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  1. Ok, this is kind of interesting. Consensus is that the final 5 vote is one of the most important in the game. I wanted to see how the final 5 vote affects the players' chances of winning. The results are not what you'd expect. 🧵 1/ #Survivor

  2. There's been a shift in the leaderboard with Ozzy voted out. Aubry now has the best odds, followed by Jonathan. I'm still hopeful this is Cirie's season though. #Survivor50

  3. The top 3 players on the CPH chart are now Devens, Cirie, and Jonathan, the only 3 still in the game with a +ve edit. Jonathan has the largest difference between obs and exp. He's had a couple of really good episodes tbh. #Survivor50

  4. I *think* (assuming I haven't missed any edge cases or a data descrepency - please reach out if so) the next challenge will be Cirie's 100th! This includes challenges where she sat on the bench. Imagine if she won individual immunity. Huge. #Survivor50

  5. Standings after episode 10. Ozzy is still in the lead. What this means is that all the data points are saying that Ozzy is in a more similar position to players who have won in the past than the other players. #Survivor50 #Survivor

  6. #Survivor50 confessionals/hr At this stage Devens has the largest over-edit wrt to CPH. It's also interesting that Rizo is low given his position. The mean CPH for a winner at episode 10 in the new era is 4.2. All are under, but Ozzy is closest to that benchmark. #Survivor

  7. I may regret asking this question, but should I watch #TheTraitorsUS, and is it worthwhile collating the data?

  8. #AloneAustralia season 3 has wrapped up, so it's time to release v0.6 of {alone}. A few stats to come. Big thanks to @carlylevitz.bsky.social for help with the data. github.com/doehm/alone #Rstats #dataviz

  9. #AloneAustralia season 3 has started! I also maintain stats and data for the US and AU series. I'll update the data each week and share a few stats as well. For now, here's the cast and what we could expect based on previous seasons. 🔗 github.com/doehm/alone #RStats

  10. Hi 👋 I'm Dan! Time for another

    I'm a
    👨 Dad
    📈 at a consultancy
    🏃‍♂️
    :rstats: fan
    🔥 tragic
    🤘

    My time here is spent sharing projects for , Survivor, other and :rstats: related stuff

    I'm the owner of the survivoR package. I don't talk about much but I do visualise it a lot! ⚠️

    Lastly, you'll likely find me in the

    ❤️

  11. @DaniEhm

    #Cdnpoli #Abpoli #MoralDecadence

    An honest Con is an Oxymoron, just ask Election Cheat Poilievre or Danielle Demento

  12. @DaniEhm

    #Cdnpoli #Abpoli #MoralDecadence

    On a very serious note, this may help explain the unexplainable -Moral Decadence

    Moral decadence lowers standards of moral behavior and creates new but lower criteria for ethics and justice. Putting it simply, people are no longer required to act morally or ethically. Society no longer expects its members to preserve their commitment to the very basic moral norms.

    A morally decadent society no longer cares

    thereporterethiopia.com/8731/#.

  13. @DaniEhm @hacks4pancakes

    When 90+% of the #advertisers leave the site wot gets #advertised is not reaching many eyes, unless you are a bot, imo.

    This happened on YouTube also when all the Nazi Propaganda kept showing up near major advertising and they promptly pulled their ad spend until YouTube cleaned up their act.

    Same thing will/has/is happened/ing at the #DelistedTWTR / #OligarchBirdSite / #DeadFreeTWTR dumpster fire.

    🔮 Prediction : At the current income to burn rate of 💸💸💸💸 outgoing to the ~1k employee / contractor 'hostages' the site will be dead in a few years anyways by the looks of things. 🔮

    ~50 billion to kill the site's usefulness is a bargain for the people behind wanting to kill the platform anyways.

  14. @DaniEhm @hacks4pancakes

    Like #journalists who are, slowly, migrating over here to #web3, governments need a longer and longer cycle to go through the approval and getting the correct #intern with management support and backing to empower said #intern is the key. I.T.'s a culture thing and iF it's not a turnkey solution a lot of government stuff just doesn't bother, imo.

    Solutions for exist for clients that can side post the same to both networks exist which will help make the transition but even THAT requires #management buy in just do even do THAT so... I.T.'s an independent #leadership & #vision gap right now.

    Helping management understand why this is important ( #SPOF#SinglePointOfFailure™ , #OligarchManipulationPlatform, #MLTL, etc ) requires them to have an understanding the fall of centralized one stop choke point platforms like #Meta #Instagram #WhatsApp #DelistedTWTR etc by taking back the Machine Learning Manipulation Timelines™ #MLMTL™ and get back to a chronological non-ML-TL #CNMLTL™.

    The #fediverse is about to hit 11 million users soon. Most social media presence just redirects people to their web site anyways. 🤷‍♂️🤷‍♀️🤷🤷‍♂️🤷‍♀️🤷

    Oddly a Non-ML-TL use to be Twitter as an option. 🧐

    Just my 2¢. 👀👀

  15. Une question de niche concernant #android et #Antennapod

    J'utilise #Macrodroid pour automatiser pas mal de trucs. J'aimerais que mes podcasts se mettent à jour au branchement sur secteur.

    J'envoie un "intent", l'action étant "de.danoeh.antennapod.net.download.service.feed.FeedUpdateReceiver" comme indiqué sur le forum¹ (la doc est obsolète sur ce point)

    Mais ça ne marche juste pas. 😔 Je ne trouve aucun message d'erreur.

    Des idées ? 🙏

    ¹ forum.antennapod.org/t/beta-3-

  16. Surveillance Pricing Ripping You Off? How to Stop Your Data From Being Used Against You.

    It's disgusting that online corporations do this. Always clear your history.

    investopedia.com/surveillance-

    #SurveillancePricing #Cdnpoli #Tech

  17. What a majestic serene shot. I'm in love 🥰

    That's Jackie on the nest. In bad weather, Shadow knows he's the sentry.

    Big Bear Bald Eagle Live Nest
    youtube.com/watch?v=B4-L2nfGcu

    #Nature #BigBear #BaldEagles #JackieShadow

  18. Don‘t ask Ukrainians when the war will end. Ask yourselves why Putin is still able to continue. ⁦

    #Zelensky #MSC2024 #Ukraine

  19. Ryan O’Neal, the Oscar-nominated Love Story actor who starred in some of the most memorable movies of the 1970s, from What’s Up, Doc and Paper Moon to Barry Lyndon, has died. He was 82.

    deadline.com/2023/12/ryan-onea

    #RyanONeal #Movies #Film

  20. Miami’s Republican Mayor #FrancisSuarez is among those bound to cryptocurrency. He tied his personal brand and Miami’s to crypto by aggressively boosting the technology during its last bull run — and he continues to embrace the technology as he steps onto the national stage.

    politico.com/newsletters/polit

    #Politics #Crypto

  21. #NowWatching #HardToHold (1984) about a rock star, Rick Springfield, chased by women falls for a stuffy child psychologist in San Francisco.

    I’ve never seen this movie before.

  22. @adamdoesit You need to follow more people and following hashtags will help you find new people to follow. Boosting posts helps also.

    You can follow
    Fedi.Tips @feditips

    Check out #FollowFriday #FollowFridays #FollowBack
    #FollowBackFridays #FollowBackFriday

  23. CW: My favorite things - movies edition

    @GregHester Good ones. Here’s some of mine:

    #UncleBuck
    #Fargo
    #TheBigLebowski
    #ThePrincessBride
    #ThreeKings

    I have more, but can’t think of them right now 😉