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42 results for “JasonPerseus”

  1. I am gobsmacked by VP Harris’s speaking skills.

    I haven’t really watched a speech from her since 2020’s primary and she has come a long, long, long way.

    The crowds are full with energy.

    #uspol #politics #uspolitics #harris #election #election2024 #aft

  2. America's Next Top Model:

    #DecisionDeskHQ

    vs.

    #FiveThirtyEight

    Pun aside, I just wanted to note that it is interesting that Trump's chances went from 56% to 58% with #DDHQ's model over the same period Trump's chances went from 51% to 49% with #538.

    Just goes to show that models are imperfect measures and what goes into them is important to what comes out of them!

    DDHQ: elections2024.thehill.com/fore

    538: projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2

    #polls #polling #uspol #politics #uspolitics #biden #trump

  3. We can be upset over the #Georgia delay, but this is all squarely Fani #Willis’s fault.

    It honestly was such a bad call that I don’t really trust her judgment.

    However, we get the prosecutors we get, and I hope she prevails for our sake.

    #uspol #politics #uspolitics

  4. From #Starbuck’s brief, in which they make the argument that, if successful, would drive a knife into labor law enforcement.

    Starbucks. Is. Anti. Labor.

    Skip the coffee and donate the $5 instead.

    If you’re a “partner” there: Organize.

    #law #lawfedi #labor #uspol #politics #uspolitics

  5. Irrational Fears of an Attorney:

    Any unexpected phone calls from the government.

    (It was #TammyBaldwin calling me back on #KOSA 😅)

    #law #lawfedi #lawyer #attorney #legal

  6. Majority Opinion: DONE

    Thank you for taking a ride with me on the U.S. Term Limits, Inc. v. Thornton dive.

    Notably for our 14th Amendment purposes, they hammer really hard on it being based in the Constitution and through the Amendment process, which the 14th Amendment clearly did.

    #uspol #politics #uspolitics #SCOTUS #SupremeCourt #14th #trump #insurrection #disqualification #law #lawfedi #legal

  7. Court goes on to explain why this Amendment isn't allowed under the Elections Clause (Time/Manner/Place) authority granted to States:

    #uspol #politics #uspolitics #SCOTUS #SupremeCourt #14th #trump #insurrection #disqualification #law #lawfedi #legal

  8. Which, if you have not already watched the animated series for #Avatar: The Last #Airbender, you are truly missing out on what might be the greatest animated series of all time.

    #Netflix #ATLA #AvatarTheLastAirbender

  9. Excellent recap of the DC Circuit oral arguments on Trump’s immunity claim, as always.

    Insight into what the judge’s questions may indicate about their eventual opinions.

    @lawfare

    podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/

    #law #lawfedi #dccircuit #courtofappeals #immunity #trump

  10. Donezo, I believe.

    All three seemed quite hostile to the immunity claim.

    One judge clearly had an appetite for an alternative holding if they rule against Trump on the jurisdictional question of interlocutory appeal. Another judge didn't seem as convinced though, noting it would be an advisory opinion.

    Can't wait! Expect the decision to come down quickly.

    #law #lawfedi #DCCircuit #CourtofAppeals #Trump #Immunity

  11. Court: What if there is no impeachment proceeding occurs? It's a judgment call if it's even brought?

    Trump's Lawyer: Then the official acts are immune. Period.

    #law #lawfedi #DCCircuit #CourtofAppeals #Trump #Immunity

  12. Court: Let's do a hypothetical. A president is charged with incitement. Impeached and convicted. A prosecution could be brought? Could same or related conduct, even if official, be prosecuted?

    Trump's Lawyer: (I think he said yes, but it went quick).

    #law #lawfedi #DCCircuit #CourtofAppeals #Trump #Immunity

  13. Court: Let me try again. (sigh - repeats question). Yes or No.

    Trump's Lawyer is really trying super hard not to answer.

    #law #lawfedi #DCCircuit #CourtofAppeals #Trump #Immunity

  14. Court: If Trump had been convicted after his 2nd impeachment, then this prosecution would be entirely proper?

    Trump's Lawyer: If same or similar conduct.

    Court: Is that a yes?

    Trump's Lawyer: Yes-ish.

    Court: So it would be proper if convicted?

    Trump's Lawyer: Well there are other problems...

    Court: Under the Impeachment and Judgment Clause only.

    Trump's Lawyer: "A" prosecution could be brought.

    #law #lawfedi #DCCircuit #CourtofAppeals #Trump #Immunity

  15. Trump Lawyer: The best reading is there needs to be impeachment and removal. So if another charge unrelated to the impeachment and removal, immunity applies.

    #law #lawfedi #DCCircuit #CourtofAppeals #Trump #Immunity

  16. Court: If you are requiring for impeachment and removal, and there is a process for one set of crimes, and the president is removed or resigns, and a prosecution for other crimes, is there immunity for those other crimes?

    #law #lawfedi #DCCircuit #CourtofAppeals #Trump #Immunity

  17. Trump Lawyer: There is no frightening future here except the idea that the chief political opponent of Trump is prosecuting him. Cycles of recrimination.

    #law #lawfedi #DCCircuit #CourtofAppeals #Trump #Immunity

  18. Trump Lawyer: A telling indication in the indictment is that all the acts were conducted in office and prior to Trump leaving. So they are clearly likely all official acts.

    #law #lawfedi #DCCircuit #CourtofAppeals #Trump #Immunity

  19. SC Lawyer: If there is impeachment-removal condition, then we would have seen some indication in founding documents. There is *no* indication this was ever a plausible reading. All that Hamilton ever said was that a sitting president cannot be prosecuted, and can only be removed by the civil impeachment process, and then prosecuted upon not being sitting president.

    #law #lawfedi #DCCircuit #CourtofAppeals #Trump #Immunity

  20. Court: If we determine there is no impeachment-removal condition precedent to criminal prosecution, does that answer this question? (going back to the Trump Lawyer catch-22 on conceding some avenue for criminal prosecution exists).

    #law #lawfedi #DCCircuit #CourtofAppeals #Trump #Immunity

  21. Court is asking about the effects of various rulings and remands, got kind of weedy.

    SC Lawyer essentially argues it would create a mess and tons of additional litigation.

    #law #lawfedi #DCCircuit #CourtofAppeals #Trump #Immunity

  22. Court: Is the motive and intent not part of the criminal charges?

    SC Lawyer: Yes, which is why we shouldn't do the Fitzgerald analysis here. That question is addressed in the criminal trial.

    #law #lawfedi #DCCircuit #CourtofAppeals #Trump #Immunity

  23. Court: Should we consider motive / intent in the analysis of official acts?

    SC Lawyer: No, since the underlying act is the same.

    #law #lawfedi #DCCircuit #CourtofAppeals #Trump #Immunity

  24. SC Lawyer: What kind of world are we living in if we are living in a world where the president can order seal team six to assassinate his political opponent and then *resigns* before impeachment and removal. Completely immune? This should weigh extraordinarily heavily in the court's decision making.

    #law #lawfedi #DCCircuit #CourtofAppeals #Trump #Immunity