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85 results for “jlepawsky”
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"Oil at $143/bbl is... where economic activity contracts not by choice but by necessity. The fertilizer window for Northern Hemisphere planting has closed — 2026 harvest yields will be materially lower regardless of when the strait reopens. Financial markets have repriced sovereign debt across the Gulf and emerging markets. Multiple central banks have been forced into emergency rate decisions. Food inflation is now a certainty for late 2026."
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"Oil at $143/bbl is... where economic activity contracts not by choice but by necessity. The fertilizer window for Northern Hemisphere planting has closed — 2026 harvest yields will be materially lower regardless of when the strait reopens. Financial markets have repriced sovereign debt across the Gulf and emerging markets. Multiple central banks have been forced into emergency rate decisions. Food inflation is now a certainty for late 2026."
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"Oil at $143/bbl is... where economic activity contracts not by choice but by necessity. The fertilizer window for Northern Hemisphere planting has closed — 2026 harvest yields will be materially lower regardless of when the strait reopens. Financial markets have repriced sovereign debt across the Gulf and emerging markets. Multiple central banks have been forced into emergency rate decisions. Food inflation is now a certainty for late 2026."
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"Oil at $143/bbl is... where economic activity contracts not by choice but by necessity. The fertilizer window for Northern Hemisphere planting has closed — 2026 harvest yields will be materially lower regardless of when the strait reopens. Financial markets have repriced sovereign debt across the Gulf and emerging markets. Multiple central banks have been forced into emergency rate decisions. Food inflation is now a certainty for late 2026."
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"Oil at $143/bbl is... where economic activity contracts not by choice but by necessity. The fertilizer window for Northern Hemisphere planting has closed — 2026 harvest yields will be materially lower regardless of when the strait reopens. Financial markets have repriced sovereign debt across the Gulf and emerging markets. Multiple central banks have been forced into emergency rate decisions. Food inflation is now a certainty for late 2026."
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Canada is right next to an economy that is DESPERATELY searching for more electricity, electricity is spiking in price, but Canada __ isnt __ building solar for EXPORT?
CANADA IS IMPORTING?
FROM THE US?THIS IS TOO STUPID TO BELIEVE
CARNEY IS A FOOL
Canada should be building billions in solar power to export to rhe united states
Idiots in Ottawa
We have to bring pressure
Carney is missing the point
Is Carney a trick of the billionaire bankers?
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Canada is right next to an economy that is DESPERATELY searching for more electricity, electricity is spiking in price, but Canada __ isnt __ building solar for EXPORT?
CANADA IS IMPORTING?
FROM THE US?THIS IS TOO STUPID TO BELIEVE
CARNEY IS A FOOL
Canada should be building billions in solar power to export to rhe united states
Idiots in Ottawa
We have to bring pressure
Carney is missing the point
Is Carney a trick of the billionaire bankers?
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Canada is right next to an economy that is DESPERATELY searching for more electricity, electricity is spiking in price, but Canada __ isnt __ building solar for EXPORT?
CANADA IS IMPORTING?
FROM THE US?THIS IS TOO STUPID TO BELIEVE
CARNEY IS A FOOL
Canada should be building billions in solar power to export to rhe united states
Idiots in Ottawa
We have to bring pressure
Carney is missing the point
Is Carney a trick of the billionaire bankers?
-
Canada is right next to an economy that is DESPERATELY searching for more electricity, electricity is spiking in price, but Canada __ isnt __ building solar for EXPORT?
CANADA IS IMPORTING?
FROM THE US?THIS IS TOO STUPID TO BELIEVE
CARNEY IS A FOOL
Canada should be building billions in solar power to export to rhe united states
Idiots in Ottawa
We have to bring pressure
Carney is missing the point
Is Carney a trick of the billionaire bankers?
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10/n
"contrary to petroleum industry dogma that Canada cannot afford to protect the climate (whether through
carbon pricing, regulations on emissions, or incentives for renewable energy), by far the biggest damage to affordability in Canada is being done by continued reliance on oil and other fossil fuels. That was proven in 2022,
and it is now being proven again." https://centreforfuturework.ca/wp-content/uploads/2026/05/A-Sequel-We-Dont-Want.pdf -
9/n
"One obvious response would be to repatriate
a share of excess profits petroleum companies are capturing from a price shock which has no relationship to the
real supply or production cost conditions of the Canadian industry. Many countries in the world (including oil-pro-
ducing industrial countries like the U.K. and Norway) set higher taxes (of 50% or more) for petroleum profits
generated during periods of high prices." https://centreforfuturework.ca/wp-content/uploads/2026/05/A-Sequel-We-Dont-Want.pdf -
8/n
"The Atlantic provinces regulate retail prices for gasoline, to prevent unreasonable price hikes during
periods of price volatility. The assumption that petroleum prices must inevitably or naturally follow the gyrations
of financialized global futures markets is unjustified." https://centreforfuturework.ca/wp-content/uploads/2026/05/A-Sequel-We-Dont-Want.pdfhttps://www.cbc.ca/archives/complaining-about-the-cost-of-living-1968-edition-1.5475240
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7/n
"It was a policy choice in the 1980s that Canadian
oil prices would follow global trends. This practice is not universal: many oil exporting countries regulate domes-
tic prices to keep them below the prices they charge for exports" https://centreforfuturework.ca/wp-content/uploads/2026/05/A-Sequel-We-Dont-Want.pdfhttps://www.cbc.ca/archives/when-ronald-reagan-visited-canada-after-becoming-u-s-president-1.5478214
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6/n "Some analysts conclude that
as a net exporter of oil, high oil prices must be ‘good’ for Canada. That assumption is wrong: since the country
does not ‘share’ its revenue from various sources like a unified, happy family, the record profits coming to the
domestic petroleum industry have no direct impact on incomes or living standards for Canadians (other than
those who own substantial stakes in the petroleum industry). Even Canadians in oil-producing provinces will be
net losers from this price shock." p. 31 https://centreforfuturework.ca/wp-content/uploads/2026/05/A-Sequel-We-Dont-Want.pdf -
5/n "one constituency which unequivocally benefits from higher oil prices is the Canadian petroleum indus-
try. Energy policy in Canada allows the industry to charge Canadian consumers (as well as export customers) full
world prices. This freedom is backed up by the industry’s capability to divert Canadian production to external
markets if Canadians (again, even those in oil-producing provinces) do not pay world prices." p. 28 of https://centreforfuturework.ca/wp-content/uploads/2026/05/A-Sequel-We-Dont-Want.pdfHere's some good background: https://www.desmog.com/2026/04/29/revealed-british-ad-giants-billion-dollar-greenwash-of-u-s-oil-industry/
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4/n
"Since Canada is a major net exporter of oil, there is no self-evident reason why petroleum prices, inflation, and
interest rates in Canada need to be roiled so directly by events in the Persian Gulf."https://centreforfuturework.ca/wp-content/uploads/2026/05/A-Sequel-We-Dont-Want.pdf
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3/n
This is "A Sequel We Don't Want". Yet there are things #Canada can do to mitigate tidal wave that is on its way. Here's a new report that lays out some specifics:
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2/n
It's about 80 days in now. Estimates suggest 80% of coordinated oil reserves have been depleted.
"At 80 days, this matches the 1973 oil embargo in duration — but the scale is categorically different. The '73 embargo removed 4.4M bbl/day; this closure blocks 20M bbl/day. IEA coordinated reserves are approaching exhaustion at 80% depleted. Oil at $143/bbl is entering demand-destruction territory where economic activity contracts not by choice but by necessity. The fertilizer window for Northern Hemisphere planting has closed — 2026 harvest yields will be materially lower regardless of when the strait reopens. Financial markets have repriced sovereign debt across the Gulf and emerging markets. Multiple central banks have been forced into emergency rate decisions. Food inflation is now a certainty for late 2026."
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1/n
Just over a month ago: "Writing today on April 16, 2026 from St. John’s, Newfoundland and Labrador, it feels eerily like January 2020. Back then, here, something we now sum up as ‘Covid’ was obviously on the horizon, like a tidal wave you could see approaching, but who’s depths and currents you couldn’t possibly fathom from the shore. Something like that is on the horizon now."
https://joshlepawsky.site/semiconductors-and-the-limits-of-capes-and-bays-geography/
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3/n Spoiler alert: the models I experimented with failed spectacularly. But, the results were surprising and fascinating — not due to the failures themselves but how the different models I used failed.
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2/n From their earliest days these terms were at least partially about marketing rather than strictly technical ideas (Hao 2025, 90) [...] There have been previous AI booms and busts. Historian Colin Garvey (2018) describes these previous cycles as “broken promises and empty threats”.
https://joshlepawsky.site/experiments-with-local-ai/
Image from: from Garvey, Colin. 2018. “Broken Promises and Empty Threats: The Evolution of AI in the USA, 1956-1996.” Technology’s Stories, ahead of print, March 16. https://doi.org/10.15763/jou.ts.2018.03.16.02
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1/n Given my broader research interests and the non-consensual inclusion of my work into AI data training sets, I figure I have some license to play around with these tools to get a sense of what they do. So I decided to experiment with what is sometimes called ‘local AI’...
Read more: https://joshlepawsky.site/experiments-with-local-ai/
Image: Deborah Lupton / https://betterimagesofai.org
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"Type “AI images” into your search engine and you will notice a pattern. Go on, give it a go!
The result is striking, and it’s the same on photo libraries and content platforms. In fact, the lack of variety, and the inaccuracy is almost inescapable. The predominance of sci-fi inspired and anthropomorphised images, and the lack of readily accessible alternative images or ideas, make it hard to communicate accurately about AI."
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Nafus, Dawn. 2026. The Cost of Staying with the Trouble: What Happens When AI Lives Rent-Free in Our Heads. Society Social Studies of Science.
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Nafus, Dawn. 2026. The Cost of Staying with the Trouble: What Happens When AI Lives Rent-Free in Our Heads. Society Social Studies of Science.
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Nafus, Dawn. 2026. The Cost of Staying with the Trouble: What Happens When AI Lives Rent-Free in Our Heads. Society Social Studies of Science.
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Nafus, Dawn. 2026. The Cost of Staying with the Trouble: What Happens When AI Lives Rent-Free in Our Heads. Society Social Studies of Science.
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Nafus, Dawn. 2026. The Cost of Staying with the Trouble: What Happens When AI Lives Rent-Free in Our Heads. Society Social Studies of Science.
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Every time I'm confronted with some version of AI-is-inevtiable-here-to-stay-not-going-away talk, I like to remind myself of this helpful wikipedia page:
"List of predictions for autonomous Tesla vehicles by Elon Musk"
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_predictions_for_autonomous_Tesla_vehicles_by_Elon_Musk
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7/x
"MUNFA Raising Concerns About Cuts to Mathematics Department Faculty Positions"
https://vocm.com/2026/03/12/munfa-mathematics-department-cuts/
#munfa
#MUN
#newfoundland
#labrador
#postsecondary
#university
#canada