why and how this is so absolutely absurd and corrupt.

https://no01.substack.com/p/honest-graft

#SpaceX #IPO #MutualFunds #ETFs #SandP #Dow #FTSE #Nasdaq #SPY #VOO #SPCX

A new post, with better, more explained math, was posted, and I want to edit this post so folks who saw the first one get a chance to see the edits. TLDR: It's not quite as bad as we all feared. It ain't good, but it's not quite as bad as initial maths suppositions assumed.

https://no01.substack.com/p/honest-recount

h/t @Axomamma for pointing out the followup.

Here is a pretty good, albeit technical, explaination of why and how this is so absolutely absurd and corrupt.

https://no01.substack.com/p/honest-graft

#SpaceX #IPO #MutualFunds #ETFs #SandP #Dow #FTSE #Nasdaq #SPY #VOO #SPCX

So… the #SpaceX #IPO is tomorrow, and y’all, the wealth transfer is gonna be a bumpy ride.

Due to recent emergency rule overhauls enacted in May 2026, passive #MutualFunds and #ETFs tracking specific indices will be legally forced to buy tens of billions of dollars of SpaceX stock in a highly compressed timeframe. To fund these mandatory purchases, fund managers must sell down their existing holdings in other companies, creating artificial downward pressure on those stocks.

#SandP #Dow: Zero immediate risk. Funds tracking these indices do not have to sell a single share to buy SpaceX.

#FTSE Russell: *5 Trading Days* (Fast-track entry for top 500 cap firms) *High* immediate risk. Massive forced selling across non-SpaceX components will occur next week.

#Nasdaq: *15 Trading Days* (Accelerated entry for top 40 market caps)*High delayed risk*. Concentrated tech and growth components will face selling pressure.

S&P 500 vehicles (such as #SPY or #VOO) are entirely insulated from #SPCX.

So… the #SpaceX #IPO is tomorrow, and y’all, the wealth transfer is gonna be a bumpy ride.

Due to recent emergency rule overhauls enacted in May 2026, passive #MutualFunds and #ETFs tracking specific indices will be legally forced to buy tens of billions of dollars of SpaceX stock in a highly compressed timeframe. To fund these mandatory purchases, fund managers must sell down their existing holdings in other companies, creating artificial downward pressure on those stocks.

#SandP #Dow: Zero immediate risk. Funds tracking these indices do not have to sell a single share to buy SpaceX.

#FTSE Russell: *5 Trading Days* (Fast-track entry for top 500 cap firms) *High* immediate risk. Massive forced selling across non-SpaceX components will occur next week.

#Nasdaq: *15 Trading Days* (Accelerated entry for top 40 market caps)*High delayed risk*. Concentrated tech and growth components will face selling pressure.

S&P 500 vehicles (such as #SPY or #VOO) are entirely insulated from #SPCX.

NY Times - #News - Stocks Dive Again as Angst Rises Over Trump’s Trade War
The S&P 500 fell 3.5 percent by the closing bell, erasing part of Wednesday’s recovery, as fears grew that the worsening trade war with China will crimp growth. #StockMarket #Stocks #SandP #Finance #economy #investment #trade #TradeWar #Recession #stagflation

NY Times - #News - Stocks Dive Again as Angst Rises Over Trump’s Trade War
The S&P 500 fell 3.5 percent by the closing bell, erasing part of Wednesday’s recovery, as fears grew that the worsening trade war with China will crimp growth. #StockMarket #Stocks #SandP #Finance #economy #investment #trade #TradeWar #Recession #stagflation

It took civilization thousands of years to build the global and broadly successful #economy that we enjoyed right up until about 4PM EDT today.

It took 🍊🤡 about 2.5 months to destroy it.

So congratulations #Republicans on bringing forth the largest (and perhaps most #regressive) #tax increase in the nation’s history. America’s #billionaires thank you for your support.

#tariffs #impeach47 #deportElon #depression #Dow #SandP #NASDAQ #markets

It took civilization thousands of years to build the global and broadly successful #economy that we enjoyed right up until 9:00EDT tonight.

It took 🍊🤡 about 2.5 months to destroy it.

So congratulations #Republicans on bringing forth the largest (and perhaps most #regressive) #tax increase in the nation’s history. America’s #billionaires thank you for your support.

#tariffs #impeach47 #deportElon #depression #Dow #SandP #NASDAQ #markets

"If any Trump action appears to be a mystery, 'this helps Putin' is usually the answer. Coincidentally, the White House is also reportedly working to lift some Russian sanctions, at the same time it punishes our biggest trade partners."

~ Marcie Jones

#Musk #Trump #Putin #StockMarket #economy #Dow #Nasdaq #SandP #tariffs #recession
/23

https://www.wonkette.com/p/happy-hunger-games-here-come-more

"Expect poverty; expect the financial starvation of universities and of nongovernmental organizations; and expect unannounced raids, unreliable data and an America increasingly aligned with authoritarians worldwide. Expect a pervasive climate of suspicion and a preoccupation with revenge. Expect more suffering, more fear, less security and less happiness.

In other words, expect the worst."

#Musk #Trump #Putin #StockMarket #economy #Dow #Nasdaq #SandP #tariffs #recession
/22

"You know what? Elon Musk did say before the election that he was going to inflict pain on the American people. So I guess in that regard, a promise is made, a promise is kept from this administration because people are feeling the pain."

~ Ben Meiselas

#Musk #Trump #Putin #StockMarket #economy #Dow #Nasdaq #SandP #tariffs #recession
/20

https://www.meidasplus.com/p/meidas-pod-on-trump-tanking-economy

"You know what? Elon Musk did say before the election that he was going to inflict pain on the American people. So I guess in that regard, a promise is made, a promise is kept from this administration because people are feeling the pain."

~ Ben Meiselas

#Musk #Trump #Putin #StockMarket #economy #Dow #Nasdaq #SandP #tariffs #recession
/20

https://www.meidasplus.com/p/meidas-pod-on-trump-tanking-economy

"It was a perfect encapsulation of the chaos that Trump has wrought. As he announced yesterday that he was going to proceed with 25 percent tariffs against Canada and Mexico and hike another 10 percent on China, a widget on the Fox Network showed the Dow Jones crashing in response."

~ Jay Kuo

#Musk #Trump #Putin #StockMarket #economy #Dow #Nasdaq #SandP #tariffs #recession
/19

https://statuskuo.substack.com/p/trumps-trade-war-has-begun

"It was a perfect encapsulation of the chaos that Trump has wrought. As he announced yesterday that he was going to proceed with 25 percent tariffs against Canada and Mexico and hike another 10 percent on China, a widget on the Fox Network showed the Dow Jones crashing in response."

~ Jay Kuo

#Musk #Trump #Putin #StockMarket #economy #Dow #Nasdaq #SandP #tariffs #recession
/19

https://statuskuo.substack.com/p/trumps-trade-war-has-begun

"Coincidentally, the same day Trump said tariffs on Canadian and Mexican goods would go ahead, a story broke that his administration is seeking to ease sanctions on Russia. After appeasing the bear, he has decided to drive his car into the moose. All of us are about to find out what happens next."

~ Martyn Wendell Jones

#Musk #Trump #Putin #StockMarket #economy #Dow #Nasdaq #SandP #tariffs #recession
/18

https://www.thebulwark.com/p/trump-putin-zelensky-veterans-hospital-eggs-tariffs-canada

"Coincidentally, the same day Trump said tariffs on Canadian and Mexican goods would go ahead, a story broke that his administration is seeking to ease sanctions on Russia. After appeasing the bear, he has decided to drive his car into the moose. All of us are about to find out what happens next."

~ Martyn Wendell Jones

#Musk #Trump #Putin #StockMarket #economy #Dow #Nasdaq #SandP #tariffs #recession
/18

https://www.thebulwark.com/p/trump-putin-zelensky-veterans-hospital-eggs-tariffs-canada

"And there will be further steps. The administration’s cutoff of aid to Ukraine will surely be followed by further attempts to isolate President Volodymyr Zelensky and further weaken Ukraine."

#Musk #Trump #Putin #StockMarket #economy #Dow #Nasdaq #SandP #tariffs #recession
/17

"And there will be further steps. The administration’s cutoff of aid to Ukraine will surely be followed by further attempts to isolate President Volodymyr Zelensky and further weaken Ukraine."

#Musk #Trump #Putin #StockMarket #economy #Dow #Nasdaq #SandP #tariffs #recession
/17

"Encouraged by the cheers of his sycophants, empowered by the silence of his enablers, Donald Trump took another step yesterday down the dishonorable and dangerous path of betraying Ukraine and siding with Vladimir Putin."

~ William Kristol

#Musk #Trump #Putin #StockMarket #economy #Dow #Nasdaq #SandP #tariffs #recession
/16

https://www.thebulwark.com/p/trump-putin-zelensky-veterans-hospital-eggs-tariffs-canada

Encouraged by the cheers of his sycophants, empowered by the silence of his enablers, Donald Trump took another step yesterday down the dishonorable and dangerous path of betraying Ukraine and siding with Vladimir Putin.

~ William Kristol

#Musk #Trump #Putin #StockMarket #economy #Dow #Nasdaq #SandP #tariffs #recession
/15

https://www.thebulwark.com/p/trump-putin-zelensky-veterans-hospital-eggs-tariffs-canada

"On Monday, while President Trump talked about his tariffs, Fox News showed him speaking even as a graphic in the corner displayed the markets sliding. That said it all: No matter how much boasting he does about the economy, the actual metrics are getting worse—and the public knows it."

~ Greg Sargent

#Musk #Trump #Putin #StockMarket #economy #Dow #Nasdaq #SandP #tariffs #recession
/15

https://newrepublic.com/article/192262/trump-hit-brutal-fox-news-graphic-tariffs-bad-polls-land

"On Monday, while President Trump talked about his tariffs, Fox News showed him speaking even as a graphic in the corner displayed the markets sliding. That said it all: No matter how much boasting he does about the economy, the actual metrics are getting worse—and the public knows it."

~ Greg Sargent

#Musk #Trump #Putin #StockMarket #economy #Dow #Nasdaq #SandP #tariffs #recession
/15

https://newrepublic.com/article/192262/trump-hit-brutal-fox-news-graphic-tariffs-bad-polls-land

As Jen Rubin also notes, what Trump is doing to tank the economy has to be set beside his attack on Ukraine and NATO, which says,

"The message to Moscow is do what you will with Ukraine. We'll deliver them on a silver platter."

Ripping apart the federal government and tanking the economy serves no one better than it serves Vladimir Putin. These are dots that need to be connected.

#Musk #Trump #Putin #StockMarket #economy #Dow #Nasdaq #SandP #tariffs #recession
/14

As Jen Rubin also notes, what Trump is doing to tank the economy has to be set beside his attack on Ukraine and NATO, which says,

"The message to Moscow is do what you will with Ukraine. We'll deliver them on a silver platter."

Ripping apart the federal government and tanking the economy serves no one better than it serves Vladimir Putin. These are dots that need to be connected.

#Musk #Trump #Putin #StockMarket #economy #Dow #Nasdaq #SandP #tariffs #recession
/14

"The Federal Reserve of Atlanta came out with a prediction this morning that the first quarter of growth in the United States would be negative, negative 1.5. That's down from 2.8 positive growth just a month ago. That's all the time it took Donald Trump to wreck this economy. I can't sugarcoat this."

~ Jen Rubin

#Musk #Trump #Putin #StockMarket #economy #Dow #Nasdaq #SandP #tariffs #recession
/13

https://contrarian.substack.com/p/jen-rubin-addresses-the-halting-of

"The Federal Reserve of Atlanta came out with a prediction this morning that the first quarter of growth in the United States would be negative, negative 1.5. That's down from 2.8 positive growth just a month ago. That's all the time it took Donald Trump to wreck this economy. I can't sugarcoat this."

~ Jen Rubin

#Musk #Trump #Putin #StockMarket #economy #Dow #Nasdaq #SandP #tariffs #recession
/13

https://contrarian.substack.com/p/jen-rubin-addresses-the-halting-of

"Bloomberg reported that the tariffs on Canada and Mexico are likely to make US car prices rise by as much as $12,000, since so many parts and pieces of vehicles are manufactured at plants in those countries. In his remarks today, Trump said the manufacturers are just going to have to move all their plants to the US."

~ Ron Filipkowski

#Musk #Trump #Putin #StockMarket #economy #Dow #Nasdaq #SandP #tariffs #recession
/12

https://www.meidasplus.com/p/today-in-politics-bulletin-83-3325

"Bloomberg reported that the tariffs on Canada and Mexico are likely to make US car prices rise by as much as $12,000, since so many parts and pieces of vehicles are manufactured at plants in those countries. In his remarks today, Trump said the manufacturers are just going to have to move all their plants to the US."

~ Ron Filipkowski

#Musk #Trump #Putin #StockMarket #economy #Dow #Nasdaq #SandP #tariffs #recession
/12

https://www.meidasplus.com/p/today-in-politics-bulletin-83-3325

"They want us broke. That means they want a recession, a depression, economic tumult. They want mass unemployment. They want the stock market to collapse. They want us to go broke struggling to pay our bills."

~ Greg Olear

#Musk #Trump #Putin #StockMarket #economy #Dow #Nasdaq #SandP #tariffs #recession
/9

https://gregolear.substack.com/p/sotu-stfu-how-the-opposition-party

"They want us broke. That means they want a recession, a depression, economic tumult. They want mass unemployment. They want the stock market to collapse. They want us to go broke struggling to pay our bills."

~ Greg Olear

#Musk #Trump #Putin #StockMarket #economy #Dow #Nasdaq #SandP #tariffs #recession
/9

https://gregolear.substack.com/p/sotu-stfu-how-the-opposition-party

"Trump is killing the economy, reducing the U.S. government to rubble, and destroying our relationships with our allies. Putin may love it, but it’s a catastrophe for us and much of the rest of the world."

~ Robert Reich

#Musk #Trump #Putin #StockMarket #economy #Dow #Nasdaq #SandP #tariffs #recession
/8

https://robertreich.substack.com/p/democrats-wake-the-hell-up

"Rrump is killing the economy, reducing the U.S. government to rubble, and destroying our relationships with our allies. Putin may love it, but it’s a catastrophe for us and much of the rest of the world."

~ Robert Reich

#Musk #Trump #Putin #StockMarket #economy #Dow #Nasdaq #SandP #tariffs #recession
/8

https://robertreich.substack.com/p/democrats-wake-the-hell-up

"Unbridled Tariff Man was always going to be a big economic risk in a second term, and here we are."

~ Wall Street Journal

#Musk #Trump #Putin #StockMarket #economy #Dow #Nasdaq #SandP #tariffs #recession
/5

https://www.wsj.com/opinion/trump-takes-the-dumbest-tariff-plunge-5da57946

"Unbridled Tariff Man was always going to be a big economic risk in a second term, and here we are."

~ Wall Street Journal

#Musk #Trump #Putin #StockMarket #economy #Dow #Nasdaq #SandP #tariffs #recession
/5

https://www.wsj.com/opinion/trump-takes-the-dumbest-tariff-plunge-5da57946

"The unease has already led to warnings that the U.S. could be heading for recession, with the Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow model estimating real GDP growth for the first quarter of 2025 at -2.8 percent, down from +3.9 percent just four weeks ago."

#Musk #Trump #Putin #StockMarket #economy #Dow #Nasdaq #SandP #tariffs #recession
/4

"The unease has already led to warnings that the U.S. could be heading for recession, with the Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow model estimating real GDP growth for the first quarter of 2025 at -2.8 percent, down from +3.9 percent just four weeks ago."

#Musk #Trump #Putin #StockMarket #economy #Dow #Nasdaq #SandP #tariffs #recession
/4

"Donald Trump’s introduction of his long-threatened 25 percent trade tariffs on Mexico and Canada has caused global stock markets to drop sharply, with the Dow Jones, S&P 500 and Nasdaq all falling."

~ Oliver O'Connell, Joe Sommerlad, Ariana Baio

#Musk #Trump #Putin #StockMarket #economy #Dow #Nasdaq #SandP #tariffs #recession
/3

https://www.the-independent.com/news/world/americas/us-politics/trump-news-tariffs-recession-stocks-canada-live-updates-b2708571.html

"Donald Trump’s introduction of his long-threatened 25 percent trade tariffs on Mexico and Canada has caused global stock markets to drop sharply, with the Dow Jones, S&P 500 and Nasdaq all falling."

~ Oliver O'Connell, Joe Sommerlad, Ariana Baio

#Musk #Trump #Putin #StockMarket #economy #Dow #Nasdaq #SandP #tariffs #recession
/3

https://www.the-independent.com/news/world/americas/us-politics/trump-news-tariffs-recession-stocks-canada-live-updates-b2708571.html

"Also today, the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta forecast a dramatic contraction in the economy in the first quarter of 2025. Evaluating current data according to a mathematical model, it moved from an expected 2.9% growth in gross domestic product at the end of January to –2.8% today."

#Musk #Trump #Putin #StockMarket #economy #Dow #Nasdaq #SandP #tariffs #recession
/2

"Also today, the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta forecast a dramatic contraction in the economy in the first quarter of 2025. Evaluating current data according to a mathematical model, it moved from an expected 2.9% growth in gross domestic product at the end of January to –2.8% today."

#Musk #Trump #Putin #StockMarket #economy #Dow #Nasdaq #SandP #tariffs #recession
/2

"Today, the stock market dropped dramatically upon news that Trump intended to go through with his tariffs. The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 650 points, down 1.48%. The S&P fell 1.76%, and the Nasdaq Composite, which focuses on technology stocks, fell 2.64%."

~ Heather Cox Richardson

#Musk #Trump #Putin #StockMarket #economy #Dow #Nasdaq #SandP #tariffs #recession
/1

https://heathercoxrichardson.substack.com/p/march-3-2025

"Today, the stock market dropped dramatically upon news that Trump intended to go through with his tariffs. The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 650 points, down 1.48%. The S&P fell 1.76%, and the Nasdaq Composite, which focuses on technology stocks, fell 2.64%.'

~ Heather Cox Richardson

#Musk #Trump #Putin #StockMarket #economy #Dow #Nasdaq #SandP #tariffs
/1

https://heathercoxrichardson.substack.com/p/march-3-2025

"BREAKING: Recession incoming! The Atlanta Fed now projects -2.8% economic growth this quarter.

When Trump took office, projections were for over 3% growth. Now? Recession looms.

Disastrous. Avoidable."

~ Chris D. Jackson on the X platform

The graphic below is attached to Jackson's tweet.

#Musk #Trump #Putin #StockMarket #economy #Dow #Nasdaq #SandP #tariffs
/7

"Trump just spoke promising tariffs will go into effect tomorrow. The markets are tanking in response."

~ Jay Kuo

#Musk #Trump #Putin #StockMarket #economy #Dow #Nasdaq #SandP #tariffs
/6

"Trump just spoke promising tariffs will go into effect tomorrow. The markets are tanking in response."

~ Jay Kuo

#Musk #Trump #Putin #StockMarket #economy #Dow #Nasdaq #SandP #tariffs
/6

"Second, they don't think money (in the form of fiat currency) is real. Their goal is to replace fiat currency with an entirely new global financial order, and a supranational monarchy to match."

There are people actively WANTING our economy to crash — people to whom we have given enormous power. We need to pay attention to what they're doing and why they're doing it.

#Musk #Trump #Putin #StockMarket #economy #Dow #Nasdaq #SandP #tariffs #ChristianNationalists
/5

"Second, they don't think money (in the form of fiat currency) is real. Their goal is to replace fiat currency with an entirely new global financial order, and a supranational monarchy to match."

There are people actively WANTING our economy to crash — people to whom we have given enormous power. We need to pay attention to what they're doing and why they're doing it.

#Musk #Trump #Putin #StockMarket #economy #Dow #Nasdaq #SandP #tariffs #ChristianNationalists
/5

"It is a grave error to view Trump, Putin, Musk, or the others merely as grifters — or greedy, or motivated by profits, or only wanting to benefit from government contracts. Theirs is a bid to remake the world; they want power and the chance to impose their worldview onto everyone else. Second, they don't think money (in the form of fiat currency) is real."

#Musk #Trump #Putin #StockMarket #economy #Dow #Nasdaq #SandP #tariffs #ChristianNationalists
/4

"It is a grave error to view Trump, Putin, Musk, or the others merely as grifters — or greedy, or motivated by profits, or only wanting to benefit from government contracts. Theirs is a bid to remake the world; they want power and the chance to impose their worldview onto everyone else. Second, they don't think money (in the form of fiat currency) is real."

#Musk #Trump #Putin #StockMarket #economy #Dow #Nasdaq #SandP #tariffs #ChristianNationalists
/4

"But Christian ideologues like Gary North, Lance Wallnau, and even Steve Bannon to some extent have couched their gold standard revanchism as religious doctrine. They say that in order to become Godly again, the US must go through a catastrophic collapse marked by the fall of the fiat dollar, which then must be replaced by 'Biblical money' based on the gold standard."

#Musk #Trump #Putin #StockMarket #economy #Dow #Nasdaq #SandP #tariffs #ChristianNationalists
/3

"But Christian ideologues like Gary North, Lance Wallnau, and even Steve Bannon to some extent have couched their gold standard revanchism as religious doctrine. They say that in order to become Godly again, the US must go through a catastrophic collapse marked by the fall of the fiat dollar, which then must be replaced by 'Biblical money' based on the gold standard."

#Musk #Trump #Putin #StockMarket #economy #Dow #Nasdaq #SandP #tariffs #ChristianNationalists
/3

Today, Dave Troy wrote the following:

"There is a significant faction of American Christian Nationalists that also believe that the Federal Reserve, fiat currency, and paper money are evil, and that the US should return to the gold standard. In this they are not different from the secular libertarians described in point 4."

#Musk #Trump #Putin #StockMarket #economy #Dow #Nasdaq #SandP #tariffs #ChristianNationalists
/2

https://america2.news/how-to-understand-americas-failure/

#NYTimes #stockmarket #sandp decline by 1.7% in the last week. Probably due to volatility and business struggling to make deals where #trump could make an arbitrary decision and put them in the red.

I’m not sure if the impact on agriculture has started resonating.

Have decided to drop all my underperforming and move them into gold. Probably should have done it last year but we learn.

https://www.nytimes.com/2025/02/21/business/stock-market-declines-trump.html