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259 results for “DuncanMSussex”
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Huh. There's a little Masto Unwrapped thing on my other account ([email protected]).
I'm not sure my posting is particularly interesting but it's quite nice to see. Apparently people liked my sharing a George Monbiot (someone I'm not always on the same page with!) opinion piece the most.
Do we have this on mas.to too?
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Huh. There's a little Masto Unwrapped thing on my other account ([email protected]).
I'm not sure my posting is particularly interesting but it's quite nice to see. Apparently people liked my sharing a George Monbiot (someone I'm not always on the same page with!) opinion piece the most.
Do we have this on mas.to too?
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Huh. There's a little Masto Unwrapped thing on my other account ([email protected]).
I'm not sure my posting is particularly interesting but it's quite nice to see. Apparently people liked my sharing a George Monbiot (someone I'm not always on the same page with!) opinion piece the most.
Do we have this on mas.to too?
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Huh. There's a little Masto Unwrapped thing on my other account ([email protected]).
I'm not sure my posting is particularly interesting but it's quite nice to see. Apparently people liked my sharing a George Monbiot (someone I'm not always on the same page with!) opinion piece the most.
Do we have this on mas.to too?
-
Huh. There's a little Masto Unwrapped thing on my other account ([email protected]).
I'm not sure my posting is particularly interesting but it's quite nice to see. Apparently people liked my sharing a George Monbiot (someone I'm not always on the same page with!) opinion piece the most.
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@DuncanMSussex I have my preference, too. Earlier this week I saw a presentation of the #mnFlag candidates. Any of them will be better than the flag we have.
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Big question mark on Burnham though. The vacated seat is one where a generic Labour candidate would lose to Reform. His personal vote is huge in Greater Manchester but is it enough?
(Also not counting Streeting in the "most likely leader" list - as he'd lose any head-to-head in a leadership contest, even vs Starmer. And I think Starmer's automatically in the contest, iirc.)
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Man, UK politics is wild right now. Starmer's clearly on his way out but the most likely successor has changed twice since yesterday lunchtime.
First Ed Miliband (as he said he'd stand against Streeting), then Angela Rayner (as she's been cleared of wrongdoing with her tax issue) and now Andy Burnham (a Wigan-area MP just stood down for him).
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Now the big picture. 🤷♂️
If Starmer was smart this'd be a wake-up call that he's losing his core and he could wake up after the GE to the Labour equivalent of the Tories losing Oxfordshire and most of Surrey.
So the Blue Labour, anti-immigration stuff dies. And we get PR.
But if Starmer was smart he'd have probably never tried a "chase the far right" strategy given outside Denmark (even that's arguable) it's never worked for SocDem parties.
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Now the big picture. 🤷♂️
If Starmer was smart this'd be a wake-up call that he's losing his core and he could wake up after the GE to the Labour equivalent of the Tories losing Oxfordshire and most of Surrey.
So the Blue Labour, anti-immigration stuff dies. And we get PR.
But if Starmer was smart he'd have probably never tried a "chase the far right" strategy given outside Denmark (even that's arguable) it's never worked for SocDem parties.
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Now the big picture. 🤷♂️
If Starmer was smart this'd be a wake-up call that he's losing his core and he could wake up after the GE to the Labour equivalent of the Tories losing Oxfordshire and most of Surrey.
So the Blue Labour, anti-immigration stuff dies. And we get PR.
But if Starmer was smart he'd have probably never tried a "chase the far right" strategy given outside Denmark (even that's arguable) it's never worked for SocDem parties.
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Now the big picture. 🤷♂️
If Starmer was smart this'd be a wake-up call that he's losing his core and he could wake up after the GE to the Labour equivalent of the Tories losing Oxfordshire and most of Surrey.
So the Blue Labour, anti-immigration stuff dies. And we get PR.
But if Starmer was smart he'd have probably never tried a "chase the far right" strategy given outside Denmark (even that's arguable) it's never worked for SocDem parties.
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Now the big picture. 🤷♂️
If Starmer was smart this'd be a wake-up call that he's losing his core and he could wake up after the GE to the Labour equivalent of the Tories losing Oxfordshire and most of Surrey.
So the Blue Labour, anti-immigration stuff dies. And we get PR.
But if Starmer was smart he'd have probably never tried a "chase the far right" strategy given outside Denmark (even that's arguable) it's never worked for SocDem parties.
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Also I feel sorry for the Lib Dem candidate. This is old now but there was a by-election in a predecessor seat in 2017, she was the candidate then. And she was strong.
Without having been on the campaign (and high up) I can never confirm this but reportedly she was leading. Then GE2017 was called, the dynamics changed and it all unwound.
Must suck to come dead last in a seat where, a few butterflies flying differently, you could have been sitting MP.
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Also I feel sorry for the Lib Dem candidate. This is old now but there was a by-election in a predecessor seat in 2017, she was the candidate then. And she was strong.
Without having been on the campaign (and high up) I can never confirm this but reportedly she was leading. Then GE2017 was called, the dynamics changed and it all unwound.
Must suck to come dead last in a seat where, a few butterflies flying differently, you could have been sitting MP.
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Also I feel sorry for the Lib Dem candidate. This is old now but there was a by-election in a predecessor seat in 2017, she was the candidate then. And she was strong.
Without having been on the campaign (and high up) I can never confirm this but reportedly she was leading. Then GE2017 was called, the dynamics changed and it all unwound.
Must suck to come dead last in a seat where, a few butterflies flying differently, you could have been sitting MP.
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Also I feel sorry for the Lib Dem candidate. This is old now but there was a by-election in a predecessor seat in 2017, she was the candidate then. And she was strong.
Without having been on the campaign (and high up) I can never confirm this but reportedly she was leading. Then GE2017 was called, the dynamics changed and it all unwound.
Must suck to come dead last in a seat where, a few butterflies flying differently, you could have been sitting MP.
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Also I feel sorry for the Lib Dem candidate. This is old now but there was a by-election in a predecessor seat in 2017, she was the candidate then. And she was strong.
Without having been on the campaign (and high up) I can never confirm this but reportedly she was leading. Then GE2017 was called, the dynamics changed and it all unwound.
Must suck to come dead last in a seat where, a few butterflies flying differently, you could have been sitting MP.
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Well done to the Greens, so far as I'm aware this is their first by-election win of this nature.
The campaign generally looked pretty Lib Demmy (down to releasing data showing you just behind your scariest opponent) so I feel vindicated in sometimes lumping the two parties together when it comes to strategies.
The Modi poster wasn't great though. Less of that please.
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Well done to the Greens, so far as I'm aware this is their first by-election win of this nature.
The campaign generally looked pretty Lib Demmy (down to releasing data showing you just behind your scariest opponent) so I feel vindicated in sometimes lumping the two parties together when it comes to strategies.
The Modi poster wasn't great though. Less of that please.
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Well done to the Greens, so far as I'm aware this is their first by-election win of this nature.
The campaign generally looked pretty Lib Demmy (down to releasing data showing you just behind your scariest opponent) so I feel vindicated in sometimes lumping the two parties together when it comes to strategies.
The Modi poster wasn't great though. Less of that please.
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Well done to the Greens, so far as I'm aware this is their first by-election win of this nature.
The campaign generally looked pretty Lib Demmy (down to releasing data showing you just behind your scariest opponent) so I feel vindicated in sometimes lumping the two parties together when it comes to strategies.
The Modi poster wasn't great though. Less of that please.
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Well done to the Greens, so far as I'm aware this is their first by-election win of this nature.
The campaign generally looked pretty Lib Demmy (down to releasing data showing you just behind your scariest opponent) so I feel vindicated in sometimes lumping the two parties together when it comes to strategies.
The Modi poster wasn't great though. Less of that please.
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Second best realistic result imo from Gorton and Denton. Labour holding on slightly better so Reform was third would've been nice.
Reform actively doing badly given their awful candidate would be even better but not likely given it's a by-election and the government's managed to piss off both its natural enemies and its natural allies.
But hopefully some wind out of Reform's sails nevertheless.
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Second best realistic result imo from Gorton and Denton. Labour holding on slightly better so Reform was third would've been nice.
Reform actively doing badly given their awful candidate would be even better but not likely given it's a by-election and the government's managed to piss off both its natural enemies and its natural allies.
But hopefully some wind out of Reform's sails nevertheless.
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Second best realistic result imo from Gorton and Denton. Labour holding on slightly better so Reform was third would've been nice.
Reform actively doing badly given their awful candidate would be even better but not likely given it's a by-election and the government's managed to piss off both its natural enemies and its natural allies.
But hopefully some wind out of Reform's sails nevertheless.
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Second best realistic result imo from Gorton and Denton. Labour holding on slightly better so Reform was third would've been nice.
Reform actively doing badly given their awful candidate would be even better but not likely given it's a by-election and the government's managed to piss off both its natural enemies and its natural allies.
But hopefully some wind out of Reform's sails nevertheless.
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Second best realistic result imo from Gorton and Denton. Labour holding on slightly better so Reform was third would've been nice.
Reform actively doing badly given their awful candidate would be even better but not likely given it's a by-election and the government's managed to piss off both its natural enemies and its natural allies.
But hopefully some wind out of Reform's sails nevertheless.
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Thirdly - completing the cliché with the ugly (mixed). 🇵🇱
Imv the most important one. Poland's important & their presidency is about as powerful as you get in parliamentary systems.
So - polls were mostly right, a moderate won round 1 (idk about PO being liberal but whatever):
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cgegn1ggxn8o
But barely. 2nd-4th all far right.
In round 2 polling a PO win is favoured (good) but it's not a given and this is alarmingly close.
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Thirdly - completing the cliché with the ugly (mixed). 🇵🇱
Imv the most important one. Poland's important & their presidency is about as powerful as you get in parliamentary systems.
So - polls were mostly right, a moderate won round 1 (idk about PO being liberal but whatever):
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cgegn1ggxn8o
But barely. 2nd-4th all far right.
In round 2 polling a PO win is favoured (good) but it's not a given and this is alarmingly close.